MaxLinear Stock Performance

MXL Stock  USD 17.14  0.58  3.50%   
The company owns a Beta (Market Risk) of 2.24, which implies elevated sensitivity to broad market movements. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, MaxLinear will likely underperform. MaxLinear right now owns a risk of 3.54%.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weak
 
Weak
 
Strong
MaxLinear has delivered negative risk-adjusted returns across the last 90 days, suggesting that volatility was not compensated by return. The result matters because weak risk-adjusted return can persist even when isolated price moves briefly look constructive. Despite quite persistent basic indicators, MaxLinear is not utilizing all of its potential. The newest price mess may contribute to short-term losses for institutional investors. Learn More

Actual Historical Performance (%)

 One Day Return
3.5
 Five Day Return
1.72
 Year To Date Return
-7.40
 Ten Year Return
-4.62
 All Time Return
-8.34
Begin Period Cash Flow119.6 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-19.8 M

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 1,754 in MaxLinear on December 24, 2025 and sold it today you would have lost $ 40.00 from holding MaxLinear or given up 2.28% of portfolio value over 90 days. MaxLinear is generating a 0.0232% daily return assuming volatility of 3.5386% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 31% of stocks are less volatile than MaxLinear, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This relative risk-return summary reviews how the instrument behaves against its benchmark. It highlights whether the current reward profile compensates for the level of uncertainty assumed. Considering the 90-day investment horizon MaxLinear is expected to generate 4.17 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 4.17 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.01 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.1 per unit of risk.

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of MaxLinear Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a well-known pattern in finance. Despite this pattern, historical data suggests that some stocks remain persistently mispriced until markets correct.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
17.14 90 days 17.14
about 79.44
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MaxLinear moving above the current price in 90 days from now are about 79.44 . That keeps the near-term bias tilted toward stronger price outcomes for this stock. (The density curve centers on the price range the market has recently treated as most probable for MaxLinear Stock over the next 90 days).
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.24 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, MaxLinear will likely underperform. Additionally, MaxLinear has an alpha of 0.1992, implying that it can generate a 0.1992 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherent market risk (beta).
   MaxLinear Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for MaxLinear

Numerous approaches exist for forecasting the stock market and estimating future values of MaxLinear. Although accurate forecasting remains elusive, the process of modeling scenarios is a valuable part of decision-making.
Experienced market participants anticipate that MaxLinear's price will even out over time. Periods when MaxLinear's deviates significantly from its historical mean may warrant further fundamental analysis.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.6317.1420.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.9817.4921.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.1917.7021.21
Details
Analyst
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
19.6121.5523.92
Details
Analyzing MaxLinear in isolation is insufficient for informed investment decisions. This peer-relative view often uncovers mispricing that single-company analysis would miss.

Primary Risk Indicators

The last 10-20 years have been a volatile period for the stock market, and MaxLinear is no exception. MaxLinear has experienced periods of rapid price declines followed by equally strong recoveries.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.20
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.24
σ
Overall volatility
1.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Investor Alerts and Insights

Automated alerts tied to MaxLinear help investors stay ahead of material changes in stock conditions. MaxLinear notifications flag important changes in technical indicators, fundamentals, and market conditions.
MaxLinear had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported last year's revenue of 467.64 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was -136.68 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 265.81 M.
Over 85.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Fastly Surges 11 percent The Comeback Is Real, but Insiders Have Been Selling the Whole Way Up

Price Density Drivers

Price dynamics for MaxLinear Stock are shaped by tension between bullish and bearish positioning among market participants. Key indicators for MaxLinear capture the primary forces influencing short-term price behavior.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding86.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments74.2 M

MaxLinear Fundamentals Growth

MaxLinear Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of MaxLinear's future prospects and financial health. Revenue trajectory, earnings quality, profit margins, and leverage levels shape MaxLinear Stock market performance.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

MaxLinear performance is measured on a risk-adjusted basis against benchmarks. Risk-adjusted measures provide context for return efficiency across regimes. MaxLinear shows ROE of -28.24%, ROA of -7.7%.

Unless otherwise specified, data for MaxLinear is compiled from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and standardized for comparability. Analyst projections are included when active coverage applies. Updates may occur throughout the day. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Rifka Kats - Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board
Last reviewed on February 27th, 2026