Invesco Short Term Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

STMUX Fund  USD 3.72  -0.01  -0.27%   
The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0088, which signifies relatively modest fluctuations relative to the market. Invesco Short shows a mild inverse relationship with the market, drifting lower in rallies and holding up during downturns.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Contained
 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared with the broader market, risk-adjusted returns on Invesco Short Term rank lower than 5% of all funds and fund portfolios over the last 90 days. Current market capitalization is about 3.0. Despite somewhat strong basic indicators, Invesco Short is not utilizing all of its potential. The current price disturbance may contribute to short-term losses for investors. Learn More
  

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 370.00 in Invesco Short Term on December 21, 2025 and sold it today you would have earned a total of $ 2.00 from holding Invesco Short Term or generated 0.54% return on investment over 90 days. Invesco Short Term is currently producing a 0.0089% return and carries 0.1197% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 1% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Invesco, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This market-relative note looks at return potential and the amount of risk required to get it. It works best as a comparative read on return quality, drawdown exposure, and volatility burden. Assuming a 90-day horizon Invesco Short is expected to generate 0.15 times more return on investment than the market. However, the fund is 6.89 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.07 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.11 per unit of risk.

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The long-standing observation that Invesco Mutual Fund price tends to revert toward an average level underpins many quantitative fund models. Still, certain funds show persistent deviations from fair value, which are typically explained by the additional risk investors bear.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
3.72 90 days 3.72
about 50.0
Quantitative modeling suggests the odds of Invesco Short moving above the current price in 90 days from now are about 50.0 (The chart above shows the probability of Invesco Mutual Fund falling within different price ranges over the next 90 days).
Assuming a 90-day horizon Invesco Short Term has a beta of -0.0088. This usually implies that as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on Invesco Short tend to move in the opposite direction, though by a smaller magnitude. During a bear market, however, Invesco Short Term is likely to outperform the market. Additionally, Invesco Short Term has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The fund is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Invesco Short Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Invesco Short

Market forecasting for Invesco Short Term draws on a broad range of quantitative and analytical tools. While the fund market is ultimately unpredictable in the short term, systematic forecasting provides context to refine their expectations and improve the quality of their decision-making process.
Mean reversion in Invesco Short is distinct from trend following. Where trend followers ride price momentum, mean reversion investors bet that extended moves will reverse once the underlying driver runs out of fuel.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.663.783.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.613.733.85
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.603.723.84
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.723.733.74
Details
Competitive analysis of Invesco Short involves measuring Invesco Short's strategic position, financial performance, and market valuation against direct competitors. This relative analysis is the foundation of most institutional investment decisions.

Primary Risk Indicators

The mutual fund market has been anything but stable over the last two decades. Invesco Short has experienced sharp corrections and strong recoveries that have reshaped portfolios. Investors in Invesco Short Term can mitigate this risk by watching for changes in Invesco Short's fundamental risk indicators and adjusting their hedging accordingly.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0026
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.0088
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.84

Investor Alerts and Insights

Targeted alerts for Invesco Short give investors a structured approach to monitoring fund conditions. Invesco Short Term notifications help investors identify important technical and fundamental changes that could create new opportunities or signal risks.
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The fund maintains about 7.13% of its assets in cash

Invesco Short Fundamentals Growth

The performance of Invesco Mutual Fund is closely linked to Invesco Short's underlying financial metrics. Revenue and earnings growth, margin expansion, and prudent debt management are the fundamentals that matter most to investors evaluating Invesco Mutual Fund.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

Invesco Short performance is typically evaluated through NAV-based returns relative to category peers and stated objectives. Historical dispersion defines the plausible outcome range.

Data shown for Invesco Short Term is aggregated from fund disclosures and market reference feeds and normalized across reporting formats. Source publication cadence can introduce delays. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Michael Smolkin - Member of Macroaxis Board of Directors
Last reviewed on March 3rd, 2026