CSX Net Income vs. Return On Equity

CSX Stock  USD 38.93  0.76  1.99%   
Based on the key profitability measurements obtained from CSX's financial statements, CSX Corporation may not be well positioned to generate adequate gross income at this time. It has a very high risk of underperforming in April. Profitability indicators assess CSX's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
 First Reported
1985-09-30
 Previous Quarter
694 M
 Current Value
720 M
 Quarterly Volatility
435.4 M
Macro event markers
 
Black Monday
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
CSX’s Price To Sales Ratio is trending toward 5.03, a 4.67% year-over-year shift. A year ago, CSX reported Price To Sales Ratio at 4.79. As of the week of March 23, Days Sales Outstanding is projected to grow to 40.32, while Sales General And Administrative To Revenue is moving higher toward -0.0038 . The latest reporting period places Net Income Applicable To Common Shares at 5.03 Billion, a year-over-year change of 4.76%. CSX filed Net Income Applicable To Common Shares of 4.79 Billion for the preceding year. As of the week of March 23, Net Income From Continuing Ops is projected to grow to approximately 3.1 B, even as demand moderates, Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income is positioned to soften to about -223.7 M. As of the week of March 23, Net Profit Margin is projected to grow to 0.22, even as demand moderates, Gross Profit is positioned to soften to about 3.8 B.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.260.3325
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Profit Margin0.170.3208
Way Down
Slightly volatile
This view for CSX Corporation frames profitability through return on assets, equity, and margin metrics. All ratios are based on standardized financial reporting inputs.

CSX's Revenue Allocation by Segment

CSX's revenue is distributed across 4 distinct product categories. Total Merchandise leads at 2.18 Billion, representing roughly 63.5% of the total, followed by Intermodal at 589 Million (17.1%). A single segment driving over 60% of revenue suggests limited product diversification, which can amplify both upside and downside.
Trending Equities.
CSX currently shows forward EPS consensus of 0.49, with dispersion from 0.47 to 0.51. EPS TTM stands at 1.54. For CSX, EPS is most informative when read together with margin stability and cash-flow conversion. The EPS estimates for CSX Corporation are based on earnings before non-recurring charges and credits. Stock-based compensation costs may be factored into the consensus figures.
Macro event markers
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
The next EPS estimate for CSX is 0.486, with a scheduled date of 30th of June 2026. Values are based on disclosed financial data across reporting cycles..

Revenue Breakdown by Earning Segment for CSX Snapshot

CSX's product-level revenue split is shown below, highlighting each segment's share of total revenue. Trucking rounds out the mix at 5.7%, representing CSX's smallest reported product line.
Earnings estimates provide context for forward-looking performance discussion. The estimates are provided as neutral context for research workflows and timeframe comparisons.
 Quarterly Earnings Growth
-0.004
 Dividend Share
0.52
 Earnings Share
1.54
 Revenue Per Share
7.536
 Quarterly Revenue Growth
-0.01
The gap between CSX's market value and book value reflects how the market perceives future potential versus historical cost. CSX's market capitalization is 70.98 B. The 5.4 P/B ratio shows CSX carries a substantial premium over its balance-sheet equity. Enterprise value stands at 89.66 B. The relationship between CSX's intrinsic value, market price, and book value adds depth to the analysis.
Note that CSX's intrinsic value and market price are different measures derived from different inputs. CSX's trading price represents the transaction level agreed by market participants.

CSX Corporation Return On Equity vs. Net Income Fundamental Analysis

Comparative market metrics assess CSX's pricing relative to peers.
CSX Corporation is rated fifth in net income among leading competitors. It is rated fourth in return on equity among leading competitors . At 12,834,295,868 , CSX Corporation's Net Income-to-Return On Equity multiple reflects the spread between these metrics. CSX shows Net Income firming by approximately 84.09% year over year. A year ago, CSX reported Net Income at 2.89 Billion. Valuation benchmarking positions CSX within industry multiples.

