Core Main Stock Price Patterns

CNM Stock  USD 55.88  0.64  1.13%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Core Main's stock price is about 64 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of now. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Core, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 64

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Core Main's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Core Main and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Core Main's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Core Main, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Core Main's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.046
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.3118
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.5775
Wall Street Target Price
61.0625
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.7064
Using Core Main hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Core Main from the perspective of Core Main response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Core Main using Core Main's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Core using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Core Main's stock price.

Core Main Short Interest

An investor who is long Core Main may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Core Main and may potentially protect profits, hedge Core Main with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
55.6181
Short Percent
0.0508
Short Ratio
4.56
Shares Short Prior Month
9.7 M
50 Day MA
53.2912

Core Main Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Core Main's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Core. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Core can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Core Main. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Core Main's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Core Main.

Core Main Implied Volatility

    
  0.58  
Core Main's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Core Main stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Core Main's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Core Main stock will not fluctuate a lot when Core Main's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Core Main to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Core because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Core Main after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 56.65  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Core contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Core Main will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0363% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Core Main trading at USD 55.88, that is roughly USD 0.0203 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Core Main's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Core Main options at the current volatility level of 0.58%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Core Main Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Core Stock, please use our How to Invest in Core Main guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
52.8855.1257.36
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
50.8753.1155.35
Details
14 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
55.5761.0667.78
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.630.640.68
Details

Core Main After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Core Main at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Core Main or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Core Main, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Core Main Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Core Main's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Core Main's historical news coverage. Core Main's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 54.41 and 58.89, respectively. We have considered Core Main's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
55.88
56.65
After-hype Price
58.89
Upside
Core Main is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Core Main is based on 3 months time horizon.

Core Main Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Core Main is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Core Main backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Core Main, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.20 
2.24
  0.13 
  0.01 
10 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
55.88
56.65
0.23 
334.33  
Notes

Core Main Hype Timeline

On the 5th of February Core Main is traded for 55.88. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.13, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Core is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 56.65 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.23%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.2%. The volatility of related hype on Core Main is about 5894.74%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 55.87. The company reported the last year's revenue of 7.44 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 434 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 2.08 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Core Main Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Core Stock, please use our How to Invest in Core Main guide.

Core Main Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Core Main's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Core Main's future price movements. Getting to know how Core Main's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Core Main may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
POOLPool Corporation 3.71 10 per month 0.00 (0.08) 3.03 (2.65) 6.97 
AITApplied Industrial Technologies(3.48)9 per month 1.60  0.08  2.73 (2.10) 9.70 
DCIDonaldson 0.03 9 per month 0.74  0.21  2.43 (1.74) 9.29 
FLSFlowserve(0.54)9 per month 1.20  0.14  2.46 (2.28) 8.50 
WMSAdvanced Drainage Systems(2.95)12 per month 1.17  0.09  3.31 (2.33) 11.59 
AOSSmith AO(0.36)10 per month 0.90  0.14  2.66 (2.04) 7.53 
GNRCGenerac Holdings 3.66 7 per month 3.14  0.03  4.15 (4.80) 10.93 
WTSWatts Water Technologies 0.49 9 per month 1.34  0.08  2.75 (1.61) 9.37 
ARMKAramark Holdings(0.25)11 per month 1.30 (0.04) 1.87 (2.33) 6.45 
SWKStanley Black Decker(0.69)8 per month 1.42  0.14  4.60 (2.60) 10.50 

Core Main Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Core price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Core using various technical indicators. When you analyze Core charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Core Main Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Core Main stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Core Main, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Core Main based on analysis of Core Main hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Core Main's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Core Main's related companies.
 2025 2026 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0049930.004743
Price To Sales Ratio1.671.19

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When determining whether Core Main is a strong investment it is important to analyze Core Main's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Core Main's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Core Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Core Main Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Core Stock, please use our How to Invest in Core Main guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
Will Trading Companies & Distributors sector continue expanding? Could Core diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Core Main. Projected growth potential of Core fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Core Main data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.046
Earnings Share
2.28
Revenue Per Share
40.87
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.012
Return On Assets
0.0727
Understanding Core Main requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Core's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Core Main's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Core Main's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Core Main's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Core Main should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Core Main's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.