Graphic Packaging Net Income vs. Current Valuation

GPK Stock  USD 8.90  -0.01  -0.11%   
Considering the key profitability indicators obtained from Graphic Packaging's historical financial statements, Graphic Packaging Holding is performing exceptionally well at this time. It has a great probability to showcase excellent profitability results in April. Profitability indicators assess Graphic Packaging's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
 First Reported
1991-03-31
 Previous Quarter
142 M
 Current Value
71 M
 Quarterly Volatility
58.9 M
Macro event markers
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Graphic Packaging shows Days Sales Outstanding pulling back by approximately 22.32% year over year. A year ago, Graphic Packaging reported Days Sales Outstanding at 32.19. As of last month (February 2026), Days Of Sales Outstanding is projected to grow to 41.44, although Price To Sales Ratio is expected to fall to 0.40. Change To Netincome is projected to change by approximately 4.76% year over year. A year ago, Graphic Packaging reported Change To Netincome at 278.3 Million. As of last month (February 2026), Net Income Per Share is projected to grow to 1.57, although Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to fall to about 269 M. Comparative financial data indicate that Gross Profit is shifting by roughly 4.76%. Looking back, Graphic Packaging posted Gross Profit of 1.61 Billion in the previous fiscal year. As of last month (February 2026), Pretax Profit Margin is projected to grow to 0.07, although Operating Profit Margin is expected to fall to 0.06.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.210.1871
Moderately Up
Slightly volatile
Net Profit Margin0.05410.0515
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Operating Profit Margin0.0570.1008
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Pretax Profit Margin0.0710.0677
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Return On Assets0.03960.0377
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Return On Equity0.140.1331
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Profitability metrics for Graphic Packaging Holding relate earnings to revenue, assets, and equity. The information reflects the current reporting dataset.
Risk vs Return Analysis.
Graphic Packaging has a forward EPS estimate of 0.07, alongside estimate bounds of 0.04 and 0.10. The latest trailing EPS figure is 1.48. For Graphic Packaging, EPS is most informative when read together with margin stability and cash-flow conversion. Graphic Packaging Holding EPS consensus generally reflects earnings before non-recurring adjustments. Option-related compensation costs can appear within the consensus numbers.
Macro event markers
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Analyst consensus places Graphic Packaging EPS at 0.0721 for 31st of March 2026. All figures reflect reported accounting data across periods.. Consensus earnings data provides a reference point for evaluating Graphic Packaging over time. These figures serve as informational inputs within a broader research framework.
 Quarterly Earnings Growth
-0.48
 Dividend Share
0.44
 Earnings Share
1.48
 Revenue Per Share
28.791
 Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.004
Investors evaluate Graphic Packaging Holding using market value and book value, each describing different facets of the business. Graphic Packaging's market capitalization is 2.64 B. A P/B ratio of 0.79 suggests Graphic Packaging trades near or below book value. Enterprise value stands at 8.01 B. The intrinsic value concept focuses on underlying worth, which can diverge from market price and book value.
Graphic Packaging's value is shaped by fundamental inputs, whereas price is shaped by supply and demand dynamics. The actual Graphic Packaging transaction price is determined by real-time order flow on the exchange.

Graphic Packaging Holding Current Valuation vs. Net Income Fundamental Analysis

Sector-based pricing multiples position Graphic Packaging within its competitive valuation range.
Graphic Packaging Holding sits atop the peer group for net income within its peer group. It also sits atop the peer group for current valuation within its peer group where Current Valuation runs almost 18.05 per Net Income. According to the latest estimates, Net Income is gaining momentum with a magnitude of about 4.76%. A year ago, Graphic Packaging reported Net Income at 444 Million. Multiples-driven valuation aligns Graphic Packaging with peer performance.

Graphic Current Valuation vs. Net Income

Net income is the profit of a company for the reporting period, which is derived after taking revenues and gains and subtracting all expenses and losses. Net income is one of the most-watched numbers by money managers as well as individual investors.

