QUALCOMM Incorporated Stock Performance

QCOM Stock   17.14  0.04  0.23%   
The company owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 1.09, which attests to elevated sensitivity to broad market movements. Returns on QUALCOMM Incorporated closely shadow the overall market, offering near-index exposure without significant amplification or dampening. At this point, QUALCOMM Incorporated has a negative expected return of -0.43%.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weak
 
Weak
 
Strong
During the last 90 trading days, QUALCOMM Incorporated produced negative risk-adjusted performance, which signals weak return efficiency for investors with long positions. The business is commonly classified in the Technology sector and the Semiconductors industry. In spite of unfluctuating performance in the last few months, the stock's technical and fundamental indicators remain rather sound, which may send shares a bit higher in April 2026. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the firm's shareholders. Learn More
  

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested C$ 2,274 in QUALCOMM Incorporated on December 27, 2025 and sold it today you would have lost C$ 560.00 from holding QUALCOMM Incorporated or given up 24.63% of portfolio value over 90 days. QUALCOMM Incorporated is generating negative expected returns and shows 2.0317% volatility on return distribution over a 90-day horizon. Simply put, 18% of stocks are less volatile than QUALCOMM, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This comparison focuses on expected return, realized volatility, and risk efficiency versus the market. It is most useful when expected return is read together with volatility rather than in isolation. Assuming the 90-day trading horizon QUALCOMM Incorporated is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.38 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.21 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.1 per unit of volatility.

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

Mean reversion in QUALCOMM Stock pricing reflects the documented tendency for stocks to gravitate toward equilibrium. While this pattern holds broadly, certain stocks can remain mispriced for extended periods before correction.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
17.14 90 days 17.14
about 87.79
Using a normal distribution model, the likelihood of QUALCOMM Incorporated moving above the current price in 90 days from now is about 87.79 . Past return patterns over this horizon reflect a distribution that has favored above-current-price scenarios. (The curve shows where outcomes have been clustering for QUALCOMM Stock over the next 90 days). The curve width gives a practical read on how much uncertainty surrounds QUALCOMM Stock over this horizon.
Assuming the 90-day trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.09 indicating QUALCOMM Incorporated market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, QUALCOMM Incorporated is expected to follow. Additionally, QUALCOMM Incorporated has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   QUALCOMM Incorporated Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for QUALCOMM Incorporated

Predicting the direction of QUALCOMM Incorporated involves a range of quantitative and qualitative stock techniques. Each approach has strengths and limitations, making diversified forecasting strategies especially important for QUALCOMM Incorporated.
Mean reversion is the tendency of QUALCOMM Incorporated's price to return to its historical average after periods of extreme deviation. Some analysts monitor this tendency by comparing QUALCOMM Incorporated's price extremes to fundamental value.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.1117.1419.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.7318.7620.79
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.4317.4719.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16.3417.7319.12
Details
Competitive analysis for QUALCOMM Incorporated compares its financial performance and valuation against sector peers. This relative perspective often changes investment conclusions drawn from standalone analysis.

Primary Risk Indicators

Over the past two decades, the stock market has experienced significant volatility affecting QUALCOMM Incorporated. QUALCOMM Incorporated has seen dramatic price moves that have reshaped risk profiles for its holders.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.3521
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.09
σ
Overall volatility
2.13
Ir
Information ratio -0.182

Investor Alerts and Insights

Staying informed about QUALCOMM Incorporated through targeted alerts gives investors the edge they need to evaluate market conditions and assess potential outcomes. These notifications for QUALCOMM Incorporated help investors make timely decisions in response to significant stock events.
QUALCOMM Incorporated generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
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QUALCOMM Incorporated Fundamentals Growth

The market price of QUALCOMM Stock is shaped by investors' expectations for QUALCOMM Incorporated's financial performance. Revenue and earnings trends, operating margins, and capital structure decisions all play a role in QUALCOMM Stock pricing.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

Drawdown analysis for QUALCOMM Incorporated measures how deep losses have been and how long recovery has taken historically. Maximum drawdown depth defines the worst observed loss from peak, framing downside exposure. QUALCOMM Incorporated shows ROE of 23.34%, ROA of 14.71%.

Inputs for QUALCOMM Incorporated come from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and are mapped into a consistent reporting framework. Some fields can appear with publication lag. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Rifka Kats - Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board
Last reviewed on March 16th, 2026