Open Text Corp Stock Performance

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 3,310 in Open Text Corp on December 18, 2025 and sold it today you would have lost $ 1,004 from holding Open Text Corp or given up 30.33% of portfolio value over 90 days. Open Text Corp does not currently generate positive expected returns and carries 2.6708% risk (volatility on return distribution) over a 90-day horizon. In different words, 23% of stocks are less volatile than Open, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.This comparison focuses on expected return, realized volatility, and risk efficiency versus the market. It is most useful when expected return is read together with volatility rather than in isolation. Given the investment horizon of 90 days Open Text is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.33 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.21 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.04 per unit of volatility.

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Open Text Corp has a beta of -0.42. This indicates that as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on Open Text tend to move in the opposite direction, though by a smaller magnitude. During a bear market, however, Open Text Corp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally, Open Text Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.

Predictive Modules for Open Text

Forecasting Open Text Corp involves applying various models to estimate future price behavior. While no method can consistently predict the stock market with certainty, the discipline of building and testing forecasts sharpens investment thinking. Combining several approaches and cross-checking results offers a more balanced view of potential outcomes.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 20.63 23.28 25.93 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 20.75 27.27 29.92 Details

Naive Forecast Low Next High 17.76 20.41 23.06 Details

Analyst Consensus Low Target High 30.11 33.09 36.73 Details

A rigorous investment case for Open Text requires more than studying its own financials. Benchmarking Open Text's performance, valuation, and risk profile against competitors is essential to validate any investment thesis.

Primary Risk Indicators

The stock market has gone through extended periods of turbulence over the past two decades. Open Text has not been immune to these swings. Sudden corrections and sharp rallies have tested many portfolios. Investors can protect against downside risk in Open Text Corp by monitoring Open Text's fundamental risk indicators and maintaining appropriate hedges.

Investor Alerts and Insights

Setting up alerts on Open Text ensures that material changes in technical or fundamental conditions are not missed. These notifications for Open Text Corp help investors make timely decisions in response to significant stock events.

Price Density Drivers

Open Text Fundamentals Growth