Pear Tree Quality Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

USBOX Fund  USD 19.06  -0.16  -0.83%   
The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.78, which alludes to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Returns on Pear Tree tend to trail the broader market in strong rallies but hold up better when sentiment turns negative.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weak
 
Weak
 
Strong
During the last 90 trading days, Pear Tree Quality produced negative risk-adjusted performance, which signals weak return efficiency for fund investors. The result matters because weak risk-adjusted return can persist even when isolated price moves briefly look constructive. Despite somewhat strong basic indicators, Pear Tree is not utilizing all of its potential. The current price disturbance may contribute to short-term losses for investors. Learn More
Expense Ratio Date1st of August 2025
Expense Ratio1.1100
  

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 2,001 in Pear Tree Quality on December 15, 2025 and sold it today you would have lost $ 95.00 from holding Pear Tree Quality or given up 4.75% of portfolio value over 90 days. Pear Tree Quality is currently producing negative expected returns and carries 0.764% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 6% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Pear, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This benchmark view frames the instrument through return capture and volatility trade-offs. It is intended to show how efficiently risk has translated into return over the selected horizon. Assuming a 90-day horizon Pear Tree is expected to under-perform the market. But it appears to be less risky and when comparing its historical volatility, the fund is 1.03 times less risky than the market. the fund trades about -0.1 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.08 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Historical Prices of Pear Tree Quality

Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Pear Tree Quality extending back to October 07, 1993. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Pear Tree stands at 19.06, as last reported on the 15th of March 2026, with the highest price reaching 19.06 and the lowest price hitting 19.06 during the day.
Macro event markers
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The pattern of price convergence toward an average value is one of the most reliable features of organized fund markets. For Pear Mutual Fund, this behavior has been used by investors as a forecasting baseline, though some funds exhibit notable delays before mispricing is corrected.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
19.06 90 days 19.06
close to 99
A probability distribution analysis shows that the odds of Pear Tree moving above the current price in 90 days from now are close to 99 (The curve above represents the probability density of Pear Mutual Fund prices across the next 90 days).
Assuming a 90-day horizon Pear Tree has a beta of 0.78. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Pear Tree's average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during a bear market, the loss from holding Pear Tree Quality is expected to be smaller as well. Additionally, Pear Tree Quality has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The fund is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Pear Tree Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Pear Tree

Forecasting techniques for the fund market vary widely in methodology and complexity. For instruments such as Pear Tree Quality, combining multiple approaches provides a more robust view than relying on any single model. Market surprises are inevitable, but disciplined forecasting still improves overall investment decision-making.
Investors who believe in mean reversion view Pear Tree's price extremes not as permanent states but as temporary dislocations that create opportunities for disciplined, contrarian capital allocation.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.3019.0619.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.1521.0421.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
17.9218.6819.44
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
19.1119.9120.71
Details
A complete picture of Pear Tree's investment merit requires comparative analysis. How Pear Tree's growth rates, profitability, and capital efficiency stack up against peers is often the deciding factor in investment decisions.

Primary Risk Indicators

The last 10-20 years have demonstrated just how volatile the mutual fund market can be. Pear Tree has been part of this story, with corrections and rallies that have made and broken portfolios. Holding Pear Tree Quality with a hedging strategy informed by Pear Tree's risk indicators is one way to limit downside exposure.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0427
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.78
σ
Overall volatility
0.37
Ir
Information ratio -0.0433

Investor Alerts and Insights

Timely alerts on Pear Tree help investors identify important shifts in fund conditions early. Reviewing Pear Tree Quality notifications is an efficient way to stay current on technical patterns, fundamental changes, and market-moving headlines.
Pear Tree Quality generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund keeps 98.31% of its net assets in stocks

Pear Tree Fundamentals Growth

Understanding Pear Mutual Fund requires a close look at Pear Tree's financial fundamentals. Revenue growth, earnings consistency, operating margins, and capital structure are the principal factors that influence Pear Mutual Fund market performance.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

Pear Tree performance is typically evaluated through NAV-based returns relative to category peers and stated objectives. Tracking difference (where applicable) can separate exposure returns from implementation effects.

This section for Pear Tree Quality is built from fund disclosures and market reference feeds, with harmonization applied to align reporting definitions. Values may update on different source schedules. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Michael Smolkin - Member of Macroaxis Board of Directors
Last reviewed on March 3rd, 2026