Shopify Stock Performance
| SHOP Stock | CAD 170.06 -5.08 -2.90% |
The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.8, which alludes to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Returns on Shopify tend to move against the broader market, though the counter-movement is modest relative to the index. At this point, Shopify has a negative expected return of -0.46%. Please make sure to validate Shopify's potential upside, skewness, and the relationship between the value at risk and kurtosis, to decide if Shopify's performance from the past will be repeated sooner or later.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weak
Weak | Strong |
Shopify has delivered negative risk-adjusted returns across the last 90 days, suggesting that volatility was not compensated by return. Used correctly, this score supports evaluation of raw price movement versus actual return efficiency. In spite of unfluctuating performance in the last few months, the stock's basic indicators remain very healthy, which may send shares a bit higher in April 2026. The recent disarray may also be a sign of long period up-swing for the firm's investors. Learn More
1 | Shopify stock slides today as year-end tech rebalancing hits SHOP ahead of New Years Eve session - ts 2.tech | 12/30/2025 |
2 | The Cross-Border Specialist Posts 25 percent Growth but Its Platform Rival Delivers Better Returns - 247 Wall St. | 01/16/2026 |
3 | App Lovin Or Shopify Which Stock To Bet On - Forbes | 01/21/2026 |
4 | Shopifys AI Commerce Push and Rising GMV Could Be A Game Changer For Shopify - simplywall.st | 01/29/2026 |
5 | Shopify Stock Could Extend a Bounce Off This Trendline - Finviz | 02/02/2026 |
6 | Top Stock Reports for SAP, Mc Donalds Shopify - Yahoo Finance | 02/05/2026 |
7 | Shopify Stock Slumps on Earnings Miss. Software Worries Are Why. - Barrons | 02/11/2026 |
8 | Options Corner Shopifys Meltdown Isnt Fueling The Hedging Activity You Would Ordinarily Expect - Benzinga | 02/17/2026 |
9 | Shopify Stock Is Tumbling Is This a Chance to Buy - Yahoo Finance Canada | 02/24/2026 |
10 | Shopify CEOs share sell plan could net him 350-million - The Globe and Mail | 03/09/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 1.6 B | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -1.2 B |
Shopify |
Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you had invested C$ 23,338 in Shopify on December 20, 2025 and sold it today you would have lost C$ 6,332 from holding Shopify or given up 27.13% of portfolio value over 90 days. Shopify is generating negative expected returns and shows 3.6494% volatility on return distribution over a 90-day horizon. Simply put, 32% of stocks are less volatile than Shopify, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The pattern of price convergence toward an average value is one of the most reliable features of organized stock markets. For Shopify Stock, this behavior has been used by investors as a forecasting baseline, though some stocks exhibit notable delays before mispricing is corrected.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds moving above the current price in 90 days |
| 170.06 | 90 days | 170.06 | about 78.55 |
A probability distribution analysis shows that the odds of Shopify moving above the current price in 90 days from now are about 78.55 (The curve above represents the probability density of Shopify Stock prices across the next 90 days).
Shopify Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Shopify
Forecasting techniques for the stock market vary widely in methodology and complexity. For instruments such as Shopify, combining multiple approaches provides a more robust view than relying on any single model. Market surprises are inevitable, but disciplined forecasting still improves overall investment decision-making.Investors who believe in mean reversion view Shopify's price extremes not as permanent states but as temporary dislocations that create opportunities for disciplined, contrarian capital allocation.
Primary Risk Indicators
The last 10-20 years have demonstrated just how volatile the stock market can be. Shopify has been part of this story, with corrections and rallies that have made and broken portfolios. Holding Shopify with a hedging strategy informed by Shopify's risk indicators is one way to limit downside exposure.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.4518 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.8 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 28.64 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0845 |
Investor Alerts and Insights
Timely alerts on Shopify help investors identify important shifts in stock conditions early. Reviewing Shopify notifications is an efficient way to stay current on technical patterns, fundamental changes, and market-moving headlines.| Shopify generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Shopify has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 74.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Revenue per share of Xtract One Technologies Inc HAM 0 PL - Trading View |
Price Density Drivers
The indicators below capture the key forces that influence Shopify's near-term price action, including the dynamics between long and short market participants. Reviewing these metrics contextualizes Shopify price movements and anticipate potential volatility shifts.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.3 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.8 B |
Shopify Fundamentals Growth
Understanding Shopify Stock requires a close look at Shopify's financial fundamentals. Revenue growth, earnings consistency, operating margins, and capital structure are the principal factors that influence Shopify Stock market performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.0984 | |||
| Return On Asset | 0.0815 | |||
| Profit Margin | 0.11 % | |||
| Operating Margin | 0.20 % | |||
| Current Valuation | 220.49 B | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 1.23 B | |||
| Price To Earning | 3.13 X | |||
| Price To Book | 12.36 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 19.86 X | |||
| Revenue | 11.76 B | |||
| EBITDA | 1.96 B | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.54 B | |||
| Cash Per Share | 5.48 X | |||
| Total Debt | 358.35 M | |||
| Debt To Equity | 0.14 % | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 14.14 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 2.07 B | |||
| Earnings Per Share | 1.30 X | |||
| Total Asset | 15.16 B | |||
| Retained Earnings | 2.85 B | |||
| Current Asset | 2.07 B | |||
| Current Liabilities | 134.67 M | |||
Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology
Shopify performance is measured on a risk-adjusted basis against benchmarks. Tracking difference (where applicable) can separate exposure returns from implementation effects. Shopify shows ROE of 9.84%, ROA of 8.15%.
This section for Shopify is built from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds, with harmonization applied to align reporting definitions. Values may update on different source schedules. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.