Defiance Daily Target Etf Performance
| SOUX Etf | 15.41 -1.84 -10.67% |
The etf shows a Beta (market volatility) of 6.16, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. DeFiance Daily tends to amplify market moves - gaining more in rallies but giving back more during declines.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weak
Weak | Strong |
For the recent 90-day horizon, Defiance Daily Target failed to convert risk into positive risk-adjusted performance. The result matters because weak risk-adjusted return can persist even when isolated price moves briefly look constructive. Despite uncertain performance in the last few months, the etf's basic indicators remain somewhat strong, which may send shares a bit higher in April 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the ETF's investors. Learn More
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Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you had invested $ 5,743 in Defiance Daily Target on December 21, 2025 and sold it today you would have lost $ 4,202 from holding Defiance Daily Target or given up 73.17% of portfolio value over 90 days. Defiance Daily Target does not currently generate positive expected returns and carries 8.7073% risk (volatility on return distribution) over a 90-day horizon. In different words, 78% of etfs are less volatile than DeFiance, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the ETF over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The long-standing observation that DeFiance Etf price tends to revert toward an average level underpins many quantitative ETF models. Still, certain ETFs show persistent deviations from fair value, which are typically explained by the additional risk investors bear.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds moving above the current price in 90 days |
| 15.41 | 90 days | 15.41 | more than 94.0 |
Quantitative modeling suggests the odds of DeFiance Daily moving above the current price in 90 days from now are more than 94.0 (The chart above shows the probability of DeFiance Etf falling within different price ranges over the next 90 days).
DeFiance Daily Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for DeFiance Daily
Market forecasting for DeFiance Daily Target draws on a broad range of quantitative and analytical tools. While the ETF market is ultimately unpredictable in the short term, systematic forecasting provides context to refine their expectations and improve the quality of their decision-making process.Mean reversion in DeFiance Daily is distinct from trend following. Where trend followers ride price momentum, mean reversion investors bet that extended moves will reverse once the underlying driver runs out of fuel.
Primary Risk Indicators
The etf market has been anything but stable over the last two decades. DeFiance Daily has experienced sharp corrections and strong recoveries that have reshaped portfolios. Investors in Defiance Daily Target can mitigate this risk by watching for changes in DeFiance Daily's fundamental risk indicators and adjusting their hedging accordingly.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.9141 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 6.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 13.90 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1677 |
Investor Alerts and Insights
Targeted alerts for DeFiance Daily give investors a structured approach to monitoring ETF conditions. DeFiance Daily Target notifications help investors identify important technical and fundamental changes that could create new opportunities or signal risks.| DeFiance Daily generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| DeFiance Daily has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Van Eck Long Flat Trend ETF Short Interest Up 30.7 percent in February |
Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology
DeFiance Daily performance is typically evaluated relative to its benchmark and tracking difference over time. Historical dispersion defines the plausible outcome range.
Data shown for Defiance Daily Target is aggregated from fund disclosures and market reference feeds and normalized across reporting formats. Source publication cadence can introduce delays. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.