T Rowe Price Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

RPGEX Fund  USD 42.90  -0.29  -0.67%   
The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.7, which alludes to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Returns on T Rowe tend to trail the broader market in strong rallies but hold up better when sentiment turns negative.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Moderate
 
Weak
 
Strong
During the last 90 trading days, T Rowe Price produced negative risk-adjusted performance, which signals weak return efficiency for fund investors. This reading is usually reviewed beside volatility, downside risk, and benchmark-relative behavior before conviction is increased. Despite somewhat strong technical and fundamental indicators, T Rowe is not utilizing all of its potential. The current price disturbance may contribute to short-term losses for investors. Learn More
Expense Ratio Date1st of January 2026
Expense Ratio0.9100
  

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 4,364 in T Rowe Price on December 16, 2025 and sold it today you would have lost $ 74.00 from holding T Rowe Price or given up 1.7% of portfolio value over 90 days. T Rowe Price is currently producing negative expected returns and carries 0.9221% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 8% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than RPGEX, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This comparison focuses on expected return, realized volatility, and risk efficiency versus the market. It is most useful when expected return is read together with volatility rather than in isolation. Assuming a 90-day horizon T Rowe is expected to generate 1.17 times more return on investment than the market. However, the fund is 1.17 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.03 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.06 per unit of risk.

Historical Prices of T Rowe Price

Below is the normalized historical share price chart for T Rowe Price extending back to October 28, 2008. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of T Rowe stands at 42.90, as last reported on the 16th of March 2026, with the highest price reaching 42.90 and the lowest price hitting 42.90 during the day.
Macro event markers
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

Investors have long observed that RPGEX Mutual Fund price tends to fluctuate around a central value over time. This mean reversion pattern is a cornerstone of many forecasting models. However, periods of persistent mispricing in some funds suggest that additional risk factors may account for the delayed correction.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
42.90 90 days 42.90
about 78.81
A normal distribution analysis suggests that the odds of T Rowe moving above the current price in 90 days from now are about 78.81 (The distribution above shows where RPGEX Mutual Fund price is most likely to fall within the next 90 days based on historical volatility).
Assuming a 90-day horizon T Rowe has a beta of 0.7 indicating as returns on the market go up, T Rowe's average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during a bear market, the loss from holding T Rowe Price is expected to be smaller as well. Additionally, T Rowe Price has an alpha of 0.169, implying that it can generate a 0.169 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherent market risk (beta).
   T Rowe Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for T Rowe

Forecasting T Rowe Price involves applying various models to estimate future price behavior. While no method can consistently predict the fund market with certainty, the discipline of building and testing forecasts sharpens investment thinking. Combining several approaches and cross-checking results offers a more balanced view of potential outcomes.
Mean reversion in T Rowe's price occurs when temporary dislocations - caused by sentiment extremes, news events, or liquidity shocks - correct back toward the stock's historical fair value.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
41.0842.9044.72
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
38.6147.2249.04
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
40.1842.0043.82
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
43.0344.5946.16
Details
A rigorous investment case for T Rowe requires more than studying its own financials. Benchmarking T Rowe's performance, valuation, and risk profile against competitors is essential to validate any investment thesis.

Primary Risk Indicators

The mutual fund market has gone through extended periods of turbulence over the past two decades. T Rowe has not been immune to these swings. Sudden corrections and sharp rallies have tested many portfolios. Investors can protect against downside risk in T Rowe Price by monitoring T Rowe's fundamental risk indicators and maintaining appropriate hedges.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.17
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.70
σ
Overall volatility
1.75
Ir
Information ratio 0.10

Investor Alerts and Insights

Setting up alerts on T Rowe ensures that material changes in technical or fundamental conditions are not missed. These notifications for T Rowe Price help investors make timely decisions in response to significant fund events.
T Rowe Price generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund maintains 92.9% of its assets in stocks

T Rowe Fundamentals Growth

T Rowe's fundamentals serve as the primary lens through which investors evaluate RPGEX Mutual Fund. Metrics such as earnings growth, revenue consistency, margin trends, and balance sheet strength collectively determine market sentiment toward RPGEX Mutual Fund.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

T Rowe performance is typically evaluated through NAV-based returns relative to category peers and stated objectives. Drawdown profile frames downside sensitivity and recovery characteristics.

This section for T Rowe Price is built from fund disclosures and market reference feeds, with harmonization applied to align reporting definitions. Values may update on different source schedules. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Michael Smolkin - Member of Macroaxis Board of Directors
Last reviewed on February 20th, 2026