Tilray Inc Stock Performance
| TLRY Stock | CAD 9.51 -0.32 -3.26% |
The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.0802, which alludes to relatively modest fluctuations relative to the market. Returns on Tilray tend to trail the broader market in strong rallies but hold up better when sentiment turns negative. At this point, Tilray Inc has a negative expected return of -0.64%. Please make sure to validate Tilray's value at risk, downside variance, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and expected short fall, to decide if Tilray Inc's performance from the past will be repeated sooner or later.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weak
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days, Tilray Inc generated negative risk-adjusted returns and added little value for investors with long positions. The result matters because weak risk-adjusted return can persist even when isolated price moves briefly look constructive. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the stock's basic indicators remain very healthy, which may send shares a bit higher in April 2026. The recent disarray may also be a sign of long period up-swing for the firm's investors. Learn More
Last Split Factor 1:10 | Last Split Date 2025-12-02 |
1 | Best Cannabis Stocks To Add to Your Watchlist - January 5th - MarketBeat | 01/05/2026 |
2 | Whats Going On With Tilray Stock Today - Tilray Brands - Benzinga | 01/22/2026 |
3 | TLRY vs. CGC Which Cannabis Stock is the Better Investment Now - The Globe and Mail | 01/30/2026 |
4 | Tilray Brands Shares Down 7.2 percent - Time to Sell - MarketBeat | 02/05/2026 |
5 | Promising Cannabis Stocks To Watch Today - February 10th - MarketBeat | 02/10/2026 |
6 | Tilray Brands Upgraded at Zacks Research - MarketBeat | 02/13/2026 |
7 | Peering Into Tilray Brands Incs Recent Short Interest - Benzinga | 02/17/2026 |
8 | Why Tilray Brands, Inc. Dipped More Than Broader Market Today - Yahoo Finance | 03/05/2026 |
9 | Tilray buys BrewDogs Aussie brewery and bars to push into Asia-Pacific - Stock Titan | 03/09/2026 |
10 | Risk-Controlled Trading Report - Stock Traders Daily | 03/12/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 228.3 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -46.7 M |
Tilray |
Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you had invested C$ 1,507 in Tilray Inc on December 13, 2025 and sold it today you would have lost C$ 556.00 from holding Tilray Inc or given up 36.89% of portfolio value over 90 days. Tilray Inc is generating negative expected returns and shows 5.1044% volatility on return distribution over a 90-day horizon. Simply put, 45% of stocks are less volatile than Tilray, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The pattern of price convergence toward an average value is one of the most reliable features of organized stock markets. For Tilray Stock, this behavior has been used by investors as a forecasting baseline, though some stocks exhibit notable delays before mispricing is corrected.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds moving above the current price in 90 days |
| 9.51 | 90 days | 9.51 | about 86.95 |
A probability distribution analysis shows that the odds of Tilray moving above the current price in 90 days from now are about 86.95 (The curve above represents the probability density of Tilray Stock prices across the next 90 days).
Tilray Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Tilray
Forecasting techniques for the stock market vary widely in methodology and complexity. For instruments such as Tilray Inc, combining multiple approaches provides a more robust view than relying on any single model. Market surprises are inevitable, but disciplined forecasting still improves overall investment decision-making.Investors who believe in mean reversion view Tilray's price extremes not as permanent states but as temporary dislocations that create opportunities for disciplined, contrarian capital allocation.
Primary Risk Indicators
The last 10-20 years have demonstrated just how volatile the stock market can be. Tilray has been part of this story, with corrections and rallies that have made and broken portfolios. Holding Tilray Inc with a hedging strategy informed by Tilray's risk indicators is one way to limit downside exposure.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.10 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Investor Alerts and Insights
Timely alerts on Tilray help investors identify important shifts in stock conditions early. Reviewing Tilray Inc notifications is an efficient way to stay current on technical patterns, fundamental changes, and market-moving headlines.| Tilray Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Tilray Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Tilray Inc has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported revenue of 821.31 M. Net Loss for the year was -2.18 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 234.67 M. | |
| Tilray Inc has accumulated about 490.64 M in cash with -94.6 M of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.8. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Risk-Controlled Trading Report - Stock Traders Daily |
Price Density Drivers
The indicators below capture the key forces that influence Tilray's near-term price action, including the dynamics between long and short market participants. Reviewing these metrics helps investors contextualize Tilray price movements and anticipate potential volatility shifts.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 90.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 256.4 M |
Tilray Fundamentals Growth
Understanding Tilray Stock requires a close look at Tilray's financial fundamentals. Revenue growth, earnings consistency, operating margins, and capital structure are the principal factors that influence Tilray Stock market performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.84 | |||
| Return On Asset | -0.0151 | |||
| Profit Margin | -2.52 % | |||
| Operating Margin | -0.09 % | |||
| Current Valuation | 1.18 B | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 116.51 M | |||
| Price To Earning | 8.23 X | |||
| Price To Book | 0.53 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 1.32 X | |||
| Revenue | 821.31 M | |||
| Gross Profit | 234.67 M | |||
| EBITDA | -2.13 B | |||
| Net Income | -2.18 B | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 490.64 M | |||
| Cash Per Share | 0.80 X | |||
| Total Debt | 328.74 M | |||
| Debt To Equity | 0.14 % | |||
| Current Ratio | 3.33 X | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 20.26 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | -94.6 M | |||
| Earnings Per Share | -31.97 X | |||
| Market Capitalization | 1.11 B | |||
| Total Asset | 2.07 B | |||
| Retained Earnings | -4.85 B | |||
| Working Capital | 408.32 M | |||
Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology
Tilray performance is measured on a risk-adjusted basis against benchmarks. Tracking difference (where applicable) can separate exposure returns from implementation effects. Tilray shows ROE of -84.14%, ROA of -1.51%.
This section for Tilray Inc is built from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds, with harmonization applied to align reporting definitions. Values may update on different source schedules. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.