Vista Gold Stock Performance

VGZ Stock  CAD 3.20  -0.12  -3.61%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Vista Gold holds a performance score of 3. The company has a beta of 1.88, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Vista Gold will likely underperform. Please check Vista Gold's skewness, and the relationship between the potential upside and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether Vista Gold's existing price patterns will revert.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Mild
 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared with the broader market, risk-adjusted returns on Vista Gold rank lower than 3% of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. This score becomes more useful when investors compare it with downside risk, Sharpe Ratio, and current trend stability. In spite of very abnormal basic indicators, Vista Gold displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. Learn More
 Last Split Factor
1:20
 Last Split Date
2002-06-19
1
Sun Valley Sells 400,000 Common Shares of Vista Gold - marketscreener.com
12/24/2025
2
Major Vista Gold Stakeholder Quietly Trims Position in Significant Move - TipRanks
12/29/2025
3
Will Vista Gold Corp. stock maintain growth story - Sector-Based Investing Minimal Capital Investment - ulpravda.ru
01/07/2026
4
Stock Market Analysis - Stock Traders Daily
01/14/2026
5
Vista Gold to Spotlight Mt Todd Project at 2026 Metals Investor Forum - The Globe and Mail
01/21/2026
6
Vista Gold Shares Up 7.2 percent - Heres Why - MarketBeat
02/06/2026
7
Is Vista Gold Corp stock undervalued after correction - Jobs Report Advanced Technical Analysis Signals - mfd.ru
02/13/2026
8
Vista Gold Corp Files For Common Stock Offering Of Up To 30 Million - TradingView
02/25/2026
9
Vista Gold Corp. Announces Closing of US44.85 Million Public Offering of Common Shares and Full Exercise by the Underwriters of Option to Purchase Additional Co...
03/09/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow6.1 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities15.6 M
  

Vista Gold Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested C$ 312.00 in Vista Gold on December 11, 2025 and sold it today you would have earned a total of C$ 8.00 from holding Vista Gold or generated 2.56% return on investment over 90 days. Vista Gold is generating a 0.2544% daily return assuming 6.5833% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 59% of all stocks have less volatile historical return distribution than Vista Gold, and 95% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This relative risk-return summary reviews how the instrument behaves against its benchmark. It highlights whether the current reward profile compensates for the level of uncertainty assumed. Assuming the 90-day trading horizon Vista Gold is expected to generate 8.56 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 8.56 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.04 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.05 per unit of risk.

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Vista Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of organized markets for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded stocks are consistently mispriced before demand and supply correct the spread. One possible explanation is that these stocks carry additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
3.20 90 days 3.20
about 55.3
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vista Gold moving above the current price in 90 days from now are about 55.3 (This Vista Gold probability density function shows the probability of Vista Stock falling within a particular range of prices over 90 days).
Assuming the 90-day trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.88 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Vista Gold will likely underperform. Additionally, Vista Gold has an alpha of 0.4781, implying that it can generate a 0.4781 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherent market risk (beta).
   Vista Gold Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Vista Gold

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the stock market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual instruments such as Vista Gold. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vista Gold's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.163.299.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.173.319.93
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.063.149.75
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.0125-0.0125-0.0125
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Vista Gold. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Vista Gold's peers to derive any actionable benefits.

Vista Gold Risk Indicators

The last 10-20 years have been a volatile period for the stock market. Vista Gold is no exception. The market experienced several large corrections towards Vista Gold's value, including sharp drops and substantial rallies. An investor can limit portfolio swings by implementing a hedging strategy designed to reduce downside losses. If you hold Vista Gold, one way to protect your portfolio is to watch for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vista Gold within the framework of fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.48
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.88
σ
Overall volatility
0.45
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Vista Gold Alerts and Suggestions

Automated alerts tied to Vista Gold help investors stay ahead of material changes in stock conditions. Monitoring ongoing notifications for Vista Gold is a practical way to spot shifts in technical or fundamental signals that may affect investment timing.
Vista Gold had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Vista Gold has accumulated about 10.45 M in cash with -5.74 M of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.1.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Vista Gold Corp. Announces Closing of US44.85 Million Public Offering of Common Shares and Full Exercise by the Underwriters of Option to Purchase Additional Common Shares - The Globe and Mail

Vista Gold Price Density Drivers

Market volatility typically increases when nervous long traders begin to feel pressure from short-sellers driving the market lower. The future price of Vista Stock often depends not only on the outlook of current and potential investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between traders with different styles. Vista Gold's indicators related to short sentiment are summarized below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding125.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments16.9 M

Vista Gold Fundamentals Growth

Vista Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Vista Gold, and Vista Gold fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Vista Stock performance.

About Vista Gold Performance Analysis

Vista Gold performance is measured on a risk-adjusted basis against benchmarks. Risk-adjusted measures provide context for return efficiency across regimes. Vista Gold shows ROE of -44.33%, ROA of -32.5%.

Unless otherwise specified, financial data for Vista Gold is derived from periodic company reporting (annual and quarterly where available). Asset-level metrics are computed daily by Macroaxis LLC and refreshed regularly based on asset type. Updates may occur throughout the day.