Health Catalyst Stock Price Prediction
| HCAT Stock | USD 4.06 0.01 0.25% |
Momentum 39
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.0788 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.2417 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.3818 | Wall Street Target Price 7.2 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.0023 |
Using Health Catalyst hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Health Catalyst from the perspective of Health Catalyst response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Health Catalyst using Health Catalyst's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Health using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Health Catalyst's stock price.
Health Catalyst Short Interest
An investor who is long Health Catalyst may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Health Catalyst and may potentially protect profits, hedge Health Catalyst with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 5.8804 | Short Percent 0.0531 | Short Ratio 5.79 | Shares Short Prior Month 3.2 M | 50 Day MA 3.9431 |
Health Catalyst Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Health Catalyst's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Health. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Health can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Health Catalyst. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Health Catalyst's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Health Catalyst.
Health Catalyst Implied Volatility | 1.01 |
Health Catalyst's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Health Catalyst stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Health Catalyst's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Health Catalyst stock will not fluctuate a lot when Health Catalyst's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Health Catalyst to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Health because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Health Catalyst after-hype prediction price | USD 4.07 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Health Catalyst Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Health Catalyst After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Health Catalyst at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Health Catalyst or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Health Catalyst, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Health Catalyst Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Health Catalyst's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Health Catalyst's historical news coverage. Health Catalyst's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.60 and 7.54, respectively. We have considered Health Catalyst's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Health Catalyst is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Health Catalyst is based on 3 months time horizon.
Health Catalyst Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Health Catalyst is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Health Catalyst backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Health Catalyst, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 3.47 | 0.01 | 0.08 | 10 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
4.06 | 4.07 | 0.25 |
|
Health Catalyst Hype Timeline
Health Catalyst is currently traded for 4.06. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.08. Health is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 4.07 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.25%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.09%. The volatility of related hype on Health Catalyst is about 382.37%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.98. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 306.58 M. Net Loss for the year was (69.5 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 143 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Health Catalyst Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Health Catalyst Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Health Catalyst's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Health Catalyst's future price movements. Getting to know how Health Catalyst's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Health Catalyst may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GNTX | Gentex | (0.45) | 12 per month | 1.78 | (0.05) | 2.87 | (2.81) | 9.16 | |
| TSLA | Tesla Inc | (5.79) | 6 per month | 4.09 | 0.06 | 6.94 | (5.75) | 36.95 | |
| MCHX | Marchex | (0.33) | 13 per month | 2.81 | 0.09 | 8.39 | (5.37) | 19.61 | |
| TME | Tencent Music Entertainment | 0.03 | 10 per month | 2.36 | 0.12 | 5.20 | (3.71) | 19.37 | |
| GLBE | Global E Online | (0.24) | 10 per month | 5.08 | (0.02) | 4.52 | (5.18) | 40.17 | |
| IAS | Integral Ad Science | (0.01) | 8 per month | 2.73 | 0.01 | 4.72 | (3.29) | 22.60 | |
| CSXXY | CarsalesCom Ltd ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.02 | 0.03 | 8.04 | (5.26) | 18.80 | |
| PCAR | PACCAR Inc | (0.47) | 13 per month | 1.96 | (0.04) | 3.30 | (2.27) | 14.21 |
Health Catalyst Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Health price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Health using various technical indicators. When you analyze Health charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Health Catalyst Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Health Catalyst stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Health Catalyst, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Health Catalyst based on analysis of Health Catalyst hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Health Catalyst's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Health Catalyst's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Health Catalyst
The number of cover stories for Health Catalyst depends on current market conditions and Health Catalyst's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Health Catalyst is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Health Catalyst's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Health Catalyst Short Properties
Health Catalyst's future price predictability will typically decrease when Health Catalyst's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Health Catalyst often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Health Catalyst's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Health Catalyst's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 60.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 392 M |
Additional Tools for Health Stock Analysis
When running Health Catalyst's price analysis, check to measure Health Catalyst's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Health Catalyst is operating at the current time. Most of Health Catalyst's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Health Catalyst's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Health Catalyst's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Health Catalyst to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.