Graphic Packaging

Net Income

 = 

(Rev + Gain)

-

(Exp + Loss)

 = 
444 M
Because income is reported on the Income Statement of a company and is measured in dollars some investors prefer to use Profit Margin, which measures income as a percentage of sales.
Enterprise Value is a firm valuation proxy that approximates the current market value of a company. It is typically used to determine the takeover or merger price of a firm. Unlike Market Cap, this measure takes into account all liquid assets, outstanding debt, and exotic equity instruments that the company has on its balance sheet. When a takeover occurs, the parent company will have to assume the target company's liabilities but will take possession of all cash and cash equivalents.

Graphic Packaging

Enterprise Value

 = 

Market Cap + Debt

-

Cash

 = 
8.01 B
Enterprise Value can be a useful tool to compare companies with different capital structures. Long term liability and current cash or cash equivalents can have a huge impact on market valuation of a given company.

Graphic Current Valuation vs Competition

Graphic Packaging Holding sits atop the peer group for current valuation within its peer group. After adjusting for long-term liabilities, total market size of Materials industry is currently estimated at about 76.5 Billion. Graphic Packaging retains roughly 8.01 Billion in current valuation claiming about 10% of all equities under Materials space.

Graphic Packaging Profitability Projections

The trend of Graphic Packaging's profits tells investors whether the business model is working well. The profit trend shows the broad direction of Graphic Packaging's change in net profit over the reporting period. Graphic Packaging currently maintains a profit margin of 5.1%. A rising operating margin signals that Graphic Packaging's core business is getting more efficient. The operating margin stands at 6.8% while return on equity is 14.0%.
Last ReportedEnd Of Year Estimate
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income-262 M-275.1 M
Operating Income869 M912.5 M
Income Before Tax583 M612.1 M
Total Other Income Expense Net-286 M-271.7 M
Net Income444 M466.2 M
Income Tax Expense139 M145.9 M
Net Income Applicable To Common Shares444 M269 M
Net Income From Continuing Ops444 M345.6 M
Non Operating Income Net Other1.1 M1.2 M
Interest Income220 M163.6 M
Net Interest Income-220 M-231 M
Change To Netincome278.3 M292.2 M
Net Income Per Share 1.50 1.57
Income Quality 1.92 3.01
Net Income Per E B T 0.76 0.44

Graphic Profitability Driver Comparison

The key profitability drivers of Graphic Packaging determine how much profit the company generates over time. Investors must contend with external shocks that can disrupt Graphic Packaging's financial results at any time.

Earnings Estimation Breakdown

Analyst consensus for Graphic Packaging Holding places the projected EPS at 0.0721 for the upcoming period. This estimate is bounded by a low of 0.0363 and a high of 0.1 across all analyst models covering Graphic Packaging. Trailing twelve-month reporting data forms the basis of this projection, with non-recurring items excluded from the calculation.
Last Reported EPS
0.29
0.04
Lowest
Expected EPS
0.0721
0.10
Highest

Earnings Projection Consensus

Valuation signals derived from Graphic Packaging's consensus EPS estimate versus market price offer a directional view of relative attractiveness. A positive gap may indicate room for repricing toward the estimate; a negative gap may suggest the market has already priced in growth fully. These scenarios should be reviewed within the context of earnings quality, sector dynamics, and macroeconomic conditions.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of March 2026Current EPS (TTM)
1090.29%
0.29
0.0721
1.48

Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

Actual EPS for Graphic Packaging is reported directly from its income statement at each quarterly disclosure event. Analyst-projected EPS for Graphic Packaging Holding represents the consensus expectation for what Graphic Packaging will earn in future quarters. A rising EPS trend generally signals improving profitability; the weighted average adjusts for changes in share count through the period.

Estimated Months Earnings per Share

EPS is a cornerstone metric for income-focused investors in Graphic Packaging, offering a direct read on per-share profitability and dividend coverage capacity. A growing EPS trajectory suggests the company is better positioned to sustain and increase distributions over time. Investors should always evaluate Graphic Packaging's EPS relative to peers and in combination with cash flow and balance sheet data.

