Sierra Tactical Risk Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

SRFQX Fund  USD 24.76  -0.07  -0.28%   
The fund holds a Beta of -0.0654, which means relatively modest fluctuations relative to the market. Sierra Tactical shows a mild inverse relationship with the market, drifting lower in rallies and holding up during downturns.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Mild
 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared with the broader market, risk-adjusted returns on Sierra Tactical Risk rank lower than 3% of all funds and fund portfolios over the last 90 days. This score becomes more useful when investors compare it with downside risk, Sharpe Ratio, and current trend stability. Despite somewhat strong basic indicators, Sierra Tactical is not utilizing all of its potential. The current price disturbance may contribute to short-term losses for investors. Learn More
  

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 2,454 in Sierra Tactical Risk on December 13, 2025 and sold it today you would have earned a total of $ 22.00 from holding Sierra Tactical Risk or generated 0.9% return on investment over 90 days. Sierra Tactical Risk is currently producing a 0.0156% return and carries 0.3817% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 3% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Sierra, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This market-relative note looks at return potential and the amount of risk required to get it. It is most useful when expected return is read together with volatility rather than in isolation. Assuming a 90-day horizon Sierra Tactical is expected to generate 0.48 times more return on investment than the market. However, the fund is 2.07 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.04 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.08 per unit of risk.

Historical Prices of Sierra Tactical Risk

Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Sierra Tactical Risk extending back to May 24, 2021. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Sierra Tactical stands at 24.76, as last reported on the 13th of March 2026, with the highest price reaching 24.76 and the lowest price hitting 24.76 during the day.
Macro event markers
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Sierra Mutual Fund to revert toward average price levels over time has been a foundational concept in fund analysis. Studies have shown that while most funds follow this pattern, some exhibit persistent mispricings until market forces eventually align supply and demand.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
24.76 90 days 24.76
about 74.34
Normal distribution modeling for this fund estimates the odds of Sierra Tactical moving above the current price in 90 days from now at about 74.34 (The probability density function above maps the range of expected Sierra Mutual Fund prices over a 90-day horizon).
Assuming a 90-day horizon Sierra Tactical Risk has a beta of -0.0654. This usually implies that as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on Sierra Tactical tend to move in the opposite direction, though by a smaller magnitude. During a bear market, however, Sierra Tactical Risk is likely to outperform the market. Additionally, Sierra Tactical Risk has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The fund is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Sierra Tactical Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sierra Tactical

The fund market has long attracted forecasting efforts from investors and analysts alike. For Sierra Tactical Risk, a range of technical, fundamental, and quantitative methods can be applied. Although no technique is consistently accurate, the process of comparing multiple forecasts is an essential part of investment research.
Applying mean reversion analysis to Sierra Tactical's requires identifying the appropriate reference point - whether book value, historical earnings multiple, or sector median - against which current prices are measured.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.0924.4724.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.3824.7625.14
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24.0924.4724.85
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
24.7125.1225.54
Details
Sector peer analysis for Sierra Tactical provides the reference frame needed to determine whether Sierra Tactical's current valuation is justified by relative performance or inflated by momentum or narrative.

Primary Risk Indicators

The mutual fund market has experienced repeated bouts of volatility over the last 10-20 years. Sierra Tactical has not been an exception, with large corrections and rallies creating significant portfolio risk. Investors in Sierra Tactical Risk should look out for shifts in Sierra Tactical's volatility and market elasticity as part of their risk management process.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0008
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.0654
σ
Overall volatility
0.26
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

Investor Alerts and Insights

Keeping track of Sierra Tactical through alert notifications helps investors react to material fund changes in a timely manner. Sierra Tactical Risk alerts cover shifts in fundamentals, technical conditions, and significant market-moving events.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Royce Small-Cap Opportunity Fund FY 2025 Manager Commentary - Seeking Alpha
The fund maintains all of the assets in different exotic instruments

Sierra Tactical Fundamentals Growth

Sierra Mutual Fund market pricing reflects the collective assessment of Sierra Tactical's financial fundamentals. Key areas of focus include revenue momentum, earnings growth, margin trends, and the overall strength of Sierra Tactical's balance sheet.
Total Asset143.34 M

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

Sierra Tactical performance is typically evaluated through NAV-based returns relative to category peers and stated objectives. Stress-period behavior provides insight into downside characteristics.

Inputs for Sierra Tactical Risk come from fund disclosures and market reference feeds and are mapped into a consistent schema for analysis. Some fields can appear with publication lag. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Vlad Skutelnik - Macroaxis Contributor