SunOpta Stock Performance

SOY Stock  CAD 8.89  0.02  0.23%   
SunOpta holds a performance score of 17 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The company has a beta of 2.3, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, SunOpta will likely underperform. SunOpta semi variance, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and accumulation distribution, to analyze future returns on SunOpta.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Constructive
 
Weak
 
Strong
On a recent 90-day basis, SunOpta sits below 17% of comparable global equities and portfolios in risk-adjusted performance. Used properly, the ranking helps separate absolute gains from efficient gains. In spite of very weak basic indicators, SunOpta displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. Learn More
Begin Period Cash Flow1.6 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-29.6 M
  

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested C$ 512.00 in SunOpta on December 19, 2025 and sold it today you would have earned a total of C$ 377.00 from holding SunOpta or generated 73.63% return on investment over 90 days. SunOpta is generating a 1.0145% daily return assuming 4.6188% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 41% of all stocks have less volatile historical return distribution than SunOpta, and 80% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This relative risk-return summary reviews how the instrument behaves against its benchmark. It highlights whether the current reward profile compensates for the level of uncertainty assumed. Assuming the 90-day trading horizon SunOpta is expected to generate 5.6 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 5.6 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.22 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.08 per unit of risk.

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of SunOpta Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of organized markets for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded stocks are consistently mispriced before demand and supply correct the spread. One possible explanation is that these stocks carry additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
8.89 90 days 8.89
about 12.17
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SunOpta moving above the current price in 90 days from now are about 12.17 (This SunOpta probability density function shows the probability of SunOpta Stock falling within a particular range of prices over 90 days).
Assuming the 90-day trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.3 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, SunOpta will likely underperform. Moreover, SunOpta has an alpha of 1.0527, implying that it can generate a 1.0527 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherent market risk (beta).
   SunOpta Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for SunOpta

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the stock market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual instruments such as SunOpta. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of SunOpta's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.298.8913.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.729.3213.92
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4.238.8313.44
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.030.040.05
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as SunOpta. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against SunOpta's peers to derive any actionable benefits.

Primary Risk Indicators

The last 10-20 years have been a volatile period for the stock market. SunOpta is no exception. The market experienced several large corrections towards SunOpta's value, including sharp drops and substantial rallies. An investor can limit portfolio swings by implementing a hedging strategy designed to reduce downside losses. If you hold SunOpta, one way to protect your portfolio is to watch for changing volatility and market elasticity of SunOpta within the framework of fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.30
σ
Overall volatility
1.56
Ir
Information ratio 0.21

Investor Alerts and Insights

Automated alerts tied to SunOpta help investors stay ahead of material changes in stock conditions. Monitoring ongoing notifications for SunOpta is a practical way to spot shifts in technical or fundamental signals that may affect investment timing.
SunOpta appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Over 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Sun Opta Hold Rating Reflects Limited Upside as Share Price Tracks Refresco Takeover Terms - Tip Ranks

Price Density Drivers

Market volatility typically increases when nervous long traders begin to feel pressure from short-sellers driving the market lower. The future price of SunOpta Stock often depends not only on the outlook of current and potential investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between traders with different styles. SunOpta's indicators related to short sentiment are summarized below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding124.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments169 K

SunOpta Fundamentals Growth

SunOpta Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of SunOpta, and SunOpta fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on SunOpta Stock performance.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

SunOpta performance is measured on a risk-adjusted basis against benchmarks. Risk-adjusted measures provide context for return efficiency across regimes. SunOpta shows ROE of 9.02%, ROA of 4.46%.

Unless otherwise specified, data for SunOpta is compiled from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and standardized for comparability. Updates may occur throughout the day. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Raphi Shpitalnik - Junior Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board
Last reviewed on March 8th, 2026