Value Line Stock Performance

VALU Stock  USD 36.89  -0.07  -0.19%   
The firm maintains a market beta of 0.0089, which means relatively modest fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Value Line's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during a bear market, the loss from holding Value Line is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Value Line has a negative expected return of -0.0291%. Please make sure to verify Value Line's relationship between the Kurtosis and market facilitation index, to decide if Value Line's performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weak
 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days, Value Line generated negative risk-adjusted returns and added little value for investors with long positions. The result matters because weak risk-adjusted return can persist even when isolated price moves briefly look constructive. In spite of comparatively stable essential indicators, Value Line is not utilizing all of its potential. The current price uproar may contribute to short-horizon losses for private investors. Learn More
Begin Period Cash Flow4.7 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities21.2 M
Free Cash Flow20 M

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 3,772 in Value Line on December 12, 2025 and sold it today you would have lost $ 83.00 from holding Value Line or given up 2.2% of portfolio value over 90 days. Value Line does not currently generate positive expected returns and carries 1.2259% risk (volatility on return distribution) over a 90-day horizon. In different words, 11% of stocks are less volatile than Value, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This benchmark view frames the instrument through return capture and volatility trade-offs. It is most useful when expected return is read together with volatility rather than in isolation. Given the investment horizon of 90 days Value Line is expected to generate 1.55 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.55 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.02 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.07 per unit of risk.

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The mean-reverting behavior of Value Stock price is a cornerstone of quantitative forecasting. While this pattern has been used by investors since the earliest organized markets, research also shows that certain stocks remain mispriced until demand-supply dynamics shift, suggesting embedded risk premiums.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
36.89 90 days 36.89
about 68.64
Probability analysis for this stock suggests that the odds of Value Line moving above the current price in 90 days from now are about 68.64 (This density function estimates how Value Stock price is distributed across a range of outcomes over the next 90 days).
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Value Line has a beta of 0.0089. This entails as returns on the market go up, Value Line's average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during a bear market, the loss from holding Value Line is expected to be smaller as well. Additionally, Value Line has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Value Line Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Value Line

For Value Line, multiple forecasting techniques can provide different perspectives on future price direction. While accurately predicting the stock market remains difficult, the discipline of building and testing forecasts is a valuable part of any investment process. Unexpected events can always change market sentiment, making diversified forecasting approaches especially important.
The mean reversion effect in Value Line is stronger when the initial deviation was driven by sentiment rather than fundamental change. Identifying the root cause of Value Line's price dislocation is essential before acting.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
35.6636.8938.12
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
35.9537.1838.41
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
36.0737.2938.52
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
35.9536.7937.64
Details
Competitive positioning is a critical dimension of Value Line analysis. Understanding where Value Line stands relative to its peers on returns, growth, and valuation helps investors assess whether its advantage is sustainable.

Primary Risk Indicators

Over recent decades, the stock market has seen multiple large corrections and recoveries. Value Line has followed this pattern, with price swings that have shaped many portfolios. Investors holding Value Line can reduce exposure to these swings by tracking Value Line's volatility and fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0387
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.01
σ
Overall volatility
0.70
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Investor Alerts and Insights

Monitoring Value Line alerts is a practical approach to staying informed about material stock changes. These notifications for Value Line cover developments in both technical signals and fundamental conditions relevant to investment timing.
Value Line generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 92.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
On 10th of February 2026 Value Line paid $ 0.325 per share dividend to its current shareholders

Price Density Drivers

For investors analyzing Value Line, understanding the relationship between long and short positioning is key to anticipating volatility. The indicators below capture the market dynamics that influence Value Line's near-term price movements.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding9.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments77.4 M

Value Line Fundamentals Growth

The market value of Value Stock depends on how investors perceive Value Line's financial strength and growth potential. Core fundamentals including revenue growth, earnings quality, and debt management directly influence Value Stock performance.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

Value Line performance is measured on a risk-adjusted basis against benchmarks. Upside capture and downside containment can vary by regime. Value Line shows ROE of 21.6%, ROA of 2.46%.

Unless otherwise specified, data for Value Line is compiled from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and standardized for comparability. Updates may occur throughout the day. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Gabriel Shpitalnik - Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board