Autonation Stock Price Prediction
| AN Stock | USD 211.85 2.41 1.12% |
Momentum 61
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using AutoNation hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of AutoNation from the perspective of AutoNation response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in AutoNation to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying AutoNation because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
AutoNation after-hype prediction price | USD 211.85 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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AutoNation After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of AutoNation at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in AutoNation or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of AutoNation, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
AutoNation Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting AutoNation's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on AutoNation's historical news coverage. AutoNation's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 210.28 and 213.42, respectively. We have considered AutoNation's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
AutoNation is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of AutoNation is based on 3 months time horizon.
AutoNation Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as AutoNation is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading AutoNation backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with AutoNation, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 1.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
211.85 | 211.85 | 0.00 |
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AutoNation Hype Timeline
As of January 26, 2026 AutoNation is listed for 211.85. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. AutoNation is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.13%. %. The volatility of related hype on AutoNation is about 78500.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 211.85. About 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of AutoNation was presently reported as 68.11. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.87. AutoNation recorded earning per share (EPS) of 16.97. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 2:1 split on the 10th of June 1996. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out AutoNation Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.AutoNation Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to AutoNation's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict AutoNation's future price movements. Getting to know how AutoNation's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how AutoNation may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LAD | Lithia Motors | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.61 | (0.02) | 3.28 | (2.97) | 9.83 | |
| LKQ | LKQ Corporation | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.66 | 0.05 | 3.36 | (2.55) | 9.62 | |
| KMX | CarMax Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.28 | 0.01 | 5.33 | (4.21) | 24.48 | |
| GPI | Group 1 Automotive | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.29 | (0.06) | 2.58 | (2.22) | 6.18 | |
| PAG | Penske Automotive Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.62 | (2.10) | 6.07 | |
| VFS | VinFast Auto Ltd | 0.02 | 8 per month | 2.43 | (0.03) | 3.29 | (3.83) | 15.20 | |
| ABG | Asbury Automotive Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.71 | (0.02) | 3.65 | (2.56) | 10.40 | |
| ALSN | Allison Transmission Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.80 | 0.26 | 3.31 | (1.46) | 6.81 | |
| LEVI | Levi Strauss Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.71 | (0.03) | 3.64 | (3.46) | 8.59 | |
| MUSA | Murphy USA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.85 | 0.04 | 2.90 | (2.45) | 7.34 |
AutoNation Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine AutoNation price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for AutoNation using various technical indicators. When you analyze AutoNation charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About AutoNation Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of AutoNation stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as AutoNation, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of AutoNation based on analysis of AutoNation hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to AutoNation's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to AutoNation's related companies.
Pair Trading with AutoNation
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if AutoNation position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in AutoNation will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with AutoNation Stock
| 0.78 | WMT | Walmart Common Stock Sell-off Trend | PairCorr |
| 0.83 | SAR | Saratoga Investment Corp | PairCorr |
| 0.79 | ACN | Accenture plc Sell-off Trend | PairCorr |
Moving against AutoNation Stock
| 0.67 | HNHPF | Hon Hai Precision | PairCorr |
| 0.57 | JD | JD Inc Adr Aggressive Push | PairCorr |
| 0.32 | PG | Procter Gamble | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to AutoNation could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace AutoNation when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back AutoNation - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling AutoNation to buy it.
The correlation of AutoNation is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as AutoNation moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if AutoNation moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for AutoNation can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out AutoNation Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in AutoNation Stock, please use our How to Invest in AutoNation guide.You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Stock space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AutoNation. If investors know AutoNation will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about AutoNation listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of AutoNation is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AutoNation that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AutoNation's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AutoNation's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AutoNation's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AutoNation's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AutoNation's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AutoNation is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AutoNation's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.