CSX Return On Equity vs. Net Income

Net income is the profit of a company for the reporting period, which is derived after taking revenues and gains and subtracting all expenses and losses. Net income is one of the most-watched numbers by money managers as well as individual investors.

CSX

Net Income

 = 

(Rev + Gain)

-

(Exp + Loss)

 = 
2.89 B
Because income is reported on the Income Statement of a company and is measured in dollars some investors prefer to use Profit Margin, which measures income as a percentage of sales.
Return on Equity (ROE) measures how effectively a company converts shareholders' equity into net income. It is calculated by dividing net income by average shareholders' equity, and it reflects management's ability to generate profit from the capital investors have committed. ROE is one of the most widely used profitability ratios because it ties directly to shareholder value creation.

CSX

Return On Equity

 = 

Net Income

Total Equity

 = 
0.23
An ROE between 10% and 30% is generally considered healthy for most industries, supporting both dividend payments and reinvestment in future growth. However, ROE should not be evaluated in isolation. A high ROE driven by excessive financial leverage can signal risk rather than efficiency, so investors typically cross-reference ROE with debt-to-equity ratios and return on assets to distinguish genuine operational strength from balance-sheet amplification.

CSX Return On Equity Comparison

CSX is currently under evaluation in return on equity among leading competitors.

CSX Profitability Projections

Lasting profit growth at CSX depends on the mix of revenue growth, cost control, and pricing power. The profit trend shows the broad direction of CSX's change in net profit over the reporting period. CSX currently maintains a profit margin of 20.5%. A rising operating margin signals that CSX's core business is getting more efficient. The operating margin stands at 32.7% while return on equity is 22.5%.
Last ReportedEnd Of Year Estimate
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income-213 M-223.7 M
Operating Income4.5 B2.6 B
Income Before Tax3.8 B2.1 B
Total Other Income Expense Net-752 M-714.4 M
Net Income2.9 B1.7 B
Income Tax Expense880 M543.1 M
Net Income Applicable To Common Shares4.8 BB
Net Income From Continuing Ops2.9 B3.1 B
Non Operating Income Net Other152.9 M160.6 M
Interest Income45 M66.6 M
Net Interest Income-799 M-839 M
Change To Netincome-124.2 M-130.4 M
Net Income Per Share 1.55 1.63
Income Quality 1.60 3.05
Net Income Per E B T 0.77 0.50

CSX Profitability Driver Comparison

Profitability drivers are a critical input for any investor evaluating CSX's long-term potential. While many factors affecting CSX's earnings are unpredictable, tracking key indicators provides a useful framework.

Earnings Estimation Breakdown

Consensus estimates for CSX converge on a next projected EPS of 0.486, with the full analyst range spanning from 0.47 to 0.5137. This range reflects differing assumptions about CSX's revenue trajectory, cost base, and guidance interpretation for the upcoming period. The estimate is based on trailing twelve months of data and excludes non-recurring charges and gains.
Last Reported EPS
0.0
0.47
Lowest
Expected EPS
0.486
0.51
Highest

Earnings Projection Consensus

If the current estimate of CSX's value is above the current market price of the CSX stock, some investors may interpret the security as potentially undervalued. If the estimate is below the current market price, others may interpret it as potentially overvalued. These are scenario-based valuation signals and should be reviewed with risk, liquidity, and fundamental context before making allocation decisions.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 30th of June 2026Current EPS (TTM)
2691.02%
0.0
0.486
1.54

Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

CSX's reported EPS represents verified per-share income from its most recent quarterly results. Expected EPS for CSX Corporation is the pre-announcement consensus derived from models that track revenue, margins, and cost structures. EPS is calculated on a weighted average share basis to accurately reflect dilution effects throughout the period.

Estimated Months Earnings per Share

For investors seeking yield from CSX, EPS growth is a key indicator of whether the company can sustain and expand its dividend over time. While EPS captures profitability per share, it should be cross-referenced with cash flow from operations to assess true payout capacity. Relative EPS comparison against sector peers adds essential context to this analysis.

