Upland Software Stock Performance

UPLD Stock  USD 0.57  0.06  11.76%   
The firm maintains a market beta of 1.76, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Upland Software will likely underperform. At this point, Upland Software has a negative expected return of -1.45%. Please make sure to verify Upland Software's relationship between the daily balance of power and price action indicator, to decide if Upland Software's performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weak
 
Weak
 
Strong
For the recent 90-day horizon, Upland Software failed to convert risk into positive risk-adjusted performance. The result matters because weak risk-adjusted return can persist even when isolated price moves briefly look constructive. In spite of fragile performance in the last few months, the stock's essential indicators remain rather sound, which may send shares a bit higher in April 2026. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the firm's shareholders. Learn More
Begin Period Cash Flow57.1 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities8.8 M

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 148.00 in Upland Software on December 21, 2025 and sold it today you would have lost $ 91.00 from holding Upland Software or given up 61.49% of portfolio value over 90 days. Upland Software does not currently generate positive expected returns and carries 4.4912% risk (volatility on return distribution) over a 90-day horizon. In different words, 40% of stocks are less volatile than Upland, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This benchmark view frames the instrument through return capture and volatility trade-offs. It is most useful when expected return is read together with volatility rather than in isolation. Given the investment horizon of 90 days Upland Software is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 5.45 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.32 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.11 per unit of volatility.

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The mean-reverting behavior of Upland Stock price is a cornerstone of quantitative forecasting. While this pattern has been used by investors since the earliest organized markets, research also shows that certain stocks remain mispriced until demand-supply dynamics shift, suggesting embedded risk premiums.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
0.57 90 days 0.57
over 95.22
Probability analysis for this stock suggests that the odds of Upland Software moving above the current price in 90 days from now are over 95.22 (This density function estimates how Upland Stock price is distributed across a range of outcomes over the next 90 days).
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.76 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Upland Software will likely underperform. Additionally, Upland Software has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Upland Software Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Upland Software

For Upland Software, multiple forecasting techniques can provide different perspectives on future price direction. While accurately predicting the stock market remains difficult, the discipline of building and testing forecasts is a valuable part of any investment process. Unexpected events can always change market sentiment, making diversified forecasting approaches especially important.
The mean reversion effect in Upland Software is stronger when the initial deviation was driven by sentiment rather than fundamental change. Identifying the root cause of Upland Software's price dislocation is essential before acting.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.574.77
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.554.75
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.514.71
Details
Analyst
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
3.413.754.16
Details
Competitive positioning is a critical dimension of Upland Software analysis. Understanding where Upland Software stands relative to its peers on returns, growth, and valuation supports assessment of whether its advantage is sustainable.

Primary Risk Indicators

Over recent decades, the stock market has seen multiple large corrections and recoveries. Upland Software has followed this pattern, with price swings that have shaped many portfolios. Investors holding Upland Software can reduce exposure to these swings by tracking Upland Software's volatility and fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-1.2253
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.76
σ
Overall volatility
0.36
Ir
Information ratio -0.2986

Investor Alerts and Insights

Monitoring Upland Software alerts is a practical approach to staying informed about material stock changes. These notifications for Upland Software cover developments in both technical signals and fundamental conditions relevant to investment timing.
Upland Software generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Upland Software has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Upland Software has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Upland Software has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported previous year's revenue of 216.88 M. Net Loss for the year was -38.9 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 162.12 M.
About 30.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Next Technology Holding Shareholders Back New Independent Board - The Globe and Mail

Price Density Drivers

For investors analyzing Upland Software, understanding the relationship between long and short positioning is key to anticipating volatility. The indicators below capture the market dynamics that influence Upland Software's near-term price movements.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding28.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments29.4 M

Upland Software Fundamentals Growth

The market value of Upland Stock depends on how investors perceive Upland Software's financial strength and growth potential. Core fundamentals including revenue growth, earnings quality, and debt management directly influence Upland Stock performance.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

Upland Software performance is measured on a risk-adjusted basis against benchmarks. Upside capture and downside containment can vary by regime. Upland Software shows ROE of -41.92%, ROA of 2.2%.

Unless otherwise specified, data for Upland Software is compiled from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and standardized for comparability. Updates may occur throughout the day. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Gabriel Shpitalnik - Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board
Last reviewed on March 12th, 2026