Intact Financial Corp Preferred Stock Price Patterns

IFC-PE Preferred Stock  CAD 23.76  0.01  0.04%   
The value of RSI of Intact Financial's preferred stock price is about 62. This usually indicates that the preferred stock is rather overbought by investors as of today. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Intact, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 62

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Intact Financial's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Intact Financial Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Intact Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Intact Financial Corp from the perspective of Intact Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Intact Financial to buy its preferred stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Intact because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell preferred stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Intact Financial after-hype prediction price

    
  CAD 23.76  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as preferred stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Intact Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.4023.8024.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
23.1723.5823.98
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20.4423.8624.04
Details

Intact Financial After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Intact Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Intact Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Preferred Stock prices, such as prices of Intact Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Intact Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Intact Financial's preferred stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Intact Financial's historical news coverage. Intact Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 23.36 and 24.16, respectively. We have considered Intact Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
23.76
23.76
After-hype Price
24.16
Upside
Intact Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Intact Financial Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Intact Financial Preferred Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Intact Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Intact Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Preferred Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Intact Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.01 
0.40
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
23.76
23.76
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Intact Financial Hype Timeline

Intact Financial Corp is currently traded for 23.76on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Intact is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Intact Financial is about 315.79%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 23.76. About 14.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 11.48. Intact Financial Corp last dividend was issued on the 13th of September 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain.
Check out Intact Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Intact Financial Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Intact Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Intact Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Intact Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Intact Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Intact Financial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Intact price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Intact using various technical indicators. When you analyze Intact charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Intact Financial Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Intact Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Intact Financial Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Intact Financial based on analysis of Intact Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Intact Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Intact Financial's related companies.

Pair Trading with Intact Financial

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Intact Financial position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Intact Financial will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Intact Preferred Stock

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Intact Financial could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Intact Financial when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Intact Financial - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Intact Financial Corp to buy it.
The correlation of Intact Financial is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Intact Financial moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Intact Financial Corp moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Intact Financial can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

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When running Intact Financial's price analysis, check to measure Intact Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Intact Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Intact Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Intact Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Intact Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Intact Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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