Source Energy Services Stock Performance

SHLE Stock  CAD 15.34  -0.03  -0.20%   
Source Energy has a performance score of 2 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company has a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.52, which implies generally lower market sensitivity than the broad market. Returns on Source Energy tend to trail the broader market in strong rallies but hold up better when sentiment turns negative. Source Energy Services at this moment has a risk of 2.88%.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Soft
 
Weak
 
Strong
Across the last 90 days, the risk-adjusted return profile of Source Energy Services is weaker than 2% of the global equities and portfolios reviewed by Macroaxis. This score becomes more useful when investors compare it with downside risk, Sharpe Ratio, and current trend stability. In spite of very healthy basic indicators, Source Energy is not utilizing all of its potential. The latest price disarray may contribute to short-term losses for investors. Learn More
 Last Split Factor
1:12
 Dividend Date
2021-01-05
 Last Split Date
2021-01-05
Begin Period Cash Flow32.7 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-59.4 M
  

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested C$ 1,499 in Source Energy Services on December 25, 2025 and sold it today you would have earned a total of C$ 35.00 from holding Source Energy Services or generated 2.33% return on investment over 90 days. Source Energy Services is generating a 0.0787% daily return and shows 2.8772% volatility on return distribution over a 90-day horizon. Simply put, 25% of stocks are less volatile than Source, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This benchmark view frames the instrument through return capture and volatility trade-offs. It is intended to show how efficiently risk has translated into return over the selected horizon. Assuming the 90-day trading horizon Source Energy is expected to generate 3.4 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 3.4 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.03 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.09 per unit of risk.

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

One of the most enduring patterns in stock markets is the tendency for prices to revert toward averages. This mean-reverting tendency has been a useful forecasting tool, though some stocks exhibit persistent mispricings. The speed of convergence varies because some stocks carry risk factors not immediately reflected in price. Understanding mean reversion in Source Stock helps frame realistic expectations for price normalization over time.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
15.34 90 days 15.34
about 88.32
Applying a normal distribution to this stock, the odds of Source Energy moving above the current price in 90 days from now are about 88.32 . Based on past return behavior, the distribution of outcomes has been weighted above current levels over this period. (The probability curve shows the outcome range with the heaviest concentration for Source Stock over 90 days). A tighter center suggests recent price behavior has been clustering into a narrower range for Source Stock.
Assuming the 90-day trading horizon Source Energy has a beta of 0.52. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Source Energy's average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during a bear market, the loss from holding Source Energy Services is expected to be smaller as well. Additionally, Source Energy Services has an alpha of 0.1437, implying that it can generate a 0.1437 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherent market risk (beta).
   Source Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Source Energy

For Source Energy Services, multiple forecasting techniques provide different perspectives on future stock price direction. No method can consistently predict the stock market with certainty, but disciplined forecasting sharpens analysis. Comparing the outputs of diverse models helps set realistic expectations for Source Energy Services price behavior. This multi-model approach helps investors prepare for a range of potential outcomes in Source Energy Services.
Mean reversion analysis in Source Energy's involves identifying price extremes that diverge materially from the historical norm. High prices may deter value investors, while unusually low prices often attract buyers anticipating a recovery. Mean reversion in Source Energy is distinct from trend following, which rides momentum rather than betting on reversals. Momentum identifies the trend while mean reversion identifies when it has extended beyond sustainable levels.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.4715.3718.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.0115.9118.81
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.8015.7018.60
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.560.560.56
Details
Competitive positioning is a critical dimension of Source Energy analysis. Benchmarking Source Energy's performance and risk profile against competitors validates any investment thesis. Evaluating Source Energy in context means comparing Source Energy's against the competitive peer group. Comparing Source Energy against peers transforms raw financial data into actionable insight.

Primary Risk Indicators

The stock market's volatility over the past 10-20 years has tested even experienced investors in Source Energy. Large corrections and rapid recoveries have created challenges for investors in Source Energy Services. A disciplined approach to monitoring Source Energy's risk indicators supports more effective hedging decisions. Fundamental risk indicators provide the analytical foundation for evaluating Source Energy downside exposure.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.52
σ
Overall volatility
0.89
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Investor Alerts and Insights

Monitoring Source Energy alerts is a practical approach to staying informed about material stock changes. Reviewing ongoing notifications for Source Energy Services helps identify opportunities and risks before they are fully priced in. Multiple alert categories for Source Energy allow investors to focus on the signals most relevant to their strategy. This proactive approach supports better-timed portfolio adjustments.

Price Density Drivers

The price of Source Stock is driven by buyer and seller positioning dynamics along with broader market trends. Because market risk indicators may produce small false signals, reviewing multiple metrics is recommended. Understanding Source Energy's price drivers helps determine whether movements reflect underlying changes or positioning shifts. Review the table below for a summary of Source Energy's key price density metrics.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding13.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments19.9 M

Source Energy Fundamentals Growth

Source Energy's financial fundamentals are the foundation of Source Stock market pricing and valuation. Metrics like earnings growth, revenue consistency, and margin trends collectively determine market sentiment toward Source Stock. Source Stock market pricing reflects the collective assessment of Source Energy's financial fundamentals. These fundamental drivers have a direct and measurable impact on Source Stock performance.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

Drawdown analysis for Source Energy measures how deep losses have been and how long recovery has taken historically. Past price movements indicate comparatively limited downside dispersion. Source Energy shows ROE of 16.59%, ROA of 4.74%.

Inputs for Source Energy Services come from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and are mapped into a consistent reporting framework. Some fields can appear with publication lag. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Michael Smolkin - Member of Macroaxis Board of Directors
Last reviewed on March 14th, 2026