Payden Absolute Return Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

PYAIX Fund  USD 9.43  0.01  0.11%   
The fund holds a Beta of 0.0208, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Payden Absolute's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Payden Absolute is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Strong

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Payden Absolute Return are ranked lower than 30 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong forward indicators, Payden Absolute is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Payden Absolute Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  930.00  in Payden Absolute Return on October 28, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  13.00  from holding Payden Absolute Return or generate 1.4% return on investment over 90 days. Payden Absolute Return is currently producing 0.0228% returns and takes up 0.059% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 0% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Payden, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Payden Absolute is expected to generate 2.18 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 12.5 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.39 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Payden Absolute Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
9.43
Please note that Payden Absolute's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be fairly valued. Payden Absolute Return holds a recent Real Value of $9.41 per share. The prevailing price of the fund is $9.43. We determine the value of Payden Absolute Return from analyzing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we support acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will merge together.
Since Payden Absolute is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Payden Mutual Fund. However, Payden Absolute's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  9.43 Real  9.41 Hype  9.43 Naive  9.43
The intrinsic value of Payden Absolute's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Payden Absolute's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
9.41
Real Value
9.47
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Payden Absolute Return helps investors to forecast how Payden mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Payden Absolute more accurately as focusing exclusively on Payden Absolute's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.369.409.43
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.379.439.49
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
9.379.439.48
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Payden Absolute Return extending back to November 06, 2014. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Payden Absolute stands at 9.43, as last reported on the 26th of January, with the highest price reaching 9.43 and the lowest price hitting 9.43 during the day.
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Payden Absolute Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Payden Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 9.43 90 days 9.43 
roughly 2.55
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Payden Absolute to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.55 (This Payden Absolute Return probability density function shows the probability of Payden Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Payden Absolute has a beta of 0.0208 indicating as returns on the market go up, Payden Absolute average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Payden Absolute Return will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Payden Absolute Return has an alpha of 0.0129, implying that it can generate a 0.0129 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Payden Absolute Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Payden Absolute

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Payden Absolute Return. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.379.439.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.359.419.47
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.379.439.48
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.369.409.43
Details

Payden Absolute Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Payden Absolute is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Payden Absolute's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Payden Absolute Return, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Payden Absolute within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.02
σ
Overall volatility
0.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.88

Payden Absolute Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Payden Absolute for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Payden Absolute Return can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 21.6% of its assets in cash

Payden Absolute Fundamentals Growth

Payden Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Payden Absolute, and Payden Absolute fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Payden Mutual Fund performance.
Total Asset827.16 M

About Payden Absolute Performance

Evaluating Payden Absolute's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Payden Absolute has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Payden Absolute has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Under normal market conditions, the fund will invest at least 80 percent of its investable assets in bonds or investments that provide exposure to bonds. The funds absolute return strategy seeks to have positive absolute returns over the long term, regardless of different market environments. To achieve this goal, the fund seeks to provide total return, whether through price appreciation, or income, or a combination of both.

Things to note about Payden Absolute Return performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Payden Absolute for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Payden Absolute Return help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 21.6% of its assets in cash
Evaluating Payden Absolute's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Payden Absolute's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Payden Absolute's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Payden Absolute's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Payden Absolute's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Payden Absolute's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Payden Absolute's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Payden Absolute's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Payden Absolute's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Payden Absolute's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Payden Absolute's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Payden Mutual Fund

Payden Absolute financial ratios help investors to determine whether Payden Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Payden with respect to the benefits of owning Payden Absolute security.
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