Quarterly Analyst Estimates and Surprise Metrics

Earnings surprises can significantly impact CSX's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
null
nullnullnullnull
2026-01-22
2025-12-310.42230.39-0.0323
2025-10-16
2025-09-300.440.37-0.0715 
2025-07-23
2025-06-300.420.440.02
2025-04-16
2025-03-310.370.34-0.03
2025-01-23
2024-12-310.420.38-0.04
2024-10-16
2024-09-300.480.46-0.02
2024-08-05
2024-06-300.480.490.01
2024-04-17
2024-03-310.450.460.01
2024-01-24
2023-12-310.440.450.01
2023-10-19
2023-09-300.430.42-0.01
2023-07-20
2023-06-300.490.490.0
2023-04-20
2023-03-310.430.480.0511 
2023-01-25
2022-12-310.460.470.01
2022-10-20
2022-09-300.490.510.02
2022-07-20
2022-06-300.470.540.0714 
2022-04-20
2022-03-310.370.390.02
2022-01-20
2021-12-310.410.420.01
2021-10-20
2021-09-300.380.430.0513 
2021-07-21
2021-06-300.370.390.02
2021-04-20
2021-03-310.320.31-0.01
2021-01-21
2020-12-310.340.350.01
2020-10-21
2020-09-300.310.320.01
2020-07-22
2020-06-300.210.220.01
2020-04-22
2020-03-310.310.330.02
2020-01-16
2019-12-310.320.330.01
2019-10-16
2019-09-300.340.360.02
2019-07-16
2019-06-300.370.36-0.01
2019-04-16
2019-03-310.30.340.0413 
2019-01-16
2018-12-310.330.340.01
2018-10-16
2018-09-300.320.350.03
2018-07-17
2018-06-300.290.340.0517 
2018-04-17
2018-03-310.220.260.0418 
2018-01-16
2017-12-310.190.210.0210 
2017-10-17
2017-09-300.170.170.0
2017-07-18
2017-06-300.20.210.01
2017-04-19
2017-03-310.140.170.0321 
2017-01-17
2016-12-310.170.16-0.01
2016-10-12
2016-09-300.150.160.01
2016-07-13
2016-06-300.150.160.01
2016-04-12
2016-03-310.120.120.0
2016-01-12
2015-12-310.150.160.01
2015-10-13
2015-09-300.170.170.0
2015-07-14
2015-06-300.180.190.01
2015-04-14
2015-03-310.150.150.0
2015-01-13
2014-12-310.160.160.0
2014-10-14
2014-09-300.160.170.01
2014-07-15
2014-06-300.170.180.01
2014-04-15
2014-03-310.120.130.01
2014-01-15
2013-12-310.140.140.0
2013-10-15
2013-09-300.140.150.01
2013-07-16
2013-06-300.160.170.01
2013-04-16
2013-03-310.130.150.0215 
2013-01-22
2012-12-310.130.130.0
2012-10-16
2012-09-300.140.150.01
2012-07-17
2012-06-300.160.160.0
2012-04-17
2012-03-310.130.140.01
2012-01-23
2011-12-310.150.14-0.01
2011-10-18
2011-09-300.140.140.0
2011-07-19
2011-06-300.150.150.0
2011-04-19
2011-03-310.120.120.0
2011-01-24
2010-12-310.120.130.01
2010-10-12
2010-09-300.120.120.0
2010-07-12
2010-06-300.110.120.01
2010-04-13
2010-03-310.080.090.0112 
2010-01-19
2009-12-310.080.090.0112 
2009-10-13
2009-09-300.080.080.0
2009-07-13
2009-06-300.070.080.0114 
2009-04-14
2009-03-310.060.070.0116 
2009-01-20
2008-12-310.10.10.0
2008-10-14
2008-09-300.10.10.0
2008-07-15
2008-06-300.10.10.0
2008-04-15
2008-03-310.080.090.0112 
2008-01-22
2007-12-310.070.090.0228 
2007-10-16
2007-09-300.070.070.0
2007-07-17
2007-06-300.070.080.0114 
2007-04-17
2007-03-310.060.060.0
2007-01-22
2006-12-310.060.060.0
2006-10-17
2006-09-300.060.060.0
2006-07-18
2006-06-300.060.060.0
2006-04-18
2006-03-310.050.060.0120 
2006-01-24
2005-12-310.050.060.0120 
