Rupert Resources Stock Performance

RUP Stock   7.11  -0.21  -2.87%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Rupert Resources holds a performance score of 7. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.44, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Rupert Resources will likely underperform. Please confirm Rupert Resources' semi variance, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and accumulation distribution, to make a quick decision on whether Rupert Resources' historical price patterns will revert.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Moderate
 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared with the broader market, risk-adjusted returns on Rupert Resources rank lower than 7% of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. This score becomes more useful when investors compare it with downside risk, Sharpe Ratio, and current trend stability. In spite of very unfluctuating basic indicators, Rupert Resources displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. Learn More
Begin Period Cash Flow70.4 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-25.4 M
  

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested C$ 611.00 in Rupert Resources on December 14, 2025 and sold it today you would have earned a total of C$ 100.00 from holding Rupert Resources or generated 16.37% return on investment over 90 days. Rupert Resources is generating a 0.3061% daily return assuming 3.4102% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 30% of all stocks have less volatile historical return distribution than Rupert Resources, and 94% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This benchmark view frames the instrument through return capture and volatility trade-offs. It works best as a comparative read on return quality, drawdown exposure, and volatility burden. Assuming the 90-day trading horizon Rupert Resources is expected to generate 4.31 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 4.31 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.09 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.08 per unit of risk.

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

Historical analysis shows that Rupert Stock price tends to gravitate toward a long-run average, consistent with the well-known mean reversion effect. While this is useful for forecasting, some stocks are persistently mispriced, often reflecting additional risk factors that justify the observed spread.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
7.11 90 days 7.11
about 41.62
Based on our quantitative model, the chance of Rupert Resources moving above the current price in 90 days from now is about 41.62 (This distribution for Rupert Resources illustrates how likely Rupert Stock is to reach various price levels over 90 days).
Assuming the 90-day trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.44 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Rupert Resources will likely underperform. Additionally, Rupert Resources has an alpha of 0.3736, implying that it can generate a 0.3736 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherent market risk (beta).
   Rupert Resources Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Rupert Resources

Investors analyzing Rupert Resources can draw on many different stock market forecasting techniques. While no approach eliminates uncertainty, comparing the outputs of diverse models helps investors calibrate expectations and make more informed decisions in the face of market unpredictability.
The mean reversion framework for Rupert Resources is built on the premise that markets are not perfectly efficient and that prices periodically overshoot their intrinsic value in both directions.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.707.1110.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.535.949.35
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.366.7810.19
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Investors analyzing Rupert Resources should position it within its competitive landscape. Superior peer-relative performance is one of the strongest justifications for a valuation premium.

Primary Risk Indicators

Investors in the stock market have faced considerable volatility over the past two decades. Rupert Resources has reflected this environment with periods of sharp price declines and strong recoveries. Tracking Rupert Resources' fundamental risk indicators and adjusting hedges accordingly can help protect portfolios that include Rupert Resources.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.37
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.44
σ
Overall volatility
0.52
Ir
Information ratio 0.10

Investor Alerts and Insights

Alerts for Rupert Resources are designed to surface the most relevant stock developments for investors. Rupert Resources notifications flag significant changes in market conditions, fundamentals, and technical signals that may require action.
Rupert Resources had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Net Loss for the year was -12.6 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Rupert Resources has accumulated about 32.78 M in cash with -4.24 M of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 15.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: RUP.TO Rupert Resources C7.09 intraday 13 Mar earnings 17 Mar, guidance - Meyka

Price Density Drivers

Price movements in Rupert Resources are influenced by the tension between bullish and bearish market participants. When short-sellers increase pressure, long holders often reassess their positions, driving volatility higher. Key market indicators are shown below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding209.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments44.9 M

Rupert Resources Fundamentals Growth

The financial health of Rupert Resources is the primary driver of Rupert Stock market performance. Investors evaluate revenue trends, earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels to form their outlook on Rupert Stock.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

Rupert Resources performance is measured on a risk-adjusted basis against benchmarks. Consistency across periods improves confidence in structural behavior. Rupert Resources shows ROE of -4.03%, ROA of -2.64%.

Reported values for Rupert Resources are derived from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and then standardized by Macroaxis analytics. Refresh times depend on source availability. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Raphi Shpitalnik - Junior Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board