Quarterly Analyst Estimates and Surprise Metrics

Analysts spend considerable effort projecting Graphic Packaging's quarterly EPS using management guidance, industry data, and financial models. When results deviate materially from these projections, markets reprice quickly and decisively. Understanding the surprise history gives investors a data-driven framework for setting expectations around upcoming reporting events.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2026-02-03
2025-12-310.3930.29-0.10326 
2025-11-04
2025-09-300.590.58-0.01
2025-07-29
2025-06-300.40.420.02
2025-05-01
2025-03-310.580.51-0.0712 
2025-02-18
2024-12-310.6290.59-0.039
2024-10-29
2024-09-300.680.64-0.04
2024-07-30
2024-06-300.570.60.03
2024-04-30
2024-03-310.630.660.03
2024-02-20
2023-12-310.70.750.05
2023-10-31
2023-09-300.710.740.03
2023-08-01
2023-06-300.730.66-0.07
2023-05-02
2023-03-310.630.770.1422 
2023-02-07
2022-12-310.580.590.01
2022-10-25
2022-09-300.570.670.117 
2022-07-26
2022-06-300.50.60.120 
2022-04-26
2022-03-310.380.480.126 
2022-02-16
2021-12-310.290.310.02
2021-10-26
2021-09-300.310.340.03
2021-07-27
2021-06-300.280.26-0.02
2021-04-27
2021-03-310.250.23-0.02
2021-02-02
2020-12-310.270.280.01
2020-10-20
2020-09-300.220.260.0418 
2020-07-21
2020-06-300.190.260.0736 
2020-04-21
2020-03-310.250.310.0624 
2020-01-28
2019-12-310.230.230.0
2019-10-22
2019-09-300.190.20.01
2019-07-23
2019-06-300.210.240.0314 
2019-04-23
2019-03-310.180.210.0316 
2019-01-29
2018-12-310.190.230.0421 
2018-10-23
2018-09-300.240.22-0.02
2018-07-24
2018-06-300.190.18-0.01
2018-04-24
2018-03-310.170.190.0211 
2018-02-06
2017-12-310.190.17-0.0210 
2017-10-24
2017-09-300.180.180.0
2017-07-25
2017-06-300.150.150.0
2017-04-25
2017-03-310.120.140.0216 
2017-02-07
2016-12-310.150.14-0.01
2016-10-25
2016-09-300.210.2-0.01
2016-07-26
2016-06-300.190.190.0
2016-04-26
2016-03-310.180.20.0211 
2016-02-09
2015-12-310.160.190.0318 
2015-10-22
2015-09-300.20.20.0
2015-07-23
2015-06-300.190.190.0
2015-04-23
2015-03-310.160.170.01
2015-02-05
2014-12-310.150.210.0640 
2014-10-21
2014-09-300.20.17-0.0315 
2014-07-24
2014-06-300.170.20.0317 
2014-04-24
2014-03-310.130.130.0
2014-02-06
2013-12-310.10.170.0770 
2013-10-30
2013-09-300.130.12-0.01
2013-07-25
2013-06-300.130.130.0
2013-04-25
2013-03-310.080.10.0225 
2013-02-07
2012-12-310.080.080.0
2012-10-25
2012-09-300.080.110.0337 
2012-07-26
2012-06-300.090.110.0222 
2012-04-26
2012-03-310.080.06-0.0225 
2012-02-23
2011-12-310.070.02-0.0571 
2011-10-27
2011-09-300.10.09-0.0110 
2011-07-28
2011-06-300.10.09-0.0110 
2011-04-21
2011-03-310.080.080.0
2011-02-24
2010-12-310.020.060.04200 
2010-11-04
2010-09-300.080.07-0.0112 
2010-08-05
2010-06-300.040.040.0
2010-05-06
2010-03-31-0.020.040.06300 
2010-02-23
2009-12-31-0.080.020.1125 
2008-02-20
2007-12-31-0.14-0.030.1178 
2007-05-02
2007-03-31-0.05-0.19-0.14280 
2007-02-21
2006-12-31-0.11-0.110.0
2006-11-01
2006-09-30-0.05-0.020.0360 
2006-08-01
2006-06-30-0.04-0.13-0.09225 
2006-05-03
2006-03-31-0.17-0.160.01
2006-02-01
2005-12-31-0.05-0.21-0.16320 
2005-11-02
2005-09-30-0.020.0030.023115 
2005-08-03
2005-06-30-0.09-0.1-0.0111 
2005-05-04
2005-03-31-0.13-0.120.01
2005-03-02
2004-12-310.01-0.18-0.191900 
2003-02-18
2002-12-310.05-0.01-0.06120 
2002-10-29
2002-09-300.010.030.02200 
2002-07-22
2002-06-300.070.01-0.0685 
2002-04-22
2002-03-310.050.080.0360 
2001-02-16
2000-12-31-0.07-0.050.0228 
2000-10-31
2000-09-300.18-0.02-0.2111 
2000-07-31
2000-06-30-0.08-0.09-0.0112 
2000-04-27
2000-03-31-0.10.030.13130 
2000-02-17
1999-12-310.25-0.12-0.37148 
1999-10-28
1999-09-300.280.25-0.0310 
1999-07-22
1999-06-300.40.39-0.01
1999-04-26
1999-03-310.280.340.0621 
1999-01-21
1998-12-310.30.380.0826 
1998-10-22
1998-09-300.30.320.02
1998-07-23
1998-06-300.460.44-0.02
1998-04-27
1998-03-310.340.32-0.02
1998-02-12
1997-12-310.360.370.01
1997-10-23
1997-09-300.40.410.01
1997-07-21
1997-06-300.380.36-0.02
1997-04-24
1997-03-310.280.290.01
1997-02-19
1996-12-310.130.270.14107 
1996-10-31
1996-09-300.310.3-0.01
1996-07-25
1996-06-300.350.34-0.01
1996-04-29
1996-03-310.10.290.19190 
1996-02-14
1995-12-310.180.16-0.0211 
1995-10-19
1995-09-300.240.250.01
1995-07-25
1995-06-300.330.360.03
1995-04-25
1995-03-310.210.320.1152 
1995-02-15
1994-12-310.160.20.0425 
1994-10-20
1994-09-300.160.250.0956 
1994-07-29
1994-06-300.190.230.0421 
1994-04-26
1994-03-310.130.130.0
1994-02-09
1993-12-310.110.1-0.01
1993-10-25
1993-09-300.140.140.0
1993-06-03
1993-03-31-0.06-0.44-0.38633 

