First Community Bancshares Stock Price Prediction
FCBC Stock | USD 37.46 0.52 1.37% |
Momentum 42
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.03) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.64 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.56 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.84 | Wall Street Target Price 41 |
Using First Community hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of First Community Bancshares from the perspective of First Community response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards First Community using First Community's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards First using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of First Community's stock price.
First Community Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in First Community's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards First. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of First Community stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 40.1339 | Short Percent 0.0091 | Short Ratio 3.64 | Shares Short Prior Month 133.9 K | 50 Day MA 38.4488 |
First Community Banc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to First Community's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in First. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding First can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around First Community Bancshares. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of First Community's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about First Community.
First Community Implied Volatility | 0.65 |
First Community's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of First Community Bancshares stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if First Community's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that First Community stock will not fluctuate a lot when First Community's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in First Community to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying First because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
First Community after-hype prediction price | USD 37.45 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out First Community Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. First Community After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of First Community at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in First Community or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of First Community, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
First Community Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting First Community's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on First Community's historical news coverage. First Community's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 35.80 and 39.10, respectively. We have considered First Community's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
First Community is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of First Community Banc is based on 3 months time horizon.
First Community Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as First Community is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading First Community backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with First Community, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 1.65 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 5 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
37.46 | 37.45 | 0.03 |
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First Community Hype Timeline
First Community Banc is currently traded for 37.46. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. First is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 37.45. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.03%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.01%. The volatility of related hype on First Community is about 14142.86%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 37.46. About 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.36. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. First Community Banc last dividend was issued on the 8th of August 2025. The entity had 11:10 split on the 30th of July 2003. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 5 days. Check out First Community Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.First Community Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to First Community's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict First Community's future price movements. Getting to know how First Community's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how First Community may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
HFBL | Home Federal Bancorp | (0.46) | 4 per month | 2.14 | (0.01) | 3.18 | (3.20) | 10.30 | |
MGYR | Magyar Bancorp | (0.29) | 6 per month | 1.02 | 0.07 | 2.16 | (1.82) | 6.86 | |
LSBK | Lake Shore Bancorp | (0.15) | 5 per month | 0.55 | 0.13 | 2.09 | (1.12) | 4.24 | |
OPOF | Old Point Financial | 0.56 | 9 per month | 0.98 | (0.01) | 2.32 | (1.70) | 5.50 | |
PEBK | Peoples Bancorp of | 0.26 | 10 per month | 2.03 | 0.06 | 4.34 | (2.98) | 13.38 | |
PKBK | Parke Bancorp | 0.15 | 8 per month | 1.07 | 0.08 | 3.23 | (2.36) | 7.12 |
First Community Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine First price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First using various technical indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
About First Community Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of First Community stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as First Community Bancshares, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of First Community based on analysis of First Community hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to First Community's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to First Community's related companies. 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0331 | 0.0316 | 0.0288 | 0.037 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.94 | 4.03 | 4.34 | 2.49 |
Story Coverage note for First Community
The number of cover stories for First Community depends on current market conditions and First Community's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that First Community is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about First Community's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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First Community Short Properties
First Community's future price predictability will typically decrease when First Community's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of First Community Bancshares often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential First Community's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. First Community's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 18.4 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 216.7 M |
Complementary Tools for First Stock analysis
When running First Community's price analysis, check to measure First Community's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Community is operating at the current time. Most of First Community's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Community's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Community's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Community to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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