Timothy Plan High Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

TPHAX Fund  USD 9.05  0.02  0.22%   
The fund holds a beta of -0.0275, which implies very low measured sensitivity to broad market movements. As returns on the market increase, returns on TIMOTHY PLAN tend to move in the opposite direction, though by a smaller magnitude. During a bear market, however, TIMOTHY PLAN is likely to outperform the market.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weak
 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days, Timothy Plan High generated negative risk-adjusted returns and added little value for fund investors. Market capitalization should still be reviewed beside liquidity, leverage, and earnings quality. Despite somewhat strong basic indicators, TIMOTHY PLAN is not utilizing all of its potential. The current price disturbance may contribute to short-term losses for investors. Learn More
Expense Ratio Date24th of February 2026
Expense Ratio1.2000
  

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 908.00 in Timothy Plan High on December 25, 2025 and sold it today you would have lost $ 3.00 from holding Timothy Plan High or given up 0.33% of portfolio value over 90 days. Timothy Plan High is currently producing negative expected returns and carries 0.1742% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 1% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than TIMOTHY, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This relative risk-return summary reviews how the instrument behaves against its benchmark. It highlights whether the current reward profile compensates for the level of uncertainty assumed. Assuming a 90-day horizon TIMOTHY PLAN is expected to generate 0.21 times more return on investment than the market. However, the fund is 4.87 times less risky than the market. It trades about -0.03 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.1 per unit of risk.

Historical Prices of Timothy Plan High

Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Timothy Plan High extending back to May 09, 2007. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of TIMOTHY PLAN stands at 9.05, as last reported on the 25th of March, with the highest price reaching 9.05 and the lowest price hitting 9.05 during the day.
Macro event markers
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of TIMOTHY Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a well-known pattern in finance. Despite this pattern, historical data suggests that some funds remain persistently mispriced until markets correct.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
9.05 90 days 9.05
roughly 97.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TIMOTHY PLAN moving above the current price in 90 days from now are roughly 97.0 . Over this horizon, the return distribution for this fund has leaned toward above-current outcomes historically. (The density curve centers on the price range the market has recently treated as most probable for TIMOTHY Mutual Fund over the next 90 days).
Assuming a 90-day horizon Timothy Plan High has a beta of -0.0275. This usually implies that as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on TIMOTHY PLAN tend to move in the opposite direction, though by a smaller magnitude. During a bear market, however, Timothy Plan High is likely to outperform the market. Additionally, Timothy Plan High has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The fund is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   TIMOTHY PLAN Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for TIMOTHY PLAN

Numerous approaches exist for forecasting the fund market and estimating future values of Timothy Plan High. Although accurate forecasting remains elusive, the process of modeling scenarios is a valuable part of decision-making.
Experienced market participants anticipate that TIMOTHY PLAN's price will even out over time. Periods when TIMOTHY PLAN's deviates significantly from its historical mean may warrant further fundamental analysis.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.889.059.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.909.079.24
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.879.049.21
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.029.129.23
Details
Analyzing TIMOTHY PLAN in isolation is insufficient for informed investment decisions. This peer-relative view often uncovers mispricing that single-company analysis would miss.

Primary Risk Indicators

The last 10-20 years have been a volatile period for the mutual fund market, and TIMOTHY PLAN is no exception. TIMOTHY PLAN has experienced periods of rapid price declines followed by equally strong recoveries.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0099
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.0275
σ
Overall volatility
0.04
Ir
Information ratio 0.33

Investor Alerts and Insights

Automated alerts tied to TIMOTHY PLAN help investors stay ahead of material changes in fund conditions. Timothy Plan High notifications flag important changes in technical indicators, fundamentals, and market conditions.
Timothy Plan High generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: Investors Are Fleeing Private Credit. What the Funds Should Do Now. - Barrons
The fund maintains about 8.05% of its assets in bonds

TIMOTHY PLAN Fundamentals Growth

TIMOTHY Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of TIMOTHY PLAN's future prospects and financial health. Revenue trajectory, earnings quality, profit margins, and leverage levels shape TIMOTHY Mutual Fund market performance.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

Peer and benchmark comparison for TIMOTHY PLAN frames whether NAV returns reflect category leadership or drift. Outperformance relative to the benchmark may reflect exposure tilt, selection effect, or timing.

Unless otherwise specified, data for Timothy Plan High is compiled from fund disclosures and market reference feeds and standardized for comparability. Updates may occur throughout the day. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Ellen Johnson - Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board
Last reviewed on March 24th, 2026