2005-10-26
2005-09-300.040.040.0
2005-07-27
2005-06-300.050.050.0
2005-04-28
2005-03-310.030.040.0133 
2005-01-25
2004-12-310.030.040.0133 
2004-10-28
2004-09-300.030.030.0
2004-07-28
2004-06-300.030.030.0
2004-04-28
2004-03-310.010.020.01100 
2004-01-27
2003-12-310.030.030.0
2003-10-22
2003-09-300.030.030.0
2003-07-24
2003-06-300.030.030.0
2003-04-30
2003-03-310.010.010.0
2003-01-30
2002-12-310.030.040.0133 
2002-10-24
2002-09-300.030.030.0
2002-07-25
2002-06-300.030.030.0
2002-05-15
2002-03-310.020.020.0
2002-02-15
2001-12-310.030.030.0
2001-11-15
2001-09-300.030.030.0
2001-08-15
2001-06-300.030.030.0
2001-05-15
2001-03-310.010.010.0
2001-02-15
2000-12-310.020.01-0.0150 
2000-11-15
2000-09-300.040.02-0.0250 
2000-08-15
2000-06-300.010.010.0
2000-05-15
2000-03-310.010.010.0
2000-02-09
1999-12-310.010.010.0
1999-10-28
1999-09-300.020.030.0150 
1999-07-22
1999-06-300.020.030.0150 
1999-04-23
1999-03-310.020.020.0
1999-01-21
1998-12-310.040.03-0.0125 
1998-10-22
1998-09-300.050.03-0.0240 
1998-07-29
1998-06-300.050.050.0
1998-04-21
1998-03-310.10.10.0
1998-01-20
1997-12-310.190.16-0.0315 
1997-10-23
1997-09-300.170.180.01
1997-07-22
1997-06-300.180.180.0
1997-04-24
1997-03-310.120.130.01
1997-01-23
1996-12-310.190.20.01
1996-10-16
1996-09-300.180.17-0.01
1996-07-18
1996-06-300.170.190.0211 
1996-04-18
1996-03-310.110.120.01

Use CSX in pair-trading

Pair analysis around CSX Corporation matters because it can turn one security idea into a more market-neutral structure. The advantage is that adverse movement in one leg may be partly offset by the other when correlation and thesis alignment hold.

CSX Pair Trading

CSX Corporation Pair Trading Analysis

Finding correlated alternatives to CSX is a practical necessity for tax-aware investors. Holding a correlated substitute during the wash-sale period minimizes portfolio drift from CSX Corporation.
The statistical relationship between CSX Corporation and other instruments is summarized by the correlation coefficient. Assets with correlations below 0.3 to CSX Corporation typically offer meaningful diversification benefits.
Pair trading evaluation alongside Correlation analysis adds hedging context for CSX. Market-based inputs including price and volume form the foundation of this dataset.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Use Investing Themes to Complement your CSX position

With 70.98 Billion market cap in the Railroads industry, CSX Corporation works well as a mid-cap core holding around which broader thematic baskets can be built. CSX Corporation 70.98 Billion mid-cap footprint in Railroads aligns sector exposure with portfolio construction goals rather than adding an isolated Industrials position.

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More Resources for CSX Stock Analysis

Understanding CSX Corporation starts with reviewing its financial statements and long-term patterns. The dataset reflects CSX's financial reporting across available periods.