Therealreal Stock Performance
| REAL Stock | USD 15.22 1.02 6.28% |
On a scale of 0 to 100, TheRealReal holds a performance score of 6. The entity has a beta of 2.88, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, TheRealReal will likely underperform. Please check TheRealReal's semi variance, day typical price, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and accumulation distribution , to make a quick decision on whether TheRealReal's existing price patterns will revert.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Mild
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in TheRealReal are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite weak basic indicators, TheRealReal disclosed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (6.28) | Five Day Return (7.25) | Year To Date Return (3.67) | Ten Year Return (47.34) | All Time Return (47.34) |
1 | Why The RealReal Stock Soared Today | 11/11/2025 |
2 | Disposition of 13542 shares by Steve Lo of TheRealReal at 7.64 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/13/2025 |
3 | Disposition of 4619 shares by Todd Suko of TheRealReal at 13.06 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/21/2025 |
4 | Disposition of 28520 shares by Madan Gopal Ajay of TheRealReal at 14.727 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/26/2025 |
5 | Disposition of 43926 shares by Steve Lo of TheRealReal at 14.45 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/09/2025 |
6 | Selling 215 - Made in Philly TV Series Spotlights Philadelphia on REAL Shows Network | 12/11/2025 |
7 | RealReal Hits New 12-Month High Still a Buy | 12/30/2025 |
8 | Betterware de Mexico SAPI de C Soars 11.4 percent Is Further Upside Left in the Stock | 01/05/2026 |
9 | The RealReal Transforms Operations with Motorola Solutions AI-Enabled Video Security Technology | 01/08/2026 |
10 | 2 Signs Youre Emotionally Available Only In Theory, By A Psychologist | 01/14/2026 |
11 | Accuser Of Alexander Brothers Real Estate Brokers Was Found Dead Last Year, Report Says | 01/15/2026 |
12 | ALGON GROUP CONTINUES EXPANSION OF REAL ESTATE RESTRUCTURING EXPERTISE WITH TWO KEY HIRES AS ADVISORY DEMAND SURGES | 01/21/2026 |
13 | Selling with the Gaileys TV Series Spotlights Jacksonville on REAL Shows Network | 01/22/2026 |
14 | Selling Big Island - Hawaii TV Series Spotlights Hawaiis Big Island on REAL Shows Network | 01/23/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 175.7 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -25.6 M |
TheRealReal | Build AI portfolio with TheRealReal Stock |
TheRealReal Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 1,261 in TheRealReal on October 28, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 261.00 from holding TheRealReal or generate 20.7% return on investment over 90 days. TheRealReal is currently generating 0.4426% in daily expected returns and assumes 5.6472% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 50% of stocks are less volatile than TheRealReal, and 92% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
TheRealReal Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of TheRealReal Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 15.22 | 90 days | 15.22 | about 30.05 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TheRealReal to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 30.05 (This TheRealReal probability density function shows the probability of TheRealReal Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.88 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, TheRealReal will likely underperform. Additionally TheRealReal has an alpha of 0.3173, implying that it can generate a 0.32 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). TheRealReal Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for TheRealReal
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TheRealReal. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.TheRealReal Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TheRealReal is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TheRealReal's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TheRealReal, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TheRealReal within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.32 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.88 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.74 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
TheRealReal Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TheRealReal for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TheRealReal can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| TheRealReal had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| TheRealReal has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 600.48 M. Net Loss for the year was (134.2 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 493.68 M. | |
| Over 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from prnewswire.com: Selling Big Island - Hawaii TV Series Spotlights Hawaiis Big Island on REAL Shows Network |
TheRealReal Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of TheRealReal Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential TheRealReal's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TheRealReal's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 107.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 172.2 M |
TheRealReal Fundamentals Growth
TheRealReal Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of TheRealReal, and TheRealReal fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on TheRealReal Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -9.33 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.0572 | ||||
| Profit Margin | (0.11) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | (0.04) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 2.14 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 116.68 M | ||||
| Price To Book | 4.84 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 2.68 X | ||||
| Revenue | 600.48 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 493.68 M | ||||
| EBITDA | (79.44 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (134.2 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 315.89 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 3.31 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 546.55 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 6.97 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 2.42 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | (3.30) X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 21.55 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (1.01) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 1.78 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 423.1 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (1.25 B) | ||||
| Working Capital | (16.01 M) | ||||
| Current Asset | 3 K | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 20 K | ||||
About TheRealReal Performance
By examining TheRealReal's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into TheRealReal's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that TheRealReal is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 64.71 | 83.51 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.29) | (0.30) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.29) | (0.31) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.29) | (0.30) | |
| Return On Equity | 0.30 | 0.31 |
Things to note about TheRealReal performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about TheRealReal for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for TheRealReal help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| TheRealReal had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| TheRealReal has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 600.48 M. Net Loss for the year was (134.2 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 493.68 M. | |
| Over 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from prnewswire.com: Selling Big Island - Hawaii TV Series Spotlights Hawaiis Big Island on REAL Shows Network |
- Analyzing TheRealReal's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether TheRealReal's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining TheRealReal's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating TheRealReal's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of TheRealReal's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of TheRealReal's stock. These opinions can provide insight into TheRealReal's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in TheRealReal. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as various price indices. For more information on how to buy TheRealReal Stock please use our How to buy in TheRealReal Stock guide.You can also try the USA ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA.
Is Specialty Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of TheRealReal. If investors know TheRealReal will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about TheRealReal listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (1.01) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.175 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of TheRealReal is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of TheRealReal that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of TheRealReal's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is TheRealReal's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because TheRealReal's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect TheRealReal's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between TheRealReal's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if TheRealReal is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, TheRealReal's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.