Northland Power Stock Performance
| NPI Stock | CAD 21.76 0.34 1.59% |
On a scale of 0 to 100, Northland Power holds a performance score of 20. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.48, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Northland Power moves in the same direction as the market but with less intensity, offering a degree of cushion during selloffs. Please confirm Northland Power's expected short fall, and the relationship between the value at risk and daily balance of power, to make a quick decision on whether Northland Power's historical price patterns will revert.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Constructive
Weak | Strong |
Across the last 90 days, the risk-adjusted return profile of Northland Power is weaker than 20% of the global equities and portfolios reviewed by Macroaxis. The business is commonly classified in the Utilities sector and the Utilities—Renewable industry. In spite of very unfluctuating forward indicators, Northland Power displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. Learn More
Forward Dividend Yield 0.0336 | Payout Ratio | Forward Dividend Rate 0.72 | Dividend Date 2026-03-16 | Ex Dividend Date 2026-03-31 |
1 | NORTHLAND POWER INC PREF CUM FLTNG RATE CAD 2 To Go Ex-Dividend On December 22 nd, 2025 With 0.25666 USD Dividend Per Share - | 12/19/2025 |
2 | Is Northland Power Inc. Preferred Security stock a safe haven asset - July 2025 Momentum Reliable Entry Point Alerts - ulpravda.ru | 01/08/2026 |
3 | Even after rising 5.9 percent this past week, Northland Power shareholders are still down 52 percent over the past five years - simplywall.st | 01/16/2026 |
4 | Northland Power Sets Date for Q 4 2025 Results and Earnings Call - Tip Ranks | 01/26/2026 |
5 | Northland Power Faces Operational Challenges in Renewable Sector - Kalkine Media | 02/02/2026 |
6 | Technical Data - Stock Traders Daily | 02/10/2026 |
7 | Earnings call transcript Northland Power Q 4 2025 beats earnings expectations, stock surges - Investing.com | 02/26/2026 |
8 | How To Trade - Stock Traders Daily | 03/11/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 672.4 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -94.2 M |
Northland |
Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you had invested C$ 1,719 in Northland Power on December 16, 2025 and sold it today you would have earned a total of C$ 457.00 from holding Northland Power or generated 26.59% return on investment over 90 days. Northland Power is generating a 0.3926% daily return assuming 1.5575% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 13% of all stocks have less volatile historical return distribution than Northland Power, and 93% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
For Northland Stock, the tendency of price to converge toward a long-term average provides a useful baseline for forecasting. Nonetheless, studies have found that some stocks are persistently mispriced, with the spread correcting only when market dynamics shift significantly.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds moving above the current price in 90 days |
| 21.76 | 90 days | 21.76 | roughly 2.81 |
Based on standard probability analysis, the odds of Northland Power moving above the current price in 90 days from now are roughly 2.81 (The chart above shows the probability distribution of Northland Stock prices over the next 90 days).
Northland Power Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Northland Power
Accurately predicting the stock market is one of the most challenging tasks in investing. For Northland Power, a range of forecasting tools can be applied, though none offer certainty. Despite this, systematic forecasting is a critical step in the investment process - comparing methods and results helps investors develop a more nuanced view of potential outcomes.The mean reversion principle applied to Northland Power's suggests that neither prolonged outperformance nor underperformance is permanent. Investors exploit this by positioning against extremes in price relative to fundamental value.
Primary Risk Indicators
The past 10-20 years have brought considerable volatility to the stock market, and Northland Power has been no exception. Sharp price drops and strong rallies have made hedging an important tool for managing portfolio risk. Investors in Northland Power should monitor Northland Power's fundamental risk indicators to stay ahead of market swings.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.38 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.48 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.43 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.26 |
Investor Alerts and Insights
Alerts and suggestions for Northland Power give investors a structured way to monitor the stock for material events. Northland Power notifications flag important changes in technical indicators, fundamentals, and market conditions that may warrant attention.| Northland Power has accumulated CAD7.18 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 4.12, indicating Northland Power may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Northland Power has a current ratio of 0.8, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Northland Power until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Northland Power's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Northland Power sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Northland to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Northland Power's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The company reported revenue of 2.43 B. Net Loss for the year was -163.25 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.7 B. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: How To Trade - Stock Traders Daily |
Price Density Drivers
Understanding the forces driving Northland Power's price dynamics helps investors anticipate periods of elevated volatility. The balance between optimistic and pessimistic market participants is reflected in the short-sentiment indicators listed below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 261.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 678.9 M |
Northland Power Fundamentals Growth
Northland Stock performance is fundamentally tied to Northland Power's financial health and growth outlook. Revenue and earnings trends, operating margins, and capital structure decisions all play a significant role in shaping investor expectations for Northland Stock.
| Return On Equity | -0.0241 | |||
| Return On Asset | 0.0376 | |||
| Profit Margin | -0.07 % | |||
| Operating Margin | 0.40 % | |||
| Current Valuation | 11.96 B | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 261.5 M | |||
| Price To Earning | 22.66 X | |||
| Price To Book | 1.43 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 2.29 X | |||
| Revenue | 2.43 B | |||
| Gross Profit | 1.7 B | |||
| EBITDA | 1.51 B | |||
| Net Income | -163.25 M | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 613.32 M | |||
| Cash Per Share | 2.03 X | |||
| Total Debt | 7.18 B | |||
| Debt To Equity | 4.12 % | |||
| Current Ratio | 0.82 X | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 14.98 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 1.11 B | |||
| Earnings Per Share | -0.65 X | |||
| Market Capitalization | 5.6 B | |||
| Total Asset | 13.24 B | |||
| Retained Earnings | -1.68 B | |||
| Working Capital | 83.7 M | |||
| Current Asset | 593.29 M | |||
| Current Liabilities | 416.34 M | |||
Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology
Northland Power performance is measured on a risk-adjusted basis against benchmarks. Certain defensive traits may reduce sensitivity to broader macroeconomic fluctuations. Northland Power shows ROE of -2.41%, ROA of 3.76%.
Inputs for Northland Power come from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and are mapped into a consistent schema for analysis. Some fields can appear with publication lag. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.