Julong Holding Limited Stock Price Prediction

JLHL Stock   3.12  0.20  6.02%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Julong Holding's stock price is about 62. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of now. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Julong, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 62

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Julong Holding's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Julong Holding and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Julong Holding's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Julong Holding Limited, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Julong Holding's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.301
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.1
Using Julong Holding hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Julong Holding Limited from the perspective of Julong Holding response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Julong Holding to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Julong because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Julong Holding after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 3.06  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Julong Holding Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.152.938.84
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.062.798.70
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.893.894.89
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Julong Holding. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Julong Holding's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Julong Holding's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Julong Holding.

Julong Holding After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Julong Holding at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Julong Holding or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Julong Holding, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Julong Holding Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Julong Holding's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Julong Holding's historical news coverage. Julong Holding's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.15 and 8.97, respectively. We have considered Julong Holding's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
3.12
3.06
After-hype Price
8.97
Upside
Julong Holding is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Julong Holding is based on 3 months time horizon.

Julong Holding Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Julong Holding is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Julong Holding backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Julong Holding, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.25 
5.91
  0.06 
  0.02 
2 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
3.12
3.06
1.92 
2,686  
Notes

Julong Holding Hype Timeline

Julong Holding is currently traded for 3.12. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Julong is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 3.06. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -1.92%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.25%. The volatility of related hype on Julong Holding is about 8208.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.14. About 87.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out Julong Holding Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Julong Holding Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Julong Holding's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Julong Holding's future price movements. Getting to know how Julong Holding's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Julong Holding may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
SHIMShimmick Common 0.26 5 per month 3.34 (0) 12.26 (5.45) 26.47 
VATEInnovate Corp 0.09 6 per month 0.00 (0.02) 7.34 (6.54) 19.55 
SFWLShengfeng Development Limited(0.04)6 per month 4.45 (0.01) 3.90 (6.06) 27.98 
SUGPSU Group Holdings 0.59 10 per month 6.64  0.04  20.21 (12.45) 69.41 
CBATCBAK Energy Technology 0.02 7 per month 2.97  0.01  4.60 (5.49) 22.75 
DLHCDLH Holdings Corp 0.13 9 per month 2.10 (0) 5.02 (3.92) 13.48 
FTEKFuel Tech(0.07)9 per month 0.00 (0.29) 6.51 (7.61) 21.55 
OPTTOcean Power Technologies(0.01)11 per month 0.00 (0.08) 7.89 (9.52) 48.21 
RYMRYTHM, Inc(0.19)7 per month 0.00 (0.01) 11.59 (14.29) 49.66 
XCHXCHG Limited American(0.06)10 per month 7.75  0.04  15.79 (10.66) 122.83 

Julong Holding Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Julong price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Julong using various technical indicators. When you analyze Julong charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Julong Holding Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Julong Holding stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Julong Holding Limited, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Julong Holding based on analysis of Julong Holding hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Julong Holding's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Julong Holding's related companies.
 2024 2025 (projected)
Effective Tax Rate0.140.12
Operating Profit Margin0.10.08

Story Coverage note for Julong Holding

The number of cover stories for Julong Holding depends on current market conditions and Julong Holding's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Julong Holding is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Julong Holding's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Julong Holding Short Properties

Julong Holding's future price predictability will typically decrease when Julong Holding's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Julong Holding Limited often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Julong Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Julong Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding21.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments20.6 M
When determining whether Julong Holding is a strong investment it is important to analyze Julong Holding's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Julong Holding's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Julong Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Julong Holding Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Is Building Products & Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Julong Holding. If investors know Julong will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Julong Holding listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.301
Earnings Share
0.13
Revenue Per Share
9.142
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.1
Return On Assets
0.0861
The market value of Julong Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Julong that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Julong Holding's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Julong Holding's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Julong Holding's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Julong Holding's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Julong Holding's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Julong Holding is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Julong Holding's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.