Value Line Stock Performance

VALU Stock  USD 36.68  1.08  3.03%   
The company holds a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.13, which attests to very low measured sensitivity to broad market movements. As returns on the market increase, returns on Value Line tend to move in the opposite direction, though by a smaller magnitude. During a bear market, however, Value Line is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Value Line has a negative expected return of -0.0394%.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weak
 
Weak
 
Strong
During the last 90 trading days, Value Line produced negative risk-adjusted performance, which signals weak return efficiency for investors with long positions. Used correctly, this score supports evaluation of raw price movement versus actual return efficiency. In spite of comparatively stable essential indicators, Value Line is not utilizing all of its potential. The current price uproar may contribute to short-horizon losses for private investors. Learn More

Actual Historical Performance (%)

 One Day Return
-2.10
 Five Day Return
-0.58
 Year To Date Return
-3.60
 Ten Year Return
129.46
 All Time Return
120.44
 Forward Dividend Yield
0.0348
 Payout Ratio
0.5637
 Last Split Factor
1:35
 Forward Dividend Rate
1.3
 Dividend Date
2025-11-10
Begin Period Cash Flow4.7 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities21.2 M
Free Cash Flow20 M

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 3,775 in Value Line on December 25, 2025 and sold it today you would have lost $ 107.00 from holding Value Line or given up 2.83% of portfolio value over 90 days. Value Line does not currently generate positive expected returns and carries 1.3189% risk (volatility on return distribution) over a 90-day horizon. In different words, 11% of stocks are less volatile than Value, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This benchmark view frames the instrument through return capture and volatility trade-offs. It is most useful when expected return is read together with volatility rather than in isolation. Given the investment horizon of 90 days Value Line is expected to generate 1.55 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.55 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.03 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.1 per unit of risk.

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

Price convergence toward a historical mean is a well-documented pattern for stocks like Value Stock. Although this tendency is a useful forecasting input, some instruments remain persistently mispriced before market correction. Periods of persistent mispricing in some stocks highlight the role of additional risk in pricing dynamics. This framework supports more structured thinking about where Value Stock price is likely to settle over time.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
36.68 90 days 36.68
about 72.39
Our distribution model estimates the likelihood of Value Line moving above the current price in 90 days from now at about 72.39 . Past return patterns over this horizon reflect a distribution that has favored above-current-price scenarios. (This Value Line distribution emphasizes the price range most consistent with recent behavior in Value Stock over a 90-day period).
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Value Line has a beta of -0.13. This entails that as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on Value Line tend to move in the opposite direction, though by a smaller magnitude. During a bear market, however, Value Line is likely to outperform the market. Additionally, Value Line has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Value Line Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Value Line

Investors use a wide range of techniques to forecast Value Line within the stock market. Combining results from different methods frames the confidence level investors can assign to Value Line predictions. Evaluating multiple forecasts helps separate persistent signals from short-term noise in Value Line price data. For Value Line, the combination of techniques matters more than the precision of any individual forecast.
Statistical evidence for mean reversion in Value Line's can be observed through its tendency to revert after extreme valuations. Investors who believe in mean reversion view Value Line's price extremes as temporary dislocations that may self-correct. Valuation-driven investors use mean reversion to time Value Line's investments around historical valuation multiples. Historical data for Value Line shows that extreme valuations have tended to normalize over multi-year periods.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
35.3736.6837.99
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
35.4636.7738.08
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
34.9736.2837.59
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
35.6536.5237.38
Details
Assessing Value Line's competitive position relative to sector peers reveals where the company stands in its industry. Value Line's current valuation may reflect market-wide multiple expansion rather than genuine competitive edge. Competitive analysis of Value Line involves measuring Value Line's position against direct competitors. Investment merit for Value Line is best assessed through the lens of competitive peer performance.

Primary Risk Indicators

Significant market corrections and rallies over the last two decades have made the stock market challenging for Value Line investors. Dramatic market moves have periodically reshaped the risk landscape for holders of Value Line. Watching for changes in Value Line's volatility and market elasticity is one way to limit portfolio losses. A data-driven view of Value Line risk supports more disciplined portfolio management decisions.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.1015
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.13
σ
Overall volatility
0.74
Ir
Information ratio -0.0231

Investor Alerts and Insights

Tracking Value Line through automated alerts focuses attention on the most impactful stock developments. Reviewing Value Line notifications is an efficient way to stay current on technical patterns and fundamental changes. Systematic monitoring of Value Line through automated alerts reduces the risk of missing critical developments. Automated alert systems provide consistency that manual monitoring of Value Line cannot match.
Value Line generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 92.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
On 10th of February 2026 Value Line paid $ 0.325 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Acquisition by Seidman Lawrence B of 370 shares of Bankwell Financial at 46.0 subject to Rule 16 b-3

Price Density Drivers

Several forces contribute to Value Line's price dynamics, including buyer and seller positioning dynamics and market conditions. Monitoring Value Line's price density drivers provides context for distinguishing fundamental from tactical price moves. Key market indicators for Value Line reflect the combined effect of buyer and seller positioning dynamics and broader conditions. These indicators are most useful when reviewed consistently alongside Value Line's fundamental data.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding9.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments77.4 M

Value Line Fundamentals Growth

Market participants price Value Stock based on their assessment of Value Line's financial trajectory. Revenue and earnings growth, profitability metrics, and debt levels form the core fundamentals driving Value Stock. Revenue growth, earnings performance, and balance sheet health are critical fundamentals shaping Value Stock. Long-term performance of Value Stock depends on Value Line's ability to maintain strong fundamental execution.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

Benchmark comparison for Value Line clarifies whether returns reflect stock-specific outcomes or market-wide trends. Benchmark-relative positioning reveals whether results stem from exposure choice or market direction. Value Line shows ROE of 21.6%, ROA of 2.46%.

Unless otherwise specified, data for Value Line is compiled from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and standardized for comparability. Updates may occur throughout the day. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Gabriel Shpitalnik - Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board
Last reviewed on March 16th, 2026