Rayonier Advanced Materials Stock Performance

RYAM Stock  USD 11.35  -0.40  -3.40%   
Rayonier Advanced holds a performance score of 15 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The company has a beta of 3.28, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Rayonier Advanced will likely underperform. Rayonier Advanced the relationship between the rate of daily change and relative strength index, to analyze future returns on Rayonier Advanced.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Balanced
 
Weak
 
Strong
Rayonier Advanced Materials currently ranks below 15% of comparable global equities and portfolios when recent risk-adjusted returns are measured across a 90-day horizon. This score becomes more useful when investors compare it with downside risk, Sharpe Ratio, and current trend stability. In spite of very unfluctuating basic indicators, Rayonier Advanced displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. Learn More

Actual Historical Performance (%)

 One Day Return
-3.40
 Five Day Return
-1.48
 Year To Date Return
93.69
 Ten Year Return
15.35
 All Time Return
-68.90
 Dividend Date
2019-06-28
 Ex Dividend Date
2019-06-13
Begin Period Cash Flow125 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-114 M

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 571.00 in Rayonier Advanced Materials on December 18, 2025 and sold it today you would have earned a total of $ 564.00 from holding Rayonier Advanced Materials or generated 98.77% return on investment over 90 days. Rayonier Advanced Materials is currently generating a 1.3439% daily expected return and carries 7.0844% risk (volatility on return distribution) over a 90-day horizon. In different words, 63% of stocks are less volatile than Rayonier, and 73% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This relative risk-return summary reviews how the instrument behaves against its benchmark. It highlights whether the current reward profile compensates for the level of uncertainty assumed. Given the investment horizon of 90 days Rayonier Advanced is expected to generate 8.63 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 8.63 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.19 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.07 per unit of risk.

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Rayonier Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of organized markets for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded stocks are consistently mispriced before demand and supply correct the spread. One possible explanation is that these stocks carry additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
11.35 90 days 11.35
roughly 2.94
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Rayonier Advanced moving above the current price in 90 days from now are roughly 2.94 (This Rayonier Advanced Materials probability density function shows the probability of Rayonier Stock falling within a particular range of prices over 90 days).
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 3.28 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Rayonier Advanced will likely underperform. Moreover, Rayonier Advanced Materials has an alpha of 1.4137, implying that it can generate a 1.4137 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherent market risk (beta).
   Rayonier Advanced Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Rayonier Advanced

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the stock market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual instruments such as Rayonier Advanced. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Rayonier Advanced's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.2211.3018.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.1812.2619.34
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4.0911.1718.26
Details
Analyst
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
13.2014.5016.10
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Rayonier Advanced. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Rayonier Advanced's peers to derive any actionable benefits.

Primary Risk Indicators

The last 10-20 years have been a volatile period for the stock market. Rayonier Advanced is no exception. The market experienced several large corrections towards Rayonier Advanced's value, including sharp drops and substantial rallies. An investor can limit portfolio swings by implementing a hedging strategy designed to reduce downside losses. If you hold Rayonier Advanced Materials, one way to protect your portfolio is to watch for changing volatility and market elasticity of Rayonier Advanced within the framework of fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.41
β
Beta against Dow Jones3.28
σ
Overall volatility
1.72
Ir
Information ratio 0.18

Investor Alerts and Insights

Automated alerts tied to Rayonier Advanced help investors stay ahead of material changes in stock conditions. Monitoring ongoing notifications for Rayonier Advanced is a practical way to spot shifts in technical or fundamental signals that may affect investment timing.
Rayonier Advanced is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Rayonier Advanced appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported previous year's revenue of 1.47 B. Net Loss for the year was -420 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 118.78 M.
About 73.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Insider Trading

Price Density Drivers

Market volatility typically increases when nervous long traders begin to feel pressure from short-sellers driving the market lower. The future price of Rayonier Stock often depends not only on the outlook of current and potential investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between traders with different styles. Rayonier Advanced's indicators related to short sentiment are summarized below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding66.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments75 M

Rayonier Advanced Fundamentals Growth

Rayonier Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Rayonier Advanced, and Rayonier Advanced fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Rayonier Stock performance.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

Rayonier Advanced performance is measured on a risk-adjusted basis against benchmarks. Risk-adjusted measures provide context for return efficiency across regimes. Rayonier Advanced shows ROE of -80.43%, ROA of 0.39%.

Unless otherwise specified, data for Rayonier Advanced Materials is compiled from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and standardized for comparability. Updates may occur throughout the day. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Ellen Johnson - Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board
Last reviewed on March 17th, 2026