Velan Inc Stock Price Patterns
| VLN Stock | CAD 15.00 0.07 0.47% |
Momentum 32
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.39) | Wall Street Target Price 14 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.13) |
Using Velan hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Velan Inc from the perspective of Velan response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Velan to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Velan because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Velan after-hype prediction price | CAD 15.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Velan |
Velan After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Velan at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Velan or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Velan, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Velan Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Velan's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Velan's historical news coverage. Velan's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.85 and 18.15, respectively. We have considered Velan's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Velan is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Velan Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Velan Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Velan is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Velan backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Velan, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.18 | 3.14 | 0.06 | 0.01 | 6 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
15.00 | 15.00 | 0.00 |
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Velan Hype Timeline
Velan Inc is at this time traded for 15.00on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Velan is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.18%. %. The volatility of related hype on Velan is about 6077.42%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.01. About 27.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.27. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Velan Inc recorded a loss per share of 3.1. The entity last dividend was issued on the 13th of November 2025. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Velan Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Velan Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Velan's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Velan's future price movements. Getting to know how Velan's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Velan may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GSI | Gatekeeper Systems | 0.12 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 5.42 | (4.47) | 13.93 | |
| DYA | DynaCERT | (0.01) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 5.56 | (5.88) | 11.81 | |
| FTG | Firan Technology Group | 0.19 | 5 per month | 2.20 | 0.15 | 4.71 | (3.10) | 16.85 | |
| ELVA | Electrovaya | 0.62 | 8 per month | 4.41 | 0.12 | 7.61 | (5.65) | 46.13 | |
| REKO | Reko International Group | 0.00 | 6 per month | 0.00 | 0.01 | 2.67 | (2.18) | 17.61 | |
| PYR | PyroGenesis Canada | (0.11) | 5 per month | 4.22 | 0.05 | 10.00 | (7.41) | 50.00 | |
| DRX | ADF Group | 0.01 | 6 per month | 1.64 | 0.13 | 9.41 | (3.31) | 15.22 | |
| ANRG | Anaergia | (0.01) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 7.02 | (6.38) | 20.54 | |
| WJX | Wajax | (0.35) | 4 per month | 0.73 | 0.11 | 2.43 | (1.57) | 10.71 |
Velan Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Velan price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Velan using various technical indicators. When you analyze Velan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Velan Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Velan stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Velan Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Velan based on analysis of Velan hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Velan's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Velan's related companies. | 2023 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.002065 | 0.005401 | 0.005131 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.76 | 0.62 | 1.0 |
Pair Trading with Velan
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Velan position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Velan will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Velan Stock
| 0.72 | CRE | Critical Elements | PairCorr |
| 0.56 | MRC | Morguard | PairCorr |
| 0.55 | INO-UN | Inovalis Real Estate | PairCorr |
| 0.53 | NA-PG | National Bank | PairCorr |
| 0.51 | PPL-PA | Pembina Pipeline Corp | PairCorr |
| 0.49 | BCE-PT | Bce Inc Pref | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Velan could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Velan when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Velan - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Velan Inc to buy it.
The correlation of Velan is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Velan moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Velan Inc moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Velan can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Other Information on Investing in Velan Stock
Velan financial ratios help investors to determine whether Velan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Velan with respect to the benefits of owning Velan security.