Cambria Tail Risk Etf Performance

TAIL Etf  USD 11.72  0.10  0.86%   
The etf shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.14, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Cambria Tail's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Cambria Tail is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Cambria Tail Risk are ranked lower than 1 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite persistent forward indicators, Cambria Tail is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price mess, may contribute to short-term losses for the institutional investors. ...more
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Cambria Tail Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,166  in Cambria Tail Risk on December 3, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  6.00  from holding Cambria Tail Risk or generate 0.51% return on investment over 90 days. Cambria Tail Risk is currently generating 0.0098% in daily expected returns and assumes 0.5028% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 4% of etfs are less volatile than Cambria, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Cambria Tail is expected to generate 3.88 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 1.51 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.02 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.05 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Cambria Tail Risk extending back to April 06, 2017. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Cambria Tail stands at 11.72, as last reported on the 3rd of March, with the highest price reaching 11.76 and the lowest price hitting 11.70 during the day.
3 y Volatility
8.23
200 Day MA
11.8233
1 y Volatility
10.79
50 Day MA
11.5152
Inception Date
2017-04-05
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Cambria Tail Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Cambria Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 11.72 90 days 11.72 
about 7.83
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cambria Tail to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 7.83 (This Cambria Tail Risk probability density function shows the probability of Cambria Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Cambria Tail has a beta of 0.14. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Cambria Tail average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Cambria Tail Risk will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Cambria Tail Risk has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Cambria Tail Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cambria Tail

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cambria Tail Risk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.1611.6612.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.2010.7012.83
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.1111.6112.11
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.6611.6611.66
Details

Cambria Tail Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cambria Tail is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cambria Tail's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cambria Tail Risk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cambria Tail within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.14
σ
Overall volatility
0.12
Ir
Information ratio -0.21

Cambria Tail Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cambria Tail for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cambria Tail Risk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cambria Tail Risk created five year return of -8.0%
This fund maintains most of the assets in different exotic instruments.

Cambria Tail Fundamentals Growth

Cambria Etf prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Cambria Tail, and Cambria Tail fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Cambria Etf performance.
Total Asset370.96 M

About Cambria Tail Performance

By examining Cambria Tail's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Cambria Tail's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Cambria Tail is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
The fund is actively managed and seeks to achieve its investment objective by investing in cash and U.S. government bonds, and utilizing a put option strategy to manage the risk of a significant negative movement in the value of domestic equities. Cambria Tail is traded on BATS Exchange in the United States.
Cambria Tail Risk created five year return of -8.0%
This fund maintains most of the assets in different exotic instruments.
When determining whether Cambria Tail Risk is a strong investment it is important to analyze Cambria Tail's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Cambria Tail's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Cambria Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Cambria Tail Risk. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.
You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.
Cambria Tail Risk's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Cambria's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Cambria Tail's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Since Cambria Tail's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cambria Tail's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cambria Tail is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cambria Tail's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.