ProShares UltraPro SAMPP500 Etf Performance

UPRO Etf  USD 97.09  -4.54  -4.47%   
The etf has a beta of 2.4, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. With a beta above 1, ProShares UltraPro typically delivers outsized gains in rising markets at the cost of steeper drawdowns.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weak
 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days, ProShares UltraPro SAMPP500 generated negative risk-adjusted returns and added little value for investors with long positions. The current category mapping is Trading--Leveraged Equity. In spite of fragile performance in the last few months, the etf's basic indicators remain very healthy, which may send shares a bit higher in April 2026. The recent disarray may also be a sign of long period up-swing for the ETF's investors. Learn More

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 11,756 in ProShares UltraPro SAMPP500 on December 21, 2025 and sold it today you would have lost $ 2,047 from holding ProShares UltraPro SAMPP500 or given up 17.41% of portfolio value over 90 days. ProShares UltraPro SAMPP500 does not currently generate positive expected returns and carries 2.2383% risk (volatility on return distribution) over a 90-day horizon. In different words, 20% of etfs are less volatile than ProShares, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the ETF over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This market-relative note looks at return potential and the amount of risk required to get it. It keeps the emphasis on benchmark context, not just standalone performance. Given the investment horizon of 90 days ProShares UltraPro is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the ETF is 2.71 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.13 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.11 per unit of volatility.

Historical Prices of ProShares UltraPro

Below is the normalized historical share price chart for ProShares UltraPro SAMPP500 extending back to June 25, 2009. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of ProShares UltraPro stands at 97.09, as last reported on the 21st of March, with the highest price reaching 100.92 and the lowest price hitting 95.44 during the day.
Macro event markers
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

Mean reversion in ProShares Etf pricing reflects the well-documented tendency for ETFs to converge toward their intrinsic value over time. Forecasting models leverage this pattern, though they must also account for periods when market dynamics keep prices away from equilibrium.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
97.09 90 days 97.09
close to 99
Our statistical analysis indicates the probability of ProShares UltraPro moving above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This chart shows the likelihood of ProShares Etf trading at different price levels over the next 90 days).
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the etf has the beta coefficient of 2.4 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the ETF is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, ProShares UltraPro will likely underperform. Additionally, ProShares UltraPro SAMPP500 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The ETF is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   ProShares UltraPro Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ProShares UltraPro

When forecasting ProShares UltraPro, investors benefit from applying a variety of techniques rather than relying on a single method. The ETF market is inherently unpredictable, but systematic comparison of different model outputs provides context to develop a more balanced perspective and prepare for alternative scenarios.
Experienced ProShares UltraPro's investors use mean reversion as a complement to momentum analysis: momentum identifies the trend; mean reversion identifies when that trend has extended beyond sustainable levels.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
95.0497.2899.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
90.4892.72106.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
91.6493.8896.12
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
101.25113.10124.95
Details
The most actionable insights from ProShares UltraPro analysis often emerge from peer comparison rather than standalone review. ProShares UltraPro's metrics gain meaning when benchmarked against the best and worst performers in its sector.

Primary Risk Indicators

Dramatic market swings over the past two decades have made risk management essential for etf investors. ProShares UltraPro has been affected by sudden drops and strong recoveries alike. A hedging approach that tracks ProShares UltraPro's volatility and fundamental risk indicators can help investors in ProShares UltraPro SAMPP500 limit the impact of adverse moves.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0032
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.40
σ
Overall volatility
5.50
Ir
Information ratio -0.0625

Investor Alerts and Insights

For ProShares UltraPro investors, automated alerts provide a systematic way to monitor the ETF for actionable developments. ProShares UltraPro notifications highlight changes in key indicators that could influence investment decisions.
ProShares UltraPro generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
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The fund keeps 300.02% of its net assets in stocks

ProShares UltraPro Fundamentals Growth

Revenue growth, earnings performance, and balance sheet health are among the most critical fundamentals shaping ProShares Etf valuation. Investors rely on these metrics to evaluate ProShares UltraPro's current position and future prospects.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

ProShares UltraPro performance is typically evaluated relative to its benchmark and tracking difference over time. Correlation shifts can alter portfolio contribution during regime changes.

Macroaxis compiles ProShares UltraPro SAMPP500 metrics from fund disclosures and market reference feeds and applies consistent transformation rules before display. Not all fields update in real time. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Gabriel Shpitalnik - Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board
Last reviewed on March 6th, 2026