T Rowe Price Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

RRTIX Fund  USD 14.03  0.08  0.57%   
The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.32, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. T ROWE moves in the same direction as the market but with less intensity, offering a degree of cushion during selloffs.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Moderate
 
Weak
 
Strong
T Rowe Price currently ranks below 8% of comparable funds and fund portfolios when recent risk-adjusted returns are measured across a 90-day horizon. This score becomes more useful when investors compare it with downside risk, Sharpe Ratio, and current trend stability. Despite somewhat strong forward indicators, T ROWE is not utilizing all of its potential. The current price disturbance may contribute to short-term losses for investors. Learn More
  

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 1,374 in T Rowe Price on December 17, 2025 and sold it today you would have earned a total of $ 29.00 from holding T Rowe Price or generated 2.11% return on investment over 90 days. T Rowe Price is currently producing a 0.0354% return and carries 0.3462% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 3% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than RRTIX, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This comparison focuses on expected return, realized volatility, and risk efficiency versus the market. It highlights whether the current reward profile compensates for the level of uncertainty assumed. Assuming a 90-day horizon T ROWE is expected to generate 0.43 times more return on investment than the market. However, the fund is 2.31 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.1 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.04 per unit of risk.

Historical Prices of T Rowe Price

Below is the normalized historical share price chart for T Rowe Price extending back to November 26, 2003. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of T ROWE stands at 14.03, as last reported on the 17th of March 2026, with the highest price reaching 14.03 and the lowest price hitting 14.03 during the day.
Macro event markers
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

For RRTIX Mutual Fund, the tendency of price to converge toward a long-term average provides a useful baseline for forecasting. Nonetheless, studies have found that some funds are persistently mispriced, with the spread correcting only when market dynamics shift significantly.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
14.03 90 days 14.03
about 69.15
Based on standard probability analysis, the odds of T ROWE moving above the current price in 90 days from now are about 69.15 (The chart above shows the probability distribution of RRTIX Mutual Fund prices over the next 90 days).
Assuming a 90-day horizon T ROWE has a beta of 0.32 indicating as returns on the market go up, T ROWE's average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during a bear market, the loss from holding T Rowe Price is expected to be smaller as well. Additionally, T Rowe Price has an alpha of 0.0142, implying that it can generate a 0.0142 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherent market risk (beta).
   T ROWE Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for T ROWE

Accurately predicting the fund market is one of the most challenging tasks in investing. For T Rowe Price, a range of forecasting tools can be applied, though none offer certainty. Despite this, systematic forecasting is a critical step in the investment process - comparing methods and results helps investors develop a more nuanced view of potential outcomes.
The mean reversion principle applied to T ROWE's suggests that neither prolonged outperformance nor underperformance is permanent. Investors exploit this by positioning against extremes in price relative to fundamental value.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.6814.0314.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.6914.0414.39
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.5113.8514.20
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.0214.2414.47
Details
Peer comparison enriches T ROWE analysis by revealing how the company ranks against competitors on key metrics. This relative perspective often changes investment conclusions drawn from standalone fundamental analysis.

Primary Risk Indicators

The past 10-20 years have brought considerable volatility to the mutual fund market, and T ROWE has been no exception. Sharp price drops and strong rallies have made hedging an important tool for managing portfolio risk. Investors in T Rowe Price should monitor T ROWE's fundamental risk indicators to stay ahead of market swings.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.32
σ
Overall volatility
0.18
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Investor Alerts and Insights

Alerts and suggestions for T ROWE give investors a structured way to monitor the fund for material events. T Rowe Price notifications flag important changes in technical indicators, fundamentals, and market conditions that may warrant attention.
The fund maintains about 8.01% of its assets in cash

T ROWE Fundamentals Growth

RRTIX Mutual Fund performance is fundamentally tied to T ROWE's financial health and growth outlook. Revenue and earnings trends, operating margins, and capital structure decisions all play a significant role in shaping investor expectations for RRTIX Mutual Fund.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

T ROWE performance is typically evaluated through NAV-based returns relative to category peers and stated objectives. Certain defensive traits may reduce sensitivity to broader macroeconomic fluctuations.

Inputs for T Rowe Price come from fund disclosures and market reference feeds and are mapped into a consistent schema for analysis. Some fields can appear with publication lag. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Michael Smolkin - Member of Macroaxis Board of Directors
Last reviewed on March 11th, 2026