Workday Stock Performance

WDAY Stock  USD 135.96  2.58  1.93%   
The firm maintains a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.84, which signifies generally lower market sensitivity than the broad market. As returns on the market increase, Workday's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during a bear market, the loss from holding Workday is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Workday has a negative expected return of -0.72%.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weak
 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days, Workday generated negative risk-adjusted returns and added little value for investors with long positions. Current market capitalization is about 35.76 Billion. Despite uncertain performance in the last few months, the stock's basic indicators remain somewhat strong, which may send shares a bit higher in April 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company's investors. Learn More

Actual Historical Performance (%)

 One Day Return
1.93
 Five Day Return
1.74
 Year To Date Return
-33.93
 Ten Year Return
88.83
 All Time Return
164
Begin Period Cash Flow1.6 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities333 M

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 21,799 in Workday on December 22, 2025 and sold it today you would have lost $ 8,203 from holding Workday or given up 37.63% of portfolio value over 90 days. Workday does not currently generate positive expected returns and carries 2.8554% risk (volatility on return distribution) over a 90-day horizon. In different words, 25% of stocks are less volatile than Workday, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This relative risk-return summary reviews how the instrument behaves against its benchmark. It highlights whether the current reward profile compensates for the level of uncertainty assumed. Given the investment horizon of 90 days Workday is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.49 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.25 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.11 per unit of volatility.

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Workday Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of organized markets for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded stocks are consistently mispriced before demand and supply correct the spread. One possible explanation is that these stocks carry additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
135.96 90 days 135.96
about 86.83
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Workday moving above the current price in 90 days from now are about 86.83 (This Workday probability density function shows the probability of Workday Stock falling within a particular range of prices over 90 days).
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Workday has a beta of 0.84. This entails as returns on the market go up, Workday's average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during a bear market, the loss from holding Workday is expected to be smaller as well. Additionally, Workday has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Workday Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Workday

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the stock market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual instruments such as Workday. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Workday's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
129.38132.24149.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
122.36152.52155.38
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
122.37125.23128.08
Details
Analyst
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
164.99181.31201.25
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Workday. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Workday's peers to derive any actionable benefits.

Primary Risk Indicators

The last 10-20 years have been a volatile period for the stock market. Workday is no exception. The market experienced several large corrections towards Workday's value, including sharp drops and substantial rallies. An investor can limit portfolio swings by implementing a hedging strategy designed to reduce downside losses. If you hold Workday, one way to protect your portfolio is to watch for changing volatility and market elasticity of Workday within the framework of fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.58
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.84
σ
Overall volatility
32.65
Ir
Information ratio -0.203

Investor Alerts and Insights

Automated alerts tied to Workday help investors stay ahead of material changes in stock conditions. Monitoring ongoing notifications for Workday is a practical way to spot shifts in technical or fundamental signals that may affect investment timing.
Workday generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Workday is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 98.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Disposition of 107500 shares by David Duffield of Workday subject to Rule 16 b-3

Price Density Drivers

Market volatility typically increases when nervous long traders begin to feel pressure from short-sellers driving the market lower. The future price of Workday Stock often depends not only on the outlook of current and potential investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between traders with different styles. Workday's indicators related to short sentiment are summarized below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding263.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments5.4 B

Workday Fundamentals Growth

Workday Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Workday, and Workday fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Workday Stock performance.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

Workday performance is measured on a risk-adjusted basis against benchmarks. Risk-adjusted measures provide context for return efficiency across regimes. Workday shows ROE of 8.23%, ROA of 3.55%.

Unless otherwise specified, data for Workday is compiled from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and standardized for comparability. Analyst projections are included when active coverage applies. Updates may occur throughout the day. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Ellen Johnson - Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board
Last reviewed on March 21st, 2026