TIAA Cref Large Cap Growth Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

TILIX Fund  USD 68.74  -1.27  -1.81%   
The fund shows a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.86, which indicates generally lower market sensitivity than the broad market. TIAA Cref tracks the broader market closely, rising and falling roughly in step with the benchmark.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weak
 
Weak
 
Strong
For the recent 90-day horizon, TIAA Cref Large Cap Growth failed to convert risk into positive risk-adjusted performance. The business is commonly classified in the Large Growth sector and the Large Growth industry. Despite latest weak performance, the fund's forward indicators remain strong and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long term gains for the fund's investors. Learn More
  

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 7,698 in TIAA Cref Large Cap Growth on December 23, 2025 and sold it today you would have lost $ 824.00 from holding TIAA Cref Large Cap Growth or given up 10.7% of portfolio value over 90 days. TIAA Cref Large Cap Growth is currently producing negative expected returns and carries 0.9476% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 8% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than TIAA, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This comparison focuses on expected return, realized volatility, and risk efficiency versus the market. It highlights whether the current reward profile compensates for the level of uncertainty assumed. Assuming a 90-day horizon TIAA Cref is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the fund is 1.15 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.19 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.12 per unit of volatility.

Historical Prices of TIAA Cref Large

Below is the normalized historical share price chart for TIAA Cref Large Cap Growth extending back to October 01, 2002. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of TIAA Cref stands at 68.74, as last reported on the 23rd of March, with the highest price reaching 68.74 and the lowest price hitting 68.74 during the day.
Macro event markers
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

For TIAA Mutual Fund, the tendency of price to converge toward a long-term average provides a useful forecasting baseline. Investors have relied on this tendency for decades, though persistent mispricings in some instruments suggest additional risk factors. Certain funds show persistent deviations from fair value, typically explained by the risk investors bear. Applying mean reversion analysis to TIAA Mutual Fund helps identify potential entry points when prices are extended.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
68.74 90 days 68.74
close to 99
Based on standard probability analysis, the odds of TIAA Cref moving above the current price in 90 days from now are close to 99 . Historical price behavior and variance analysis form the basis of this probability estimate. This probability is most useful when combined with fundamental analysis and current market context. This data helps frame realistic expectations for this fund's price trajectory. (The chart above shows the probability distribution of TIAA Mutual Fund prices over the next 90 days). The tails of the distribution show the probability of extreme price movements in TIAA Mutual Fund over 90 days. The probability density function is a practical tool for framing expectations about TIAA Mutual Fund. Use the probability data to support structured thinking about potential outcomes for TIAA Mutual Fund.
Assuming a 90-day horizon TIAA Cref has a beta of 0.86. This usually implies TIAA Cref Large Cap Growth market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, TIAA Cref is expected to follow. Additionally, TIAA Cref Large Cap Growth has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The fund is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   TIAA Cref Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for TIAA Cref

A variety of analytical techniques are available for forecasting TIAA Cref Large and the broader fund market. From technical pattern analysis to statistical models, each method contributes a different perspective on TIAA Cref Large. A systematic comparison of model outputs provides context to form a more balanced perspective on TIAA Cref Large. Refining forecasting methods over time can incrementally improve the quality of decisions made about TIAA Cref Large.
The mean reversion principle applied to TIAA Cref's suggests that neither prolonged outperformance nor underperformance is permanent. Identifying the root cause of TIAA Cref's price dislocation is essential before acting on a mean reversion signal. The mean reversion tendency in TIAA Cref's price is a well-documented phenomenon in academic research. In many cases, TIAA Cref's price extremes present statistical patterns that have recurred historically.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
56.7557.7075.61
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
67.4668.4169.36
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
66.3167.2568.20
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
69.2471.8074.36
Details
No single-company analysis of TIAA Cref Large is complete without peer benchmarking. A company that looks attractive in isolation may be significantly outperformed by competitors. Standalone analysis captures TIAA Cref's individual story, but peers reveal if it is truly exceptional. Disciplined peer analysis separates conviction-grade insights from superficial TIAA Cref observations.

Primary Risk Indicators

The past 10-20 years have brought considerable volatility to the mutual fund market, with TIAA Cref experiencing notable price swings. TIAA Cref has reflected this volatile environment with periods of significant price swings. Investors in TIAA Cref Large Cap Growth can mitigate this risk by tracking shifts in TIAA Cref's fundamental risk indicators. This risk data equips investors with the information needed to adjust TIAA Cref Large Cap Growth exposure proactively.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0578
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.86
σ
Overall volatility
2.06
Ir
Information ratio -0.045

Investor Alerts and Insights

Alerts and suggestions for TIAA Cref give investors a structured way to monitor the fund for material events. TIAA Cref Large alerts cover shifts in fundamentals, technical conditions, and significant market-moving events. Alert frequency for TIAA Cref adjusts dynamically based on market volatility and event activity. Regularly reviewing TIAA Cref Large alerts keeps investors aligned with evolving market conditions.
TIAA Cref Large generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: Nvidia-Backed Startup Nscale Raises Funds at 14.6 Billion Valuation - WSJ
The fund maintains 100.04% of its assets in stocks

TIAA Cref Fundamentals Growth

TIAA Mutual Fund performance is fundamentally tied to TIAA Cref's financial health and growth outlook. Investors track revenue and earnings growth, margin stability, and balance sheet health for TIAA Mutual Fund. The market prices TIAA Mutual Fund according to TIAA Cref's ability to generate revenue and manage debt effectively. Investors evaluating TIAA Mutual Fund should focus on TIAA Cref's earnings quality and revenue momentum.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

TIAA Cref performance is typically evaluated through NAV-based returns relative to category peers and stated objectives. Market sensitivity appears generally aligned with broader economic conditions.

Inputs for TIAA Cref Large Cap Growth come from fund disclosures and market reference feeds and are mapped into a consistent schema for analysis. Some fields can appear with publication lag. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Michael Smolkin - Member of Macroaxis Board of Directors
Last reviewed on March 17th, 2026