System1 Etf Performance

SST Etf  USD 1.70  -0.02  -1.16%   
The etf maintains a market beta of 1.54, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Market upswings tend to lift System1 more than average, but downturns carry a proportionally larger impact on returns.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weak
 
Weak
 
Strong
During the last 90 trading days, System1 produced negative risk-adjusted performance, which signals weak return efficiency for investors with long positions. This reading is usually reviewed beside volatility, downside risk, and benchmark-relative behavior before conviction is increased. In spite of uncertain performance in the last few months, the etf's basic indicators remain comparatively stable, which may send shares a bit higher in April 2026. The newest uproar may also be a sign of mid-term up-swing for the exchange-traded fund's private investors. Learn More
 Last Split Factor
1:10
 Last Split Date
2025-06-12
Begin Period Cash Flow67.9 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-6.7 M

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 455.00 in System1 on December 19, 2025 and sold it today you would have lost $ 285.00 from holding System1 or given up 62.64% of portfolio value over 90 days. System1 is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 4.5915% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 41% of etfs are less volatile than System1, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This market-relative note looks at return potential and the amount of risk required to get it. It highlights whether the current reward profile compensates for the level of uncertainty assumed. Considering the 90-day investment horizon System1 is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the ETF is 5.56 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.33 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.08 per unit of volatility.

Historical Prices of System1

Below is the normalized historical share price chart for System1 extending back to August 07, 2020. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of System1 stands at 1.70, as last reported on the 19th of March, with the highest price reaching 1.81 and the lowest price hitting 1.66 during the day.
Macro event markers
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

For System1 Etf, the observed tendency of price to return to a central value is a key input to forecasting models. This mean reversion pattern, however, does not apply uniformly - some ETFs remain mispriced for extended periods, suggesting that embedded risk premiums affect the speed of correction.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
1.70 90 days 1.70
close to 99
According to a normal distribution model, the odds of System1 moving above the current price in 90 days from now are close to 99 (The density curve for System1 shows where System1 Etf price is most likely to settle within 90 days).
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the etf has the beta coefficient of 1.54 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the ETF is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, System1 will likely underperform. Additionally, System1 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The ETF is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   System1 Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for System1

A wide range of forecasting techniques can be applied to System1 and the broader ETF market. While market prediction remains inherently uncertain, combining multiple approaches and evaluating their results is one of the most effective ways to improve the quality of investment decisions.
Mean reversion in System1 is more reliable over longer time horizons. Short-term deviations can persist and even widen before correcting, making position sizing and risk management critical.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.091.706.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.081.676.24
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.021.015.59
Details
Analyst
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
7.288.008.88
Details
Effective investment decisions about System1 require competitive context. Benchmarking System1's against peers on earnings quality, growth consistency, and balance sheet strength can materially change the investment conclusion.

Primary Risk Indicators

The etf market's recent history has been defined by volatility, with multiple large corrections and rallies in the last 10-20 years. System1 has participated in these swings. Investors holding System1 can protect their portfolios by monitoring System1's risk indicators and implementing appropriate hedging strategies.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-1.143
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.54
σ
Overall volatility
0.77
Ir
Information ratio -0.2591

Investor Alerts and Insights

Investors in System1 benefit from automated alerts that flag material ETF changes as they occur. System1 notifications cover technical signals, fundamental shifts, and notable headlines that may impact investment timing.
System1 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
System1 may become a speculative penny stock
System1 has high historical volatility and very poor performance
System1 has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
System1 has $9.61 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.52, which is consistent with its industry peers. System1 has a current ratio of 0.72, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist System1 until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, System1's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like System1 sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for System1 to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about System1's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The ETF reported last year's revenue of 266.13 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was -81.19 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 7.65 M.
System1 has about 63.61 M in cash with -4.15 M of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.41.
Roughly 49.0% of the ETF outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Disposition of 2242 shares by Jennifer Robinson of System 1 at 1.38 subject to Rule 16 b-3
The fund maintains almost 98.37% of its assets in bonds

Price Density Drivers

Key market indicators for System1 reflect the combined effect of index tracking, trading volume, and ETF-specific dynamics. Reviewing the table below helps investors assess the current drivers of System1's price behavior.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding7.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments86.9 M

System1 Fundamentals Growth

The market prices System1 Etf according to System1's ability to generate revenue growth, maintain healthy margins, and manage debt effectively. These fundamental drivers have a direct and measurable impact on System1 Etf performance.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

System1 performance is typically evaluated relative to its benchmark and tracking difference over time. Liquidity conditions can influence realized performance through spreads and execution cost.

The analytics block for System1 relies on fund disclosures and market reference feeds, with quality checks and normalization applied before rendering. Timing can vary by data vendor. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Rifka Kats - Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board
Last reviewed on March 3rd, 2026