Moderately Aggressive Balanced Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

SAMAX Fund  USD 11.70  -0.16  -1.35%   
The fund has a beta of -0.13, which means relatively modest fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on MODERATELY AGGRESSIVE tend to move in the opposite direction, though by a smaller magnitude. During a bear market, however, MODERATELY AGGRESSIVE is likely to outperform the market.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weak
 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days, Moderately Aggressive Balanced generated negative risk-adjusted returns and added little value for fund investors. The result matters because weak risk-adjusted return can persist even when isolated price moves briefly look constructive. Despite somewhat strong basic indicators, MODERATELY AGGRESSIVE is not utilizing all of its potential. The current price disturbance may contribute to short-term losses for investors. Learn More
  

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 1,198 in Moderately Aggressive Balanced on December 13, 2025 and sold it today you would have lost $ 12.00 from holding Moderately Aggressive Balanced or given up 1.0% of portfolio value over 90 days. Moderately Aggressive Balanced is currently producing negative expected returns and carries 0.5662% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 5% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than MODERATELY, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This relative risk-return summary reviews how the instrument behaves against its benchmark. It highlights whether the current reward profile compensates for the level of uncertainty assumed. Assuming a 90-day horizon MODERATELY AGGRESSIVE is expected to generate 0.71 times more return on investment than the market. However, the fund is 1.4 times less risky than the market. It trades about -0.03 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.08 per unit of risk.

Historical Prices of Moderately Aggressive

Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Moderately Aggressive Balanced extending back to December 29, 2017. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of MODERATELY AGGRESSIVE stands at 11.70, as last reported on the 13th of March 2026, with the highest price reaching 11.70 and the lowest price hitting 11.70 during the day.
Macro event markers
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of MODERATELY Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of organized markets for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded funds are consistently mispriced before demand and supply correct the spread. One possible explanation is that these funds carry additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
11.70 90 days 11.70
about 90.26
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MODERATELY AGGRESSIVE moving above the current price in 90 days from now are about 90.26 (This Moderately Aggressive Balanced probability density function shows the probability of MODERATELY Mutual Fund falling within a particular range of prices over 90 days).
Assuming a 90-day horizon Moderately Aggressive Balanced has a beta of -0.13. This usually implies that as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on MODERATELY AGGRESSIVE tend to move in the opposite direction, though by a smaller magnitude. During a bear market, however, Moderately Aggressive Balanced is likely to outperform the market. Additionally, Moderately Aggressive Balanced has an alpha of 0.0904, implying that it can generate a 0.0904 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherent market risk (beta).
   MODERATELY AGGRESSIVE Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for MODERATELY AGGRESSIVE

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the fund market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual instruments such as Moderately Aggressive. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of MODERATELY AGGRESSIVE's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.2911.8612.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.6712.8713.44
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.1211.6912.25
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.8512.1112.36
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as MODERATELY AGGRESSIVE. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against MODERATELY AGGRESSIVE's peers to derive any actionable benefits.

Primary Risk Indicators

The last 10-20 years have been a volatile period for the mutual fund market. MODERATELY AGGRESSIVE is no exception. The market experienced several large corrections towards MODERATELY AGGRESSIVE's value, including sharp drops and substantial rallies. An investor can limit portfolio swings by implementing a hedging strategy designed to reduce downside losses. If you hold Moderately Aggressive Balanced, one way to protect your portfolio is to watch for changing volatility and market elasticity of MODERATELY AGGRESSIVE within the framework of fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.13
σ
Overall volatility
0.27
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Investor Alerts and Insights

Automated alerts tied to MODERATELY AGGRESSIVE help investors stay ahead of material changes in fund conditions. Monitoring ongoing notifications for Moderately Aggressive is a practical way to spot shifts in technical or fundamental signals that may affect investment timing.
MODERATELY AGGRESSIVE generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund maintains about 15.84% of its assets in cash

MODERATELY AGGRESSIVE Fundamentals Growth

MODERATELY Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of MODERATELY AGGRESSIVE, and MODERATELY AGGRESSIVE fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on MODERATELY Mutual Fund performance.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

MODERATELY AGGRESSIVE performance is typically evaluated through NAV-based returns relative to category peers and stated objectives. Risk-adjusted measures provide context for return efficiency across regimes.

Unless otherwise specified, data for Moderately Aggressive Balanced is compiled from fund disclosures and market reference feeds and standardized for comparability. Updates may occur throughout the day. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Ellen Johnson - Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board