T Rowe Price Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

PRASX Fund  USD 21.92  -0.28  -1.26%   
The fund maintains a market beta of 1.03, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Returns on T ROWE closely shadow the overall market, offering near-index exposure without significant amplification or dampening.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Moderate
 
Weak
 
Strong
T Rowe Price currently ranks below 7% of comparable funds and fund portfolios when recent risk-adjusted returns are measured across a 90-day horizon. The main point is that return should be judged together with the volatility required to produce it. Despite somewhat weak basic indicators, T ROWE may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in April 2026. Learn More
Expense Ratio Date1st of January 2026
Expense Ratio1.0300
  

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 2,047 in T Rowe Price on December 19, 2025 and sold it today you would have earned a total of $ 145.00 from holding T Rowe Price or generated 7.08% return on investment over 90 days. T Rowe Price is currently producing a 0.123% return and carries 1.3382% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 12% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than PRASX, and 98% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This market-relative note looks at return potential and the amount of risk required to get it. It highlights whether the current reward profile compensates for the level of uncertainty assumed. Assuming a 90-day horizon T ROWE is expected to generate 1.62 times more return on investment than the market. However, the fund is 1.62 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.09 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.08 per unit of risk.

Historical Prices of T Rowe Price

Below is the normalized historical share price chart for T Rowe Price extending back to February 15, 1991. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of T ROWE stands at 21.92, as last reported on the 19th of March, with the highest price reaching 21.92 and the lowest price hitting 21.92 during the day.
Macro event markers
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

For PRASX Mutual Fund, the observed tendency of price to return to a central value is a key input to forecasting models. This mean reversion pattern, however, does not apply uniformly - some funds remain mispriced for extended periods, suggesting that embedded risk premiums affect the speed of correction.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
21.92 90 days 21.92
about 57.59
According to a normal distribution model, the odds of T ROWE moving above the current price in 90 days from now are about 57.59 (The density curve for T Rowe Price shows where PRASX Mutual Fund price is most likely to settle within 90 days).
Assuming a 90-day horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.03 indicating T Rowe Price market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, T ROWE is expected to follow. Additionally, T Rowe Price has an alpha of 0.1742, implying that it can generate a 0.1742 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherent market risk (beta).
   T ROWE Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for T ROWE

A wide range of forecasting techniques can be applied to T Rowe Price and the broader fund market. While market prediction remains inherently uncertain, combining multiple approaches and evaluating their results is one of the most effective ways to improve the quality of investment decisions.
Mean reversion in T ROWE is more reliable over longer time horizons. Short-term deviations can persist and even widen before correcting, making position sizing and risk management critical.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.5921.9223.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.7323.9625.29
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
20.4221.7523.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
21.2222.7324.23
Details
Effective investment decisions about T ROWE require competitive context. Benchmarking T ROWE's against peers on earnings quality, growth consistency, and balance sheet strength can materially change the investment conclusion.

Primary Risk Indicators

The mutual fund market's recent history has been defined by volatility, with multiple large corrections and rallies in the last 10-20 years. T ROWE has participated in these swings. Investors holding T Rowe Price can protect their portfolios by monitoring T ROWE's risk indicators and implementing appropriate hedging strategies.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.17
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.94
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

Investor Alerts and Insights

Investors in T ROWE benefit from automated alerts that flag material fund changes as they occur. T Rowe Price notifications cover technical signals, fundamental shifts, and notable headlines that may impact investment timing.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Northern Funds Mid Cap Index Fund Q 4 2025 Commentary - Seeking Alpha
The fund generated five year return of 0.0%
T Rowe Price maintains 98.26% of its assets in stocks

T ROWE Fundamentals Growth

The market prices PRASX Mutual Fund according to T ROWE's ability to generate revenue growth, maintain healthy margins, and manage debt effectively. These fundamental drivers have a direct and measurable impact on PRASX Mutual Fund performance.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

T ROWE performance is typically evaluated through NAV-based returns relative to category peers and stated objectives. Liquidity conditions can influence realized performance through spreads and execution cost.

The analytics block for T Rowe Price relies on fund disclosures and market reference feeds, with quality checks and normalization applied before rendering. Timing can vary by data vendor. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Rifka Kats - Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board
Last reviewed on March 3rd, 2026