Use Graphic Packaging in pair-trading

A pair strategy built around Graphic Packaging Holding is useful when investors want to reduce directional market exposure while still expressing a relative-value idea. The advantage is that adverse movement in one leg may be partly offset by the other when correlation and thesis alignment hold.

Graphic Packaging Pair Trading

Graphic Packaging Holding Pair Trading Analysis

Tax-loss harvesting on Graphic Packaging requires identifying a similar asset for the 30-day wash-sale period. Assets with high correlation to Graphic Packaging Holding can serve as substitutes while preserving market exposure.
Correlation analysis for Graphic Packaging reveals which assets move together and which provide hedging benefits. Pairing Graphic Packaging Holding with uncorrelated instruments can reduce portfolio volatility without reducing expected returns.
Correlation analysis provides a foundation for evaluating pair-based hedging approaches for Graphic Packaging.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Use Investing Themes to Complement your Graphic Packaging position

At 2.64 Billion in the Packaging & Containers space, Graphic Packaging Holding smaller-cap profile gives investors a structured starting point for building sector-aligned themes. Graphic Packaging Holding 2.64 Billion smaller-cap footprint in Packaging & Containers aligns sector exposure with portfolio construction goals rather than adding an isolated Consumer Cyclical position.

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More Resources for Graphic Stock Analysis

The foundation for reviewing Graphic Packaging Holding is its financial reporting and trend data. The data captures Graphic Packaging's financial activity across reporting cycles.