SIMPAR SA (Brazil) Performance
| SIMH3 Stock | BRL 11.59 -0.20 -1.70% |
The firm maintains a market beta of 1.09, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. SIMPAR SA returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, SIMPAR SA is expected to follow. At this point, SIMPAR SA has a negative expected return of -0.0258%. Please make sure to verify SIMPAR SA's value at risk, potential upside, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and skewness, to decide if SIMPAR SA's performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weak
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days, SIMPAR SA generated negative risk-adjusted returns and added little value for investors with long positions. The result matters because weak risk-adjusted return can persist even when isolated price moves briefly look constructive. In spite of comparatively stable basic indicators, SIMPAR SA is not utilizing all of its potential. The newest price uproar may contribute to short-horizon losses for private investors. Learn More
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 409.6 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -452 M |
SIMPAR |
SIMPAR SA Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you had invested R$ 1,230 in SIMPAR SA on December 12, 2025 and sold it today you would have lost R$ 71.00 from holding SIMPAR SA or given up 5.77% of portfolio value over 90 days. SIMPAR SA is generating negative expected returns and shows 3.9254% volatility on return distribution over a 90-day horizon. Simply put, 35% of stocks are less volatile than SIMPAR, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
For SIMPAR Stock, the observed tendency of price to return to a central value is a key input to forecasting models. This mean reversion pattern, however, does not apply uniformly — some stocks remain mispriced for extended periods, suggesting that embedded risk premiums affect the speed of correction.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds moving above the current price in 90 days |
| 11.59 | 90 days | 11.59 | about 67.91 |
According to a normal distribution model, the odds of SIMPAR SA moving above the current price in 90 days from now are about 67.91 (The density curve for SIMPAR SA shows where SIMPAR Stock price is most likely to settle within 90 days).
SIMPAR SA Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for SIMPAR SA
A wide range of forecasting techniques can be applied to SIMPAR SA and the broader stock market. While market prediction remains inherently uncertain, combining multiple approaches and evaluating their results is one of the most effective ways to improve the quality of investment decisions.Mean reversion in SIMPAR SA is more reliable over longer time horizons. Short-term deviations can persist and even widen before correcting, making position sizing and risk management critical.
Primary Risk Indicators
The stock market's recent history has been defined by volatility, with multiple large corrections and rallies in the last 10-20 years. SIMPAR SA has participated in these swings. Investors holding SIMPAR SA can protect their portfolios by monitoring SIMPAR SA's risk indicators and implementing appropriate hedging strategies.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.1699 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.29 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0432 |
SIMPAR SA Alerts and Suggestions
Investors in SIMPAR SA benefit from automated alerts that flag material stock changes as they occur. SIMPAR SA notifications cover technical signals, fundamental shifts, and notable headlines that may impact investment timing.| SIMPAR SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| SIMPAR SA has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| SIMPAR SA has accumulated about 914.58 M in cash with -14.71 B of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 17.82, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 64.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
SIMPAR SA Price Density Drivers
Key market indicators for SIMPAR SA reflect the tension between long and short positioning, along with broader investor sentiment. Reviewing the table below helps investors assess the current dynamics driving SIMPAR SA's price behavior.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 824.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 18.7 B |
SIMPAR SA Fundamentals Growth
The market prices SIMPAR Stock according to SIMPAR SA's ability to generate revenue growth, maintain healthy margins, and manage debt effectively. These fundamental drivers have a direct and measurable impact on SIMPAR Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.18 | |||
| Return On Asset | 0.0607 | |||
| Profit Margin | 0.03 % | |||
| Operating Margin | 0.23 % | |||
| Current Valuation | 31.08 B | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 826.19 M | |||
| Price To Earning | 4.95 X | |||
| Price To Book | 1.92 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 0.24 X | |||
| Revenue | 13.87 B | |||
| EBITDA | 5.11 B | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 914.58 M | |||
| Cash Per Share | 17.82 X | |||
| Total Debt | 32.63 B | |||
| Debt To Equity | 6.28 % | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 3.35 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | -14.71 B | |||
| Earnings Per Share | 0.62 X | |||
| Total Asset | 47.97 B | |||
About SIMPAR SA Performance Analysis
SIMPAR SA performance is measured on a risk-adjusted basis against benchmarks. Liquidity conditions can influence realized performance through spreads and execution cost. SIMPAR SA shows ROE of 18.1%, ROA of 6.07%. 
Raphi Shpitalnik · Junior Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board
Unless otherwise specified, financial data for SIMPAR SA is derived from periodic company reporting (annual and quarterly where available). Asset-level metrics are computed daily by Macroaxis LLC and refreshed regularly based on asset type. Updates may occur throughout the day.
SIMPAR Stock is Curated By:
Raphi Shpitalnik · Junior Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board