Nlight Inc Stock Price Prediction
| LASR Stock | USD 18.28 0.29 1.56% |
Momentum 74
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.15) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.27) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.17) | Wall Street Target Price 17.1667 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.19) |
Using NLIGHT hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of nLIGHT Inc from the perspective of NLIGHT response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards NLIGHT using NLIGHT's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards NLIGHT using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of NLIGHT's stock price.
NLIGHT Short Interest
An investor who is long NLIGHT may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about NLIGHT and may potentially protect profits, hedge NLIGHT with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 11.4724 | Short Percent 0.0327 | Short Ratio 1.72 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.7 M | 50 Day MA 15.3071 |
nLIGHT Inc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to NLIGHT's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in NLIGHT. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding NLIGHT can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around nLIGHT Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of NLIGHT's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about NLIGHT.
NLIGHT Implied Volatility | 1.14 |
NLIGHT's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of nLIGHT Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if NLIGHT's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that NLIGHT stock will not fluctuate a lot when NLIGHT's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in NLIGHT to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying NLIGHT because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
NLIGHT after-hype prediction price | USD 19.41 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current NLIGHT contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that nLIGHT Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0712% per day over the life of the 2025-09-19 option contract. With NLIGHT trading at USD 18.28, that is roughly USD 0.013 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating NLIGHT's daily price movement you should consider acquiring nLIGHT Inc options at the current volatility level of 1.14%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out NLIGHT Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of NLIGHT's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
NLIGHT After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of NLIGHT at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in NLIGHT or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of NLIGHT, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
NLIGHT Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting NLIGHT's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on NLIGHT's historical news coverage. NLIGHT's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 13.94 and 24.88, respectively. We have considered NLIGHT's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
NLIGHT is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of nLIGHT Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
NLIGHT Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as NLIGHT is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading NLIGHT backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with NLIGHT, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.64 | 5.47 | 1.13 | 0.09 | 10 Events / Month | 9 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
18.28 | 19.41 | 6.18 |
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NLIGHT Hype Timeline
nLIGHT Inc is now traded for 18.28. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 1.13, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.09. NLIGHT is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 19.41 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 6.18%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 1.64%. The volatility of related hype on NLIGHT is about 9609.46%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.19. The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (0.27) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (0.19) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of $0.19. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out NLIGHT Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.NLIGHT Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to NLIGHT's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict NLIGHT's future price movements. Getting to know how NLIGHT's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how NLIGHT may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CEVA | CEVA Inc | 0.76 | 9 per month | 4.32 | (0.02) | 5.78 | (5.63) | 40.91 | |
| AOSL | Alpha and Omega | (0.29) | 12 per month | 3.67 | 0.1 | 7.73 | (6.29) | 42.64 | |
| MXL | MaxLinear | 0.32 | 9 per month | 3.23 | 0.13 | 5.76 | (4.14) | 35.30 | |
| SGH | SGH Old | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MX | MagnaChip Semiconductor | (0.02) | 8 per month | 2.28 | 0.11 | 6.56 | (4.62) | 17.85 | |
| MTSI | MACOM Technology Solutions | (0.54) | 10 per month | 1.61 | 0.13 | 5.25 | (2.51) | 28.49 | |
| SYNA | Synaptics Incorporated | (1.69) | 9 per month | 2.63 | 0.1 | 5.24 | (4.29) | 30.95 | |
| SLAB | Silicon Laboratories | (1.31) | 11 per month | 2.61 | 0.13 | 6.62 | (2.83) | 26.65 | |
| POWI | Power Integrations | 3.00 | 11 per month | 2.30 | 0.08 | 6.43 | (4.32) | 22.39 | |
| DIOD | Diodes Incorporated | (0.90) | 12 per month | 2.76 | 0.13 | 5.99 | (4.96) | 25.29 | |
| AMKR | Amkor Technology | 0.01 | 10 per month | 2.39 | 0.11 | 4.22 | (3.55) | 31.52 | |
| SIMO | Silicon Motion Technology | (0.79) | 11 per month | 1.85 | 0.24 | 6.32 | (2.90) | 15.11 | |
| SMTC | Semtech | 0.71 | 9 per month | 3.45 | 0.16 | 8.98 | (6.56) | 25.87 |
NLIGHT Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine NLIGHT price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for NLIGHT using various technical indicators. When you analyze NLIGHT charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About NLIGHT Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of NLIGHT stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as nLIGHT Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of NLIGHT based on analysis of NLIGHT hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to NLIGHT's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to NLIGHT's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 57.17 | 81.52 | 64.15 | 46.55 | PTB Ratio | 1.66 | 2.44 | 2.32 | 2.21 |
Story Coverage note for NLIGHT
The number of cover stories for NLIGHT depends on current market conditions and NLIGHT's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that NLIGHT is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about NLIGHT's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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NLIGHT Short Properties
NLIGHT's future price predictability will typically decrease when NLIGHT's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of nLIGHT Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential NLIGHT's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NLIGHT's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 47.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 100.7 M |
Additional Tools for NLIGHT Stock Analysis
When running NLIGHT's price analysis, check to measure NLIGHT's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NLIGHT is operating at the current time. Most of NLIGHT's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NLIGHT's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NLIGHT's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NLIGHT to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.