Timothy Fixed Income Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

TFIAX Fund  USD 9.26  0.01  0.11%   
The entity has a beta of 0.0658, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Timothy Fixed's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Timothy Fixed is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Soft

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Timothy Fixed Income are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Timothy Fixed is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Expense Ratio Date30th of April 2025
Expense Ratio1.0700
  

Timothy Fixed Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  920.00  in Timothy Fixed Income on November 2, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  6.00  from holding Timothy Fixed Income or generate 0.65% return on investment over 90 days. Timothy Fixed Income is currently producing 0.0108% returns and takes up 0.1766% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 1% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Timothy, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Timothy Fixed is expected to generate 5.17 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 4.23 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.06 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Timothy Fixed Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
9.26
Please note that Timothy Fixed's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be fairly valued. Timothy Fixed Income has a current Real Value of $9.25 per share. The regular price of the fund is $9.26. We determine the value of Timothy Fixed Income from inspecting fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will draw towards each other.
Since Timothy Fixed is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Timothy Mutual Fund. However, Timothy Fixed's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  9.26 Real  9.25 Hype  9.26 Naive  9.25
The intrinsic value of Timothy Fixed's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Timothy Fixed's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
9.25
Real Value
9.43
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Timothy Fixed Income helps investors to forecast how Timothy mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Timothy Fixed more accurately as focusing exclusively on Timothy Fixed's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.229.259.28
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.089.269.44
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
9.089.259.43
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Timothy Fixed Income extending back to July 30, 1999. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Timothy Fixed stands at 9.26, as last reported on the 31st of January, with the highest price reaching 9.26 and the lowest price hitting 9.26 during the day.
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Timothy Fixed Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Timothy Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 9.26 90 days 9.26 
about 12.97
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Timothy Fixed to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 12.97 (This Timothy Fixed Income probability density function shows the probability of Timothy Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Timothy Fixed has a beta of 0.0658. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Timothy Fixed average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Timothy Fixed Income will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Timothy Fixed Income has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Timothy Fixed Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Timothy Fixed

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Timothy Fixed Income. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.089.269.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.079.259.43
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.089.259.43
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.229.259.28
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Timothy Fixed. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Timothy Fixed's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Timothy Fixed's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Timothy Fixed Income.

Timothy Fixed Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Timothy Fixed is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Timothy Fixed's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Timothy Fixed Income, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Timothy Fixed within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.07
σ
Overall volatility
0.03
Ir
Information ratio -0.34

Timothy Fixed Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Timothy Fixed for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Timothy Fixed Income can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated five year return of -1.0%
Timothy Fixed Income maintains about 5.16% of its assets in bonds

Timothy Fixed Fundamentals Growth

Timothy Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Timothy Fixed, and Timothy Fixed fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Timothy Mutual Fund performance.

About Timothy Fixed Performance

Evaluating Timothy Fixed's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Timothy Fixed has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Timothy Fixed has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund normally invests at least 80 percent of its assets in a diversified portfolio of corporate bonds, U.S. government and agency securities, convertible securities and preferred securities. The investment manager will only purchase securities for the fund that are investment grade, with a rating of at least BBB as rated by Standard Poors or a comparable rating by another nationally recognized rating agency. The fund will not invest in Excluded Securities.

Things to note about Timothy Fixed Income performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Timothy Fixed for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Timothy Fixed Income help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated five year return of -1.0%
Timothy Fixed Income maintains about 5.16% of its assets in bonds
Evaluating Timothy Fixed's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Timothy Fixed's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Timothy Fixed's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Timothy Fixed's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Timothy Fixed's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Timothy Fixed's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Timothy Fixed's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Timothy Fixed's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Timothy Fixed's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Timothy Fixed's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Timothy Fixed's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Timothy Mutual Fund

Timothy Fixed financial ratios help investors to determine whether Timothy Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Timothy with respect to the benefits of owning Timothy Fixed security.
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