Bitdeer Technologies Group Stock Price Prediction

BTDR Stock   14.04  0.15  1.06%   
As of today, the relative strength indicator of Bitdeer Technologies' share price is approaching 45 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Bitdeer Technologies, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 45

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Bitdeer Technologies' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Bitdeer Technologies and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Bitdeer Technologies' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Bitdeer Technologies Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Bitdeer Technologies' stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.115
EPS Estimate Current Year
(0.91)
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.9225
Wall Street Target Price
31.9167
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
(0.14)
Using Bitdeer Technologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bitdeer Technologies Group from the perspective of Bitdeer Technologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Bitdeer Technologies using Bitdeer Technologies' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Bitdeer using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Bitdeer Technologies' stock price.

Bitdeer Technologies Short Interest

An investor who is long Bitdeer Technologies may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Bitdeer Technologies and may potentially protect profits, hedge Bitdeer Technologies with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
13.9189
Short Percent
0.1765
Short Ratio
4.43
Shares Short Prior Month
23.8 M
50 Day MA
12.3648

Bitdeer Technologies Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Bitdeer Technologies' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Bitdeer. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Bitdeer can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Bitdeer Technologies Group. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Bitdeer Technologies' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Bitdeer Technologies.

Bitdeer Technologies Implied Volatility

    
  1.09  
Bitdeer Technologies' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Bitdeer Technologies Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Bitdeer Technologies' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Bitdeer Technologies stock will not fluctuate a lot when Bitdeer Technologies' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Bitdeer Technologies to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Bitdeer because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Bitdeer Technologies after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 14.04  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Bitdeer contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Bitdeer Technologies Group will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0681% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Bitdeer Technologies trading at USD 14.04, that is roughly USD 0.009565 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Bitdeer Technologies' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Bitdeer Technologies Group options at the current volatility level of 1.09%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Bitdeer Technologies Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bitdeer Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.6613.0219.38
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.2717.6323.99
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
29.0431.9235.43
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.43-0.23-0.15
Details

Bitdeer Technologies After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Bitdeer Technologies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bitdeer Technologies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Bitdeer Technologies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Bitdeer Technologies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Bitdeer Technologies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bitdeer Technologies' historical news coverage. Bitdeer Technologies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.68 and 20.40, respectively. We have considered Bitdeer Technologies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
14.04
14.04
After-hype Price
20.40
Upside
Bitdeer Technologies is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bitdeer Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.

Bitdeer Technologies Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bitdeer Technologies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bitdeer Technologies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bitdeer Technologies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.69 
6.39
  1.61 
  0.04 
20 Events / Month
8 Events / Month
In about 20 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
14.04
14.04
0.00 
274.25  
Notes

Bitdeer Technologies Hype Timeline

Bitdeer Technologies is currently traded for 14.04. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 1.61, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Bitdeer is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.69%. %. The volatility of related hype on Bitdeer Technologies is about 10650.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.08. About 36.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 5.01. Bitdeer Technologies had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 20 days.
Check out Bitdeer Technologies Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Bitdeer Technologies Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Bitdeer Technologies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bitdeer Technologies' future price movements. Getting to know how Bitdeer Technologies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bitdeer Technologies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CLSKCleanSpark 2.33 8 per month 0.00 (0.08) 12.27 (8.72) 33.02 
OSOneStream Class A(0.45)23 per month 2.60  0.1  6.39 (4.81) 29.57 
WKWorkiva 0.85 2 per month 0.00 (0.1) 3.07 (3.07) 10.41 
BULLWebull Corp(0.26)10 per month 0.00 (0.18) 4.58 (5.86) 12.33 
CWANClearwater Analytics Holdings(0.26)18 per month 1.99  0.14  5.40 (3.95) 14.20 
BILLBill Com Holdings(0.31)10 per month 0.00 (0.07) 3.51 (4.27) 18.79 
CALXCalix Inc(0.26)10 per month 0.00 (0.07) 2.63 (4.18) 14.05 
NAVNNavan Class A(0.27)10 per month 0.00 (0.09) 9.63 (10.70) 21.66 
STNEStoneCo(0.45)16 per month 0.00 (0.06) 4.17 (6.88) 15.52 
ACIWACI Worldwide(0.32)9 per month 0.00 (0.15) 2.08 (3.30) 9.43 

Bitdeer Technologies Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Bitdeer price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bitdeer using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bitdeer charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Bitdeer Technologies Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Bitdeer Technologies stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Bitdeer Technologies Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Bitdeer Technologies based on analysis of Bitdeer Technologies hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Bitdeer Technologies's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Bitdeer Technologies's related companies.
 2023 2024 2025 2026 (projected)
Days Sales Outstanding17.326.2323.6114.52
PTB Ratio2.9510.779.6910.17

Pair Trading with Bitdeer Technologies

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Bitdeer Technologies position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Bitdeer Technologies will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Bitdeer Stock

  0.68BRK-A Berkshire HathawayPairCorr
  0.67SMRT SmartRentPairCorr
  0.46CYCC CYCC Old Symbol ChangePairCorr
  0.34API Agora IncPairCorr
  0.31ONTF ON24 IncPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Bitdeer Technologies could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Bitdeer Technologies when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Bitdeer Technologies - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Bitdeer Technologies Group to buy it.
The correlation of Bitdeer Technologies is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Bitdeer Technologies moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Bitdeer Technologies moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Bitdeer Technologies can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for Bitdeer Stock Analysis

When running Bitdeer Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Bitdeer Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bitdeer Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Bitdeer Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bitdeer Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bitdeer Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bitdeer Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.