Polight ASA (Norway) Performance

PLT Stock   5.50  -0.26  -4.51%   
The company owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.39, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Polight ASA's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during a bear market, the loss from holding Polight ASA is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Polight ASA has a negative expected return of -0.33%. Please make sure to confirm Polight ASA's kurtosis, and the relationship between the value at risk and rate of daily change, to decide if Polight ASA's performance from the past will be repeated in the future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weak
 
Weak
 
Strong
For the recent 90-day horizon, Polight ASA failed to convert risk into positive risk-adjusted performance. The result matters because weak risk-adjusted return can persist even when isolated price moves briefly look constructive. Despite unfluctuating performance in the last few months, the stock's basic indicators remain quite persistent, which may send shares a bit higher in April 2026. The latest mess may also be a sign of long-standing up-swing for the company's institutional investors. Learn More
Begin Period Cash Flow77.2 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-2.1 M
  

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested NOK 680.00 in Polight ASA on December 19, 2025 and sold it today you would have lost NOK 130.00 from holding Polight ASA or given up 19.12% of portfolio value over 90 days. Polight ASA is producing return of less than zero assuming 2.3566% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 21% of all stocks have less volatile historical return distribution than Polight ASA, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This market-relative note looks at return potential and the amount of risk required to get it. It is intended to show how efficiently risk has translated into return over the selected horizon. Assuming the 90-day trading horizon Polight ASA is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.87 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.14 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.09 per unit of volatility.

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

Price forecasting for Polight Stock often builds on the principle of mean reversion, where prices tend to converge toward historical averages. While this pattern is broadly applicable across stocks, persistent mispricings in some instruments highlight the role of additional risk factors in pricing dynamics.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
5.50 90 days 5.50
close to 99
Based on probability analysis of this stock, the likelihood of Polight ASA moving above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This stock probability distribution maps the expected range of Polight Stock prices over 90 days).
Assuming the 90-day trading horizon Polight ASA has a beta of 0.39 indicating as returns on the market go up, Polight ASA's average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during a bear market, the loss from holding Polight ASA is expected to be smaller as well. Additionally, Polight ASA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Polight ASA Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Polight ASA

No single forecasting method can reliably predict the stock market, but the practice of applying multiple models to instruments like Polight ASA remains a core element of investment analysis. Comparing results supports building a more complete picture and prepare for a range of potential outcomes.
The degree to which Polight ASA's exhibits mean reversion depends on how efficiently the market prices new information. In highly covered equities, the mean reversion window tends to be shorter.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.145.507.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.604.967.32
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.085.437.79
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.496.267.03
Details
Evaluating Polight ASA in context means comparing Polight ASA's to its competitive peer group. A company estimated as undervalued in absolute terms may be differently positioned when measured against sector-relative benchmarks.

Primary Risk Indicators

Over the past 10-20 years, the stock market has seen violent swings that have tested investor resolve. Polight ASA has been part of this volatility. Those holding Polight ASA should consider a hedging strategy that accounts for Polight ASA's changing volatility and market elasticity to limit downside losses.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.3023
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.39
σ
Overall volatility
0.35
Ir
Information ratio -0.1064

Investor Alerts and Insights

Stocks like Polight ASA can experience rapid changes in technical and fundamental conditions. Setting up alerts for Polight ASA ensures investors receive timely notifications about significant developments that may affect their positions.
Polight ASA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Polight ASA has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported revenue of 10.03 M. Net Loss for the year was -53.39 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.18 M.
Polight ASA has accumulated about 1 K in cash with -49.55 M of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 19.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Price Density Drivers

Price density analysis for Polight ASA focuses on the forces that drive short-term price movements. The indicators below highlight key market dynamics including the balance between long and short positioning, volume patterns, and volatility trends.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding107.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments156.4 M

Polight ASA Fundamentals Growth

Polight ASA's revenue trajectory, earnings quality, and financial leverage are the key fundamentals that drive Polight Stock market valuation. Investors who track these metrics gain a clearer view of the forces shaping Polight Stock price behavior.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

Polight ASA performance is measured on a risk-adjusted basis against benchmarks. Risk-return balance shapes allocation context across cycles. Polight ASA shows ROE of -31.52%, ROA of -18.22%.

Unless otherwise specified, data for Polight ASA is compiled from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and standardized for comparability. Updates may occur throughout the day. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Raphi Shpitalnik - Junior Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board
Last reviewed on March 8th, 2026