TIAA Cref Inflation Linked Bond Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

TCILX Fund  USD 10.55  -0.02  -0.19%   
The fund maintains a market beta of 0.0285, which means relatively modest fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, TIAA Cref's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during a bear market, the loss from holding TIAA Cref is expected to be smaller as well.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Balanced
 
Weak
 
Strong
On a recent 90-day basis, TIAA Cref Inflation Linked Bond sits below 12% of comparable funds and fund portfolios in risk-adjusted performance. Market capitalization should still be reviewed beside liquidity, leverage, and earnings quality. Despite somewhat strong essential indicators, TIAA Cref is not utilizing all of its potential. The current price disturbance may contribute to short-term losses for investors. Learn More
Expense Ratio Date1st of May 2025
Expense Ratio0.6000
  

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 1,041 in TIAA Cref Inflation Linked Bond on December 20, 2025 and sold it today you would have earned a total of $ 14.00 from holding TIAA Cref Inflation Linked Bond or generated 1.34% return on investment over 90 days. TIAA Cref Inflation Linked Bond is currently producing a 0.0224% return and carries 0.1418% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 1% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than TIAA, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This benchmark view frames the instrument through return capture and volatility trade-offs. It is most useful when expected return is read together with volatility rather than in isolation. Assuming a 90-day horizon TIAA Cref is expected to generate 0.17 times more return on investment than the market. However, the fund is 5.81 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.16 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.1 per unit of risk.

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The mean-reverting behavior of TIAA Mutual Fund price is a cornerstone of quantitative forecasting. While this pattern has been used by investors since the earliest organized markets, research also shows that certain funds remain mispriced until demand-supply dynamics shift, suggesting embedded risk premiums.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
10.55 90 days 10.55
about 7.95
Probability analysis for this fund suggests that the odds of TIAA Cref moving above the current price in 90 days from now are about 7.95 (This density function estimates how TIAA Mutual Fund price is distributed across a range of outcomes over the next 90 days).
Assuming a 90-day horizon TIAA Cref has a beta of 0.0285. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, TIAA Cref's average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during a bear market, the loss from holding TIAA Cref Inflation Linked Bond is expected to be smaller as well. Additionally, TIAA Cref Inflation Linked Bond has an alpha of 0.0099, implying that it can generate a 0.0099 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherent market risk (beta).
   TIAA Cref Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for TIAA Cref

For TIAA Cref Inflation, multiple forecasting techniques can provide different perspectives on future price direction. While accurately predicting the fund market remains difficult, the discipline of building and testing forecasts is a valuable part of any investment process. Unexpected events can always change market sentiment, making diversified forecasting approaches especially important.
The mean reversion effect in TIAA Cref is stronger when the initial deviation was driven by sentiment rather than fundamental change. Identifying the root cause of TIAA Cref's price dislocation is essential before acting.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.4110.5510.69
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.4010.5410.68
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.4110.5510.70
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.5010.5410.58
Details
Competitive positioning is a critical dimension of TIAA Cref analysis. Understanding where TIAA Cref Inflation stands relative to its peers on returns, growth, and valuation supports assessment of whether its advantage is sustainable.

Primary Risk Indicators

Over recent decades, the mutual fund market has seen multiple large corrections and recoveries. TIAA Cref has followed this pattern, with price swings that have shaped many portfolios. Investors holding TIAA Cref Inflation Linked Bond can reduce exposure to these swings by tracking TIAA Cref's volatility and fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.05
Ir
Information ratio 0.67

Investor Alerts and Insights

Monitoring TIAA Cref alerts is a practical approach to staying informed about material fund changes. These notifications for TIAA Cref Inflation cover developments in both technical signals and fundamental conditions relevant to investment timing.
The fund maintains most of the assets in different exotic instruments.

TIAA Cref Fundamentals Growth

The market value of TIAA Mutual Fund depends on how investors perceive TIAA Cref's financial strength and growth potential. Core fundamentals including revenue growth, earnings quality, and debt management directly influence TIAA Mutual Fund performance.
Total Asset105.74 M

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

TIAA Cref performance is typically evaluated through NAV-based returns relative to category peers and stated objectives. Upside capture and downside containment can vary by regime.

Unless otherwise specified, data for TIAA Cref Inflation Linked Bond is compiled from fund disclosures and market reference feeds and standardized for comparability. Updates may occur throughout the day. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Gabriel Shpitalnik - Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board
Last reviewed on March 11th, 2026