MicroStrategy Incorporated Stock Performance
| MSTR Stock | USD 139.70 2.36 1.72% |
The company owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 2.98, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, MicroStrategy Incorporated will likely underperform. At this point, MicroStrategy Incorporated has a negative expected return of -0.0842%. Please make sure to confirm MicroStrategy Incorporated's relationship between the daily balance of power and relative strength index, to decide if MicroStrategy Incorporated's performance from the past will be repeated in the future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weak
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days, MicroStrategy Incorporated generated negative risk-adjusted returns and added little value for investors with long positions. The result matters because weak risk-adjusted return can persist even when isolated price moves briefly look constructive. Even with relatively invariable basic indicators, MicroStrategy Incorporated is not utilizing all of its potential. The latest price agitation may contribute to short-term losses for retail investors. Learn More
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return -0.72 | Five Day Return 1.81 | Year To Date Return -12.61 | Ten Year Return 717.5 | All Time Return 2.5 K |
Last Split Factor 10:1 | Dividend Date 2025-05-22 | Last Split Date 2024-08-08 |
1 | Bitcoin Has FailedCrypto Influencer Questions Entire BTC Thesis After 12 Years | 02/18/2026 |
2 | MSTR Stock Drops as Strategy Buys 592 Bitcoin for .8M | 02/23/2026 |
3 | Why Is Strategy Stock Rocketing Higher Today | 03/04/2026 |
4 | Crypto Crash Is Bitcoin a Buy After Its 40 percent Slump | 03/05/2026 |
5 | Is It Time To Reassess Strategy After A 54 percent One-Year Share Price Slide | 03/06/2026 |
6 | Strategy Buys 1.3 Billion of Bitcoin Using Mostly Common Stock | 03/09/2026 |
7 | Strategy gets new Buy rating at B. Riley on strong positioning | 03/10/2026 |
8 | Strategy Bought Over 4,000 Bitcoin Today via STRC As Strong Week Continues | 03/12/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 39.9 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -22.5 B |
MicroStrategy | Build AI portfolio with MicroStrategy Stock |
Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you had invested $ 16,208 in MicroStrategy Incorporated on December 13, 2025 and sold it today you would have lost $ 2,247 from holding MicroStrategy Incorporated or given up 13.86% of portfolio value over 90 days. MicroStrategy Incorporated does not currently generate positive expected returns and carries 5.8011% risk (volatility on return distribution) over a 90-day horizon. In different words, 52% of stocks are less volatile than MicroStrategy, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
Price forecasting for MicroStrategy Stock often builds on the principle of mean reversion, where prices tend to converge toward historical averages. While this pattern is broadly applicable across stocks, persistent mispricings in some instruments highlight the role of additional risk factors in pricing dynamics.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds moving above the current price in 90 days |
| 139.70 | 90 days | 139.70 | about 72.72 |
Based on probability analysis of this stock, the likelihood of MicroStrategy Incorporated moving above the current price in 90 days from now is about 72.72 (This stock probability distribution maps the expected range of MicroStrategy Stock prices over 90 days).
MicroStrategy Incorporated Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for MicroStrategy Incorporated
No single forecasting method can reliably predict the stock market, but the practice of applying multiple models to instruments like MicroStrategy Incorporated remains a core element of investment analysis. Comparing results helps investors build a more complete picture and prepare for a range of potential outcomes.The degree to which MicroStrategy Incorporated's exhibits mean reversion depends on how efficiently the market prices new information. In highly covered equities, the mean reversion window tends to be shorter.
Primary Risk Indicators
Over the past 10-20 years, the stock market has seen violent swings that have tested investor resolve. MicroStrategy Incorporated has been part of this volatility. Those holding MicroStrategy Incorporated should consider a hedging strategy that accounts for MicroStrategy Incorporated's changing volatility and market elasticity to limit downside losses.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.1128 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.98 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 18.58 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0364 |
Investor Alerts and Insights
Stocks like MicroStrategy Incorporated can experience rapid changes in technical and fundamental conditions. Setting up alerts for MicroStrategy Incorporated ensures investors receive timely notifications about significant developments that may affect their positions.| MicroStrategy Incorporated generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| MicroStrategy Incorporated has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| MicroStrategy Incorporated currently holds $8.28 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 2.82, implying MicroStrategy Incorporated greatly relies on financing operations through borrowing. MicroStrategy Incorporated has a current ratio of 0.76, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about MicroStrategy Incorporated's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The company reported previous year's revenue of 477.23 M. Net Loss for the year was -3.85 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 327.82 M. | |
| MicroStrategy Incorporated currently holds about 60.39 M in cash with -67.24 M of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.34. | |
| MicroStrategy Incorporated has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 63.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from bitcoinmagazine.com: Strategy Bought Over 4,000 Bitcoin Today via STRC As Strong Week Continues |
Price Density Drivers
Price density analysis for MicroStrategy Incorporated focuses on the forces that drive short-term price movements. The indicators below highlight key market dynamics including the balance between long and short positioning, volume patterns, and volatility trends.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 294 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.3 B |
MicroStrategy Incorporated Fundamentals Growth
MicroStrategy Incorporated's revenue trajectory, earnings quality, and financial leverage are the key fundamentals that drive MicroStrategy Stock market valuation. Investors who track these metrics gain a clearer view of the forces shaping MicroStrategy Stock price behavior.
| Return On Equity | -0.11 | |||
| Return On Asset | -0.0778 | |||
| Operating Margin | -44.02 % | |||
| Current Valuation | 59.02 B | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 314.11 M | |||
| Price To Book | 1.05 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 96.74 X | |||
| Revenue | 477.23 M | |||
| Gross Profit | 327.82 M | |||
| EBITDA | -5.44 B | |||
| Net Income | -3.85 B | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 60.39 M | |||
| Cash Per Share | 5.34 X | |||
| Total Debt | 8.28 B | |||
| Debt To Equity | 2.82 % | |||
| Current Ratio | 0.78 X | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 141.39 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | -67.24 M | |||
| Earnings Per Share | -15.23 X | |||
| Market Capitalization | 46.17 B | |||
| Total Asset | 61.64 B | |||
| Retained Earnings | 6.32 B | |||
| Working Capital | 2.11 B | |||
| Current Asset | 565.31 M | |||
| Current Liabilities | 172.66 M | |||
Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology
MicroStrategy Incorporated performance is measured on a risk-adjusted basis against benchmarks. Risk-return balance shapes allocation context across cycles. MicroStrategy Incorporated shows ROE of -11.11%, ROA of -7.78%.
Unless otherwise specified, data for MicroStrategy Incorporated is compiled from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and standardized for comparability. Analyst inputs may be included when coverage is available. Updates may occur throughout the day. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.