Aberdeen Income Credit Fund Price Prediction
| ACP Fund | USD 5.55 0.03 0.54% |
Momentum 73
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Aberdeen Income hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Aberdeen Income Credit from the perspective of Aberdeen Income response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Aberdeen Income to buy its fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Aberdeen because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Aberdeen Income after-hype prediction price | USD 5.55 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Aberdeen |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Aberdeen Income's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Aberdeen Income After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Aberdeen Income at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Aberdeen Income or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Fund prices, such as prices of Aberdeen Income, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Aberdeen Income Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Aberdeen Income's fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Aberdeen Income's historical news coverage. Aberdeen Income's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.83 and 6.27, respectively. We have considered Aberdeen Income's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Aberdeen Income is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Aberdeen Income Credit is based on 3 months time horizon.
Aberdeen Income Fund Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Fund such as Aberdeen Income is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Aberdeen Income backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Aberdeen Income, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 0.72 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 4 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
5.55 | 5.55 | 0.00 |
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Aberdeen Income Hype Timeline
On the 28th of January Aberdeen Income Credit is traded for 5.55. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. Aberdeen is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.08%. %. The volatility of related hype on Aberdeen Income is about 529.41%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.54. About 20.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.81. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Aberdeen Income Credit last dividend was issued on the 21st of November 2022. The entity had a split on the 19th of May 2021. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Aberdeen Income Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Aberdeen Income Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Aberdeen Income's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Aberdeen Income's future price movements. Getting to know how Aberdeen Income's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Aberdeen Income may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| JQC | Nuveen Credit Strategies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.36 | (0.04) | 1.01 | (0.61) | 2.03 | |
| PAXS | PIMCO Access Income | (0.80) | 7 per month | 0.46 | (0) | 1.03 | (0.78) | 2.41 | |
| IGR | Cbre Clarion Global | 0.06 | 1 per month | 1.13 | (0.05) | 1.61 | (1.85) | 3.81 | |
| NIE | Allianzgi Equity Convertible | 0.06 | 3 per month | 0.55 | 0.01 | 1.11 | (1.06) | 2.52 | |
| STK | Columbia Seligman Premium | (0.80) | 3 per month | 1.42 | 0.03 | 2.24 | (2.28) | 7.32 | |
| NKX | Nuveen California Amt | 0.01 | 5 per month | 0.56 | (0.08) | 0.56 | (0.78) | 3.53 | |
| WDI | Western Asset Diversified | (0.01) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 0.72 | (0.93) | 2.95 | |
| DLY | Doubleline Yield Opportunities | 0.06 | 4 per month | 0.31 | (0.12) | 0.62 | (0.61) | 1.40 | |
| LDP | Cohen Steers Limited | 0.06 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 0.63 | (0.68) | 2.24 | |
| NOSGX | Northern Small Cap | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.13 | 2.50 | (1.24) | 71.02 |
Aberdeen Income Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Aberdeen price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Aberdeen using various technical indicators. When you analyze Aberdeen charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Aberdeen Income Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Aberdeen Income stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Aberdeen Income Credit, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Aberdeen Income based on analysis of Aberdeen Income hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Aberdeen Income's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Aberdeen Income's related companies.
Pair Trading with Aberdeen Income
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Aberdeen Income position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Aberdeen Income will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Aberdeen Fund
| 0.7 | KF | Korea Closed | PairCorr |
| 0.75 | OPGSX | Oppenheimer Gold Spec | PairCorr |
| 0.8 | FSAGX | Gold Portfolio Gold | PairCorr |
| 0.77 | GOLDX | Gabelli Gold Steady Growth | PairCorr |
| 0.66 | FKRCX | Franklin Gold Precious Steady Growth | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Aberdeen Income could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Aberdeen Income when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Aberdeen Income - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Aberdeen Income Credit to buy it.
The correlation of Aberdeen Income is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Aberdeen Income moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Aberdeen Income Credit moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Aberdeen Income can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Other Information on Investing in Aberdeen Fund
Aberdeen Income financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aberdeen Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aberdeen with respect to the benefits of owning Aberdeen Income security.
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