Smith Micro Software Stock Performance
| SMSI Stock | USD 0.81 0.01 1.25% |
On a scale of 0 to 100, Smith Micro holds a performance score of 10. The company has a Beta (Market Sensitivity) of 0.53, which means generally lower market sensitivity than the broad market. Returns on Smith Micro tend to trail the broader market in strong rallies but hold up better when sentiment turns negative.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Moderate
Weak | Strong |
Across the last 90 days, the risk-adjusted return profile of Smith Micro Software is weaker than 10% of the global equities and portfolios reviewed by Macroaxis. The business is commonly classified in the Technology sector and the Software—Application industry. Despite fairly weak basic indicators, Smith Micro demonstrated solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. Learn More
Last Split Factor 1:8 | Dividend Date 2016-08-17 | Last Split Date 2024-04-11 |
1 | Acquisition by Huffmyer Timothy C. of 50000 shares of Smith Micro subject to Rule 16 b-3 | 01/27/2026 |
2 | Aug Wrap Is Smith Micro Software Inc gaining market share - 2025 Bull vs Bear Free Community Consensus Stock Picks - baoquankhu 1.vn | 02/02/2026 |
3 | Acquisition by William Smith of 1480165 shares of Smith Micro at 0.68 subject to Rule 16 b-3 | 02/03/2026 |
4 | Smith Micro Secures Insider Financing to Boost Liquidity - Tip Ranks | 02/05/2026 |
5 | Disposition of 9706 shares by William Smith of Smith Micro subject to Rule 16 b-3 | 02/20/2026 |
6 | Disposition of 27010 shares by Huffmyer Timothy C. of Smith Micro at 0.512 subject to Rule 16 b-3 | 02/27/2026 |
7 | Smith Micro Reports Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year 2025 Financial Results | 03/04/2026 |
8 | Acquisition by Huffmyer Timothy C. of tradable shares of Smith Micro at 0.68 subject to Rule 16 b-3 | 03/06/2026 |
9 | Acquisition by Arno Andrew of 12500 shares of Smith Micro subject to Rule 16 b-3 | 03/09/2026 |
10 | Acquisition by William Smith of tradable shares of Smith Micro at 0.68 subject to Rule 16 b-3 | 03/10/2026 |
11 | Disposition of 1788 shares by Huffmyer Timothy C. of Smith Micro at 0.846 subject to Rule 16 b-3 | 03/13/2026 |
12 | Smith Micro CEO withholds shares to pay taxes, retains large stake - Stock Titan | 03/16/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 2.8 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | 1.2 M |
Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you had invested $ 55.00 in Smith Micro Software on December 22, 2025 and sold it today you would have earned a total of $ 26.00 from holding Smith Micro Software or generated 47.27% return on investment over 90 days. Smith Micro Software is currently generating a 0.7831% daily expected return and carries 5.7928% risk (volatility on return distribution) over a 90-day horizon. In different words, 51% of stocks are less volatile than Smith, and 85% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
For Smith Stock, the observed tendency of price to return to a central value is a key input to forecasting models. This mean reversion pattern, however, does not apply uniformly - some stocks remain mispriced for extended periods, suggesting that embedded risk premiums affect the speed of correction.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds moving above the current price in 90 days |
| 0.81 | 90 days | 0.81 | about 1.07 |
According to a normal distribution model, the odds of Smith Micro moving above the current price in 90 days from now are about 1.07 (The density curve for Smith Micro Software shows where Smith Stock price is most likely to settle within 90 days).
Smith Micro Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Smith Micro
A wide range of forecasting techniques can be applied to Smith Micro Software and the broader stock market. While market prediction remains inherently uncertain, combining multiple approaches and evaluating their results is one of the most effective ways to improve the quality of investment decisions.Mean reversion in Smith Micro is more reliable over longer time horizons. Short-term deviations can persist and even widen before correcting, making position sizing and risk management critical.
Primary Risk Indicators
The stock market's recent history has been defined by volatility, with multiple large corrections and rallies in the last 10-20 years. Smith Micro has participated in these swings. Investors holding Smith Micro Software can protect their portfolios by monitoring Smith Micro's risk indicators and implementing appropriate hedging strategies.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.60 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.53 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.10 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
Investor Alerts and Insights
Investors in Smith Micro benefit from automated alerts that flag material stock changes as they occur. Smith Micro Software notifications cover technical signals, fundamental shifts, and notable headlines that may impact investment timing.| Smith Micro Software is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Smith Micro Software has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Smith Micro Software appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Smith Micro Software has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported previous year's revenue of 17.36 M. Net Loss for the year was -29.33 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 12.86 M. | |
| Smith Micro Software currently holds about 5.36 M in cash with -7.19 M of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.1. | |
| Roughly 27.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Smith Micro CEO withholds shares to pay taxes, retains large stake - Stock Titan |
Price Density Drivers
Key market indicators for Smith Micro reflect the tension between long and short positioning, along with broader investor sentiment. Reviewing the table below supports assessment of the current dynamics driving Smith Micro's price behavior.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 20.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.5 M |
Smith Micro Fundamentals Growth
The market prices Smith Stock according to Smith Micro's ability to generate revenue growth, maintain healthy margins, and manage debt effectively. These fundamental drivers have a direct and measurable impact on Smith Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.99 | |||
| Return On Asset | -0.33 | |||
| Profit Margin | -1.69 % | |||
| Operating Margin | -1.10 % | |||
| Current Valuation | 21.71 M | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 25.76 M | |||
| Price To Earning | 22.50 X | |||
| Price To Book | 1.13 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 1.21 X | |||
| Revenue | 17.36 M | |||
| Gross Profit | 12.86 M | |||
| EBITDA | -13.85 M | |||
| Net Income | -29.33 M | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 5.36 M | |||
| Cash Per Share | 0.10 X | |||
| Total Debt | 2.34 M | |||
| Debt To Equity | 0.06 % | |||
| Current Ratio | 1.91 X | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 0.71 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | -7.19 M | |||
| Earnings Per Share | -1.46 X | |||
| Market Capitalization | 20.95 M | |||
| Total Asset | 24.97 M | |||
| Retained Earnings | -384.74 M | |||
| Working Capital | -1.59 M | |||
| Current Asset | 21.79 M | |||
| Current Liabilities | 7.21 M | |||
Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology
Smith Micro performance is measured on a risk-adjusted basis against benchmarks. Liquidity conditions can influence realized performance through spreads and execution cost. Smith Micro shows ROE of -99.17%, ROA of -32.95%.
The analytics block for Smith Micro Software relies on periodic company reporting and market reference feeds, with quality checks and normalization applied before rendering. Timing can vary by data vendor. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.