Amazon (Germany) Price Patterns

AMZ Stock  EUR 181.66  -1.82  -0.99%   
As of today, the momentum index for Amazon stands at 42, indicating moderately negative momentum. This range suggests moderated price movement without extreme directional pressure.
Momentum
Sell Extended
 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Amazon's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Amazon Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
This view frames how Amazon Inc responds to recent headlines and peer activity within its market context.
This sentiment view summarizes headline intensity and market attention around Amazon to frame short-term volatility context.
Amazon after-hype prediction price
    
  € 182.14  
Sentiment indicators are one input among forecasting models, technical signals, analyst estimates, earnings data, and momentum measures.
  
Use Amazon Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify projections for Amazon. The models provide an additional statistical reference.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Amazon's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
154.29156.26199.83
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
178.06180.04182.01
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
160.27183.92207.57
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Amazon. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Amazon's peers to derive any actionable benefits.

After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Amazon at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Amazon's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Amazon's historical news coverage.
Current Value
181.66
180.17
Downside
182.14
After-hype Price
184.11
Upside
The after-hype framework applied to Amazon Inc assumes a 3 months review window and focuses on post-sentiment normalization rather than raw momentum. This view is most useful when investors want to compare sentiment-driven price extension with a more measured post-news scenario.

Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Amazon is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Amazon backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Amazon, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.05 
1.97
  0.48 
 0.00  
9 Events
1 Events
In 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
181.66
182.14
0.26 
20.39  
Notes

Hype Timeline

Amazon Inc is presently traded for 181.66on Hamburg Exchange of Germany. The company has historical hype elasticity of 0.48, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Amazon is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 182.14 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 20.39%. The price boost on the next news is expected to be 0.26%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.05%. The volatility of related hype on Amazon is about 19700.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 181.66. The company reported revenue of 716.92 B. Net Income was 77.67 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 65.93 B. Assuming the 90-day trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 9 days.
Use Amazon Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify projections for Amazon. The models provide an additional statistical reference.

Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Amazon's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Amazon's future price movements. Getting to know how Amazon's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social.

Amazon Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Amazon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Amazon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Amazon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Sentiment Indicators & Methodology

Sentiment analysis for Amazon evaluates news tone, positioning, and narrative momentum. Certain defensive traits may reduce sensitivity to broader macroeconomic fluctuations. Amazon has a market cap of 1.55 T.

Unless otherwise specified, data for Amazon Inc is compiled from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and standardized for comparability. Updates may occur throughout the day.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Raphi Shpitalnik - Junior Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board

Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!

The Portfolio Prophet is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.

Try Portfolio Prophet

More Resources for Amazon Stock Analysis

A structured review of Amazon Inc often starts with core financial statements and trend context. Key ratios help frame profitability, efficiency, and growth context for Amazon Inc Stock. Outlined below are key reports that provide context for Amazon Inc Stock:
Use Amazon Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify projections for Amazon. The models provide an additional statistical reference.
Analysis related to Amazon should be read together with other portfolio and risk tools before capital is reallocated. That is especially important when the goal is to improve the overall mix of instruments already held. You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.
Note that Amazon's intrinsic value and market price are different measures derived from different inputs. For Amazon, key inputs include a P/B ratio of 5.44, and revenue of 716.92 B. By contrast, market price reflects the level where buyers and sellers transact.