Source Energy Services Stock Performance
| SHLE Stock | CAD 15.34 -0.03 -0.20% |
Source Energy has a performance score of 2 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company has a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.52, which implies generally lower market sensitivity than the broad market. Returns on Source Energy tend to trail the broader market in strong rallies but hold up better when sentiment turns negative. Source Energy Services at this moment has a risk of 2.88%.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Soft
Weak | Strong |
Across the last 90 days, the risk-adjusted return profile of Source Energy Services is weaker than 2% of the global equities and portfolios reviewed by Macroaxis. This score becomes more useful when investors compare it with downside risk, Sharpe Ratio, and current trend stability. In spite of very healthy basic indicators, Source Energy is not utilizing all of its potential. The latest price disarray may contribute to short-term losses for investors. Learn More
Last Split Factor 1:12 | Dividend Date 2021-01-05 | Last Split Date 2021-01-05 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 32.7 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -59.4 M |
Source |
Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you had invested C$ 1,499 in Source Energy Services on December 25, 2025 and sold it today you would have earned a total of C$ 35.00 from holding Source Energy Services or generated 2.33% return on investment over 90 days. Source Energy Services is generating a 0.0787% daily return and shows 2.8772% volatility on return distribution over a 90-day horizon. Simply put, 25% of stocks are less volatile than Source, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
One of the most enduring patterns in stock markets is the tendency for prices to revert toward averages. This mean-reverting tendency has been a useful forecasting tool, though some stocks exhibit persistent mispricings. The speed of convergence varies because some stocks carry risk factors not immediately reflected in price. Understanding mean reversion in Source Stock helps frame realistic expectations for price normalization over time.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds moving above the current price in 90 days |
| 15.34 | 90 days | 15.34 | about 88.32 |
Applying a normal distribution to this stock, the odds of Source Energy moving above the current price in 90 days from now are about 88.32 . Based on past return behavior, the distribution of outcomes has been weighted above current levels over this period. (The probability curve shows the outcome range with the heaviest concentration for Source Stock over 90 days). A tighter center suggests recent price behavior has been clustering into a narrower range for Source Stock.
Source Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Source Energy
For Source Energy Services, multiple forecasting techniques provide different perspectives on future stock price direction. No method can consistently predict the stock market with certainty, but disciplined forecasting sharpens analysis. Comparing the outputs of diverse models helps set realistic expectations for Source Energy Services price behavior. This multi-model approach helps investors prepare for a range of potential outcomes in Source Energy Services.Mean reversion analysis in Source Energy's involves identifying price extremes that diverge materially from the historical norm. High prices may deter value investors, while unusually low prices often attract buyers anticipating a recovery. Mean reversion in Source Energy is distinct from trend following, which rides momentum rather than betting on reversals. Momentum identifies the trend while mean reversion identifies when it has extended beyond sustainable levels.
Primary Risk Indicators
The stock market's volatility over the past 10-20 years has tested even experienced investors in Source Energy. Large corrections and rapid recoveries have created challenges for investors in Source Energy Services. A disciplined approach to monitoring Source Energy's risk indicators supports more effective hedging decisions. Fundamental risk indicators provide the analytical foundation for evaluating Source Energy downside exposure.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.52 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.89 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Investor Alerts and Insights
Monitoring Source Energy alerts is a practical approach to staying informed about material stock changes. Reviewing ongoing notifications for Source Energy Services helps identify opportunities and risks before they are fully priced in. Multiple alert categories for Source Energy allow investors to focus on the signals most relevant to their strategy. This proactive approach supports better-timed portfolio adjustments.| Latest headline from news.google.com: Reconnaissance Energy Africa Stock Price Down 4.3 percent - Whats Next - Market Beat |
Price Density Drivers
The price of Source Stock is driven by buyer and seller positioning dynamics along with broader market trends. Because market risk indicators may produce small false signals, reviewing multiple metrics is recommended. Understanding Source Energy's price drivers helps determine whether movements reflect underlying changes or positioning shifts. Review the table below for a summary of Source Energy's key price density metrics.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 13.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 19.9 M |
Source Energy Fundamentals Growth
Source Energy's financial fundamentals are the foundation of Source Stock market pricing and valuation. Metrics like earnings growth, revenue consistency, and margin trends collectively determine market sentiment toward Source Stock. Source Stock market pricing reflects the collective assessment of Source Energy's financial fundamentals. These fundamental drivers have a direct and measurable impact on Source Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.17 | |||
| Return On Asset | 0.0474 | |||
| Profit Margin | 0.05 % | |||
| Operating Margin | 0.03 % | |||
| Current Valuation | 468.04 M | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 13.08 M | |||
| Price To Earning | 6.14 X | |||
| Price To Book | 1.01 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 0.29 X | |||
| Revenue | 700.3 M | |||
| Gross Profit | 116.58 M | |||
| EBITDA | 114.57 M | |||
| Net Income | 33.08 M | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 4.57 M | |||
| Cash Per Share | 0.08 X | |||
| Total Debt | 352.69 M | |||
| Current Ratio | 1.58 X | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 15.97 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 90.61 M | |||
| Earnings Per Share | 2.42 X | |||
| Market Capitalization | 201.04 M | |||
| Total Asset | 617.13 M | |||
| Retained Earnings | -211.86 M | |||
| Working Capital | 48.34 M | |||
| Current Asset | 54.83 M | |||
| Current Liabilities | 46.33 M | |||
Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology
Drawdown analysis for Source Energy measures how deep losses have been and how long recovery has taken historically. Past price movements indicate comparatively limited downside dispersion. Source Energy shows ROE of 16.59%, ROA of 4.74%.
Inputs for Source Energy Services come from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and are mapped into a consistent reporting framework. Some fields can appear with publication lag. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.