American Integrity Insurance Stock Price Prediction
| AII Stock | 19.61 1.15 5.54% |
Momentum 67
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.486 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.838 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.745 | Wall Street Target Price 25 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.606 |
Using American Integrity hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of American Integrity Insurance from the perspective of American Integrity response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
American Integrity Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to American Integrity's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in American. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding American can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around American Integrity Insurance. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of American Integrity's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about American Integrity.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in American Integrity to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying American because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
American Integrity after-hype prediction price | USD 20.74 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out American Integrity Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. American Integrity After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of American Integrity at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in American Integrity or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of American Integrity, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
American Integrity Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting American Integrity's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on American Integrity's historical news coverage. American Integrity's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 18.22 and 23.26, respectively. We have considered American Integrity's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
American Integrity is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of American Integrity is based on 3 months time horizon.
American Integrity Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as American Integrity is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading American Integrity backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with American Integrity, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 2.52 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 11 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
19.61 | 20.74 | 0.10 |
|
American Integrity Hype Timeline
On the 21st of November American Integrity is traded for 19.61. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. American is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 20.74. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.1%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.13%. The volatility of related hype on American Integrity is about 4000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 19.60. About 55.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.47. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. American Integrity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days. Check out American Integrity Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.American Integrity Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to American Integrity's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict American Integrity's future price movements. Getting to know how American Integrity's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how American Integrity may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DGICA | Donegal Group A | 0.34 | 11 per month | 0.98 | 0.12 | 2.54 | (1.61) | 8.99 | |
| GBLI | Global Indemnity Group, | 0.50 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.59 | (2.06) | 5.98 | |
| ACIC | American Coastal Insurance | (0.31) | 7 per month | 1.75 | 0.01 | 2.60 | (2.62) | 8.44 | |
| UNTY | Unity Bancorp | 0.10 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 3.46 | (4.04) | 14.66 | |
| CBNK | Capital Bancorp | (1.02) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 2.63 | (2.88) | 9.54 | |
| GLAD | Gladstone Capital | (0.15) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 2.02 | (2.26) | 10.09 | |
| BWB | Bridgewater Bancshares | (0.09) | 7 per month | 1.85 | 0.02 | 3.96 | (2.86) | 11.00 | |
| NRIM | Northrim BanCorp | (0.02) | 7 per month | 1.66 | 0.04 | 3.93 | (2.31) | 12.81 | |
| MSBI | Midland States Bancorp | (0.07) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.93 | (2.84) | 15.57 | |
| ECC | Eagle Point Credit | 0.09 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.76 | (3.38) | 7.98 |
American Integrity Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine American price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for American using various technical indicators. When you analyze American charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About American Integrity Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of American Integrity stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as American Integrity Insurance, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of American Integrity based on analysis of American Integrity hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to American Integrity's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to American Integrity's related companies. | 2010 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.005551 | 0.0363 | 0.0381 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.65 | 1.62 | 1.79 |
Story Coverage note for American Integrity
The number of cover stories for American Integrity depends on current market conditions and American Integrity's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that American Integrity is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about American Integrity's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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American Integrity Short Properties
American Integrity's future price predictability will typically decrease when American Integrity's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of American Integrity Insurance often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential American Integrity's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. American Integrity's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 19.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 262.3 M |
Complementary Tools for American Stock analysis
When running American Integrity's price analysis, check to measure American Integrity's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American Integrity is operating at the current time. Most of American Integrity's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American Integrity's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American Integrity's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American Integrity to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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