SunOpta Stock Performance
| SOY Stock | CAD 8.89 0.02 0.23% |
SunOpta holds a performance score of 17 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The company has a beta of 2.3, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, SunOpta will likely underperform. SunOpta semi variance, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and accumulation distribution, to analyze future returns on SunOpta.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Constructive
Weak | Strong |
On a recent 90-day basis, SunOpta sits below 17% of comparable global equities and portfolios in risk-adjusted performance. Used properly, the ranking helps separate absolute gains from efficient gains. In spite of very weak basic indicators, SunOpta displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. Learn More
1 | Unpacking Q 3 Earnings Sun Opta In The Context Of Other Shelf-Stable Food Stocks - Yahoo Finance | 12/30/2025 |
2 | Beverage and snack supplier Sun Opta bumps up its 2025 sales goals - Stock Titan | 01/12/2026 |
3 | Sun Opta agrees to 798 M sale to Refresco stock jumps 30 percent - The Business Journals | 02/06/2026 |
4 | Refresco to acquire Sun Opta in 6.50 per share deal - theplantbasemag.com | 02/11/2026 |
5 | Sun Opta Hold Rating Reflects Limited Upside as Share Price Tracks Refresco Takeover Terms - Tip Ranks | 03/10/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 1.6 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -29.6 M |
SunOpta |
Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you had invested C$ 512.00 in SunOpta on December 19, 2025 and sold it today you would have earned a total of C$ 377.00 from holding SunOpta or generated 73.63% return on investment over 90 days. SunOpta is generating a 1.0145% daily return assuming 4.6188% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 41% of all stocks have less volatile historical return distribution than SunOpta, and 80% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of SunOpta Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of organized markets for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded stocks are consistently mispriced before demand and supply correct the spread. One possible explanation is that these stocks carry additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds moving above the current price in 90 days |
| 8.89 | 90 days | 8.89 | about 12.17 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SunOpta moving above the current price in 90 days from now are about 12.17 (This SunOpta probability density function shows the probability of SunOpta Stock falling within a particular range of prices over 90 days).
SunOpta Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for SunOpta
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the stock market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual instruments such as SunOpta. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of SunOpta's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion.
Primary Risk Indicators
The last 10-20 years have been a volatile period for the stock market. SunOpta is no exception. The market experienced several large corrections towards SunOpta's value, including sharp drops and substantial rallies. An investor can limit portfolio swings by implementing a hedging strategy designed to reduce downside losses. If you hold SunOpta, one way to protect your portfolio is to watch for changing volatility and market elasticity of SunOpta within the framework of fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.30 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.56 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.21 |
Investor Alerts and Insights
Automated alerts tied to SunOpta help investors stay ahead of material changes in stock conditions. Monitoring ongoing notifications for SunOpta is a practical way to spot shifts in technical or fundamental signals that may affect investment timing.| SunOpta appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Over 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Sun Opta Hold Rating Reflects Limited Upside as Share Price Tracks Refresco Takeover Terms - Tip Ranks |
Price Density Drivers
Market volatility typically increases when nervous long traders begin to feel pressure from short-sellers driving the market lower. The future price of SunOpta Stock often depends not only on the outlook of current and potential investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between traders with different styles. SunOpta's indicators related to short sentiment are summarized below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 124.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 169 K |
SunOpta Fundamentals Growth
SunOpta Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of SunOpta, and SunOpta fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on SunOpta Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.0902 | |||
| Return On Asset | 0.0446 | |||
| Profit Margin | 0.02 % | |||
| Operating Margin | 0.07 % | |||
| Current Valuation | 1.56 B | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 118.36 M | |||
| Price To Earning | 14.88 X | |||
| Price To Book | 4.48 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 1.29 X | |||
| Revenue | 817.71 M | |||
| Gross Profit | 121.2 M | |||
| EBITDA | 83.3 M | |||
| Net Income | 15.77 M | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.55 M | |||
| Cash Per Share | 0.01 X | |||
| Total Debt | 372.15 M | |||
| Debt To Equity | 0.52 % | |||
| Current Ratio | 2.16 X | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 1.98 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 49.66 M | |||
| Earnings Per Share | 0.18 X | |||
| Market Capitalization | 1.05 B | |||
| Total Asset | 694.66 M | |||
| Retained Earnings | -340.72 M | |||
| Working Capital | 33.51 M | |||
Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology
SunOpta performance is measured on a risk-adjusted basis against benchmarks. Risk-adjusted measures provide context for return efficiency across regimes. SunOpta shows ROE of 9.02%, ROA of 4.46%.
Unless otherwise specified, data for SunOpta is compiled from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and standardized for comparability. Updates may occur throughout the day. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.