T Rowe Price Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

PRJPX Fund  USD 13.74  0.22  1.63%   
The fund maintains a beta of 1.04, which signifies elevated sensitivity to broad market movements. T ROWE returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, T ROWE is expected to follow.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Soft
 
Weak
 
Strong
T Rowe Price currently ranks below 1% of comparable funds and fund portfolios when recent risk-adjusted returns are measured across a 90-day horizon. This score becomes more useful when investors compare it with downside risk, Sharpe Ratio, and current trend stability. Despite somewhat strong basic indicators, T ROWE is not utilizing all of its potential. The current price disturbance may contribute to short-term losses for investors. Learn More
Expense Ratio Date1st of January 2026
Expense Ratio1.1400
  

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 1,361 in T Rowe Price on December 26, 2025 and sold it today you would have earned a total of $ 13.00 from holding T Rowe Price or generated 0.96% return on investment over 90 days. T Rowe Price is currently producing a 0.0247% return and carries 1.3593% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 12% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than PRJPX, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This benchmark view frames the instrument through return capture and volatility trade-offs. It works best as a comparative read on return quality, drawdown exposure, and volatility burden. Assuming a 90-day horizon T ROWE is expected to generate 1.61 times more return on investment than the market. However, the fund is 1.61 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.02 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.09 per unit of risk.

Historical Prices of T Rowe Price

Below is the normalized historical share price chart for T Rowe Price extending back to June 02, 1992. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of T ROWE stands at 13.74, as last reported on the 26th of March, with the highest price reaching 13.74 and the lowest price hitting 13.74 during the day.
Macro event markers
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The concept of mean reversion, where PRJPX Mutual Fund price gravitates toward equilibrium, is fundamental to market analysis. This pattern is a cornerstone of many forecasting models, though periods of persistent mispricing occur.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
13.74 90 days 13.74
about 80.92
Statistical modeling indicates that the probability of T ROWE moving above the current price in 90 days from now is about 80.92 . The historical return profile over this window has produced more above-current than below-current outcomes. (This fund distribution maps the range in which PRJPX Mutual Fund has been most likely to trade over the next 90 days).
Assuming a 90-day horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.04 indicating T Rowe Price market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, T ROWE is expected to follow. Additionally, T Rowe Price has an alpha of 0.0896, implying that it can generate a 0.0896 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherent market risk (beta).
   T ROWE Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for T ROWE

Accurately predicting the fund market is one of the most challenging tasks for investors analyzing T Rowe Price. No single approach dominates, but the practice of forecasting remains an essential element of the investment process.
Experienced investors tracking T ROWE's watch for mean reversion setups where price has deviated from its long-run average. Sentiment extremes, news events, or liquidity shocks are common catalysts for these temporary dislocations in T ROWE.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.3813.7415.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.5413.9015.26
Details
Peer comparison enriches T ROWE analysis by revealing how the company ranks against competitors. T ROWE's multiples must be compared to direct competitors to determine genuine value.

Primary Risk Indicators

Volatility has been a defining feature of the mutual fund market in recent decades, and T ROWE has reflected that pattern. Sudden corrections and sharp rallies have tested many portfolios that include T ROWE.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.04
σ
Overall volatility
0.64
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Investor Alerts and Insights

For investors following T ROWE, automated alerts provide early signals of meaningful shifts in fund dynamics. T Rowe Price notifications highlight material changes that could affect portfolio decisions and overall risk exposure.
The fund generated five year return of -2.0%
T Rowe Price maintains 97.7% of its assets in stocks

T ROWE Fundamentals Growth

The pricing of PRJPX Mutual Fund is heavily influenced by T ROWE's fundamental performance over time. Investors monitor revenue growth, profit margins, cash flow generation, and debt management as key indicators.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

Return quality for T ROWE measures how stable NAV growth has been across rolling measurement windows. Inconsistent returns may indicate sensitivity to regime shifts or concentrated factor exposure.

Reported values for T Rowe Price are derived from fund disclosures and market reference feeds and then standardized for analysis. Refresh timing depends on source availability. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Ellen Johnson - Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board
Last reviewed on March 